Technical Insights for Key ETFs: Update as of February 13, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions and analyses are based on technical indicators and historical data. Consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis as of February 13, 2026, reveals a generally bullish outlook for major equity ETFs, particularly in the medium to longer-term horizons. The DIA ETF, tracking the Dow Jones Industrial Average, shows strong buy signals for 15 and 25 days, supported by positive crossovers in the MACD and RSI levels indicating overbought but sustained momentum. This suggests potential upward trends driven by improving economic indicators and sector rotations. Similarly, the XRT retail ETF exhibits strong buy consensus for 25 and 30 days, possibly reflecting anticipated consumer spending growth amid stabilizing inflation.

On the bearish side, BND (bonds) maintains a sell signal for the 20-day horizon, likely due to rising yields and Parabolic SAR reversals. XRT shows short-term sell signals for 5 and 10 days, indicating possible near-term pullbacks from Stochastic overbought conditions.

Compared to the February 11 data, notable changes include strengthening signals in DIA (e.g., 15-day from buy to BUY, 25-day from buy to BUY, new buy at 10 days), but some weakening (e.g., loss of buy at 20 days). For XRT, a new strong BUY emerged at 30 days, while short-term shifted to sell at 5 days and lost buy at 20 days. These shifts highlight increasing volatility in retail but overall bullish tilt in equities.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND				sell
DIA		buy	BUY		BUY	buy
XME						buy
XOP		buy			buy
XRT	sell	sell			BUY	BUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external sources to confirm or contradict our analysis. Sources are selected to represent diverse viewpoints.

DIA (Strong BUY for 15 and 25 Days)

• Title: Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy DIA? - StockInvest.us
  Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/DIA
  Description: The forecast predicts a 6.53% rise over 3 months with buy signals from moving averages, agreeing with our strong BUY signal due to expected growth.
• Title: DIA - Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Stockscan.io
  Link: https://stockscan.io/stocks/DIA/forecast
  Description: Predicts an average price of $451.68 for 2026, indicating a decline from current levels, disagreeing with our strong BUY based on bearish yearly outlook.
• Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Fund Forecast, "DIA" Price Prediction Charts - Wallet Investor
  Link: https://walletinvestor.com/fund-forecast/dia-fund-prediction
  Description: Expects a long-term increase to $543 in one year, agreeing with our strong BUY signal through positive price projections.

XRT (Strong BUY for 25 and 30 Days)

• Title: XRT - State Street Spdr S P Retail Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Stockscan.io
  Link: https://stockscan.io/stocks/XRT/forecast
  Description: Forecasts a 23.10% surge in 2026, agreeing with our strong BUY signal based on significant upward potential.
• Title: Spdr S&p Retail Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XRT? - StockInvest.us
  Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/XRT
  Description: Indicates sell signals from moving averages and a negative forecast, disagreeing with our strong BUY due to short-term bearish trends.
• Title: SPDR® S&P Retail Fund Forecast: up to $89.801! - XRT Fund Price Prediction, Long-Term & Short-Term Prognosis with Smart Technical Analysis - Wallet Investor
  Link: https://walletinvestor.com/fund-forecast/xrt-fund-prediction
  Description: Predicts an increase to $96.424 by end of 2026, agreeing with our strong BUY signal through expected price appreciation.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 13, 2026.