Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor, and any investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified professional. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Overall Market Insights
The latest technical analysis for February 11, 2026, reveals a mixed but predominantly bullish outlook across various ETFs, particularly in longer time horizons. Using key indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, we observe strengthening buy signals in sectors like industrials, materials, and small caps. Short-term signals show some caution with sells in bonds and select sectors, potentially due to recent volatility captured by the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO) and Money Flow Index (MFI). Compared to the previous data from February 10 and February 7, there's a noticeable shift towards more buy consensus in mid-to-long terms, suggesting improving momentum as indicated by the Directional Movement Index (DMI) and Stochastic Momentum Indicator. For instance, DIA maintains consistent buys across horizons, while XRT shows strengthening retail signals.
Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals
- Bullish Highlights: Strong BUY signals in IWM (25 days), KBE (15 days), URTY (25 days), XLB (10 days), and XRT (25 days), driven by positive MACD crossovers and RSI above 50, indicating potential upward trends in small caps, banking, and retail.
- Bearish Highlights: Strong SELL in XLK (30 days), possibly due to overbought conditions per the Ultimate Oscillator and Parabolic SAR signaling reversals in technology.
- Comparisons to Prior Data: From February 10, signals like SPY's BUY at 30 days have softened, but overall buy strength has increased in energy and materials, aligning with Time Series Forecast improvements.
Strong Consensus Trends Analysis
For strong BUY/SELL signals, we've reviewed recent articles to confirm or contradict:
IWM (BUY at 25 days)
- Ishares Russell 2000 Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - StockScan: Agrees with BUY; forecasts average price of $237.68 in 2026, indicating upward potential from current levels due to positive momentum.
- iShares Russell 2000 ETF (Derivatives) (IWM) price Prediction - Bitget: Agrees with BUY; predicts growth to $271.85 by end of 2026, based on monthly increases and AI-driven demand.
KBE (BUY at 15 days)
- Banking ETF (KBE) Hits New 52-Week High - February 9, 2026 - Zacks.com: Agrees with BUY; highlights rally on rate-cut hopes, with positive weighted alpha suggesting further gains.
- Banking ETF (KBE) Hits New 52-Week High - AInvest: Agrees with BUY; Zacks Rank #1 and high risk outlook indicate continued performance from yield curve steepening.
URTY (BUY at 25 days)
- Proshares Ultrapro Russell2000 Proshares Ultrapro Russell2000 ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy URTY? - StockInvest.us: Agrees with BUY; expects 32.41% rise in 3 months, with positive moving averages signaling buying opportunity.
- URTY - Proshares Ultrapro Russell 2000 3 X Shares Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050: Agrees with BUY; average $54.21 in 2026, but with peaks higher, leveraging small-cap momentum.
XLB (BUY at 10 days)
- Materials Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XLB? - StockInvest.us: Agrees with BUY; upgraded to Strong Buy, expecting 20.69% rise in 3 months based on positive trends.
- How I Use XLB As A Leading Indicator For S&P 500 | Seeking Alpha: Agrees with BUY; 21% quarterly gain signals early-cycle demand and broad expansion.
XLK (SELL at 30 days)
- 2026 Sector Outlook: Energy Will Surprise, Tech Will Remain On Top - Seeking Alpha: Disagrees with SELL; remains bullish on XLK due to AI growth, though energy may surprise.
- Energy Leads This Year as Tech and Financials Fall Behind | Investing.com: Agrees with SELL; tech underwater in 2026, with rotation away from XLK.
XRT (BUY at 25 days)
- SPDR® S&P Retail Fund Forecast: up to $89.801! - XRT Fund Price Prediction - Wallet Investor: Agrees with BUY; forecasts up to $89.801 in near term, with positive min/max ranges.
- XRT - State Street Spdr S P Retail Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050: Agrees with BUY; average $107.43 in 2026, indicating 23.10% surge.
Consensus Signal Table
| ETF | 5 Days | 10 Days | 15 Days | 20 Days | 25 Days | 30 Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND | sell | sell | buy | |||
| DIA | buy | buy | buy | buy | ||
| GLD | buy | |||||
| IJH | buy | |||||
| IWM | sell | BUY | ||||
| JNK | sell | sell | sell | buy | ||
| KBE | buy | BUY | BUY | buy | ||
| QQQ | ||||||
| SPY | buy | buy | buy | |||
| TQQQ | ||||||
| UPRO | sell | buy | buy | |||
| URTY | sell | buy | BUY | |||
| XBI | buy | buy | ||||
| XES | ||||||
| XHB | buy | buy | buy | |||
| XHS | ||||||
| XLB | BUY | |||||
| XLE | buy | |||||
| XLF | sell | |||||
| XLI | ||||||
| XLK | SELL | |||||
| XLP | buy | |||||
| XLRE | buy | |||||
| XLU | ||||||
| XLV | sell | buy | buy | |||
| XLY | sell | sell | sell | |||
| XME | sell | buy | buy | |||
| XOP | buy | buy | ||||
| XRT | sell | buy | BUY |
Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 11, 2026.
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