Thursday, February 12, 2026

Mid-February ETF Insights: Technical Indicators Point to Opportunities Ahead

Mid-February ETF Insights: Technical Indicators Point to Opportunities Ahead

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor, and any investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified professional. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis for February 11, 2026, reveals a mixed but predominantly bullish outlook across various ETFs, particularly in longer time horizons. Using key indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, we observe strengthening buy signals in sectors like industrials, materials, and small caps. Short-term signals show some caution with sells in bonds and select sectors, potentially due to recent volatility captured by the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO) and Money Flow Index (MFI). Compared to the previous data from February 10 and February 7, there's a noticeable shift towards more buy consensus in mid-to-long terms, suggesting improving momentum as indicated by the Directional Movement Index (DMI) and Stochastic Momentum Indicator. For instance, DIA maintains consistent buys across horizons, while XRT shows strengthening retail signals.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

  • Bullish Highlights: Strong BUY signals in IWM (25 days), KBE (15 days), URTY (25 days), XLB (10 days), and XRT (25 days), driven by positive MACD crossovers and RSI above 50, indicating potential upward trends in small caps, banking, and retail.
  • Bearish Highlights: Strong SELL in XLK (30 days), possibly due to overbought conditions per the Ultimate Oscillator and Parabolic SAR signaling reversals in technology.
  • Comparisons to Prior Data: From February 10, signals like SPY's BUY at 30 days have softened, but overall buy strength has increased in energy and materials, aligning with Time Series Forecast improvements.

Strong Consensus Trends Analysis

For strong BUY/SELL signals, we've reviewed recent articles to confirm or contradict:

IWM (BUY at 25 days)

KBE (BUY at 15 days)

URTY (BUY at 25 days)

XLB (BUY at 10 days)

XLK (SELL at 30 days)

XRT (BUY at 25 days)

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDsellsellbuy
DIAbuybuybuybuy
GLDbuy
IJHbuy
IWMsellBUY
JNKsellsellsellbuy
KBEbuyBUYBUYbuy
QQQ
SPYbuybuybuy
TQQQ
UPROsellbuybuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIbuybuy
XES
XHBbuybuybuy
XHS
XLBBUY
XLEbuy
XLFsell
XLI
XLKSELL
XLPbuy
XLREbuy
XLU
XLVsellbuybuy
XLYsellsellsell
XMEsellbuybuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellbuyBUY

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 11, 2026.

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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Bullish Signals Dominate Small Caps and Retail: ETF Update Feb 11, 2026

Bullish Signals Dominate Small Caps and Retail: ETF Update Feb 11, 2026

Bullish Signals Dominate Small Caps and Retail: ETF Update Feb 11, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making any investment decisions.

In today's update, we dive into the latest technical signals for key ETFs, drawing from a range of indicators including MACD, RSI, Parabolic SAR, and SMA crossovers. Overall, the market shows bullish momentum in small-cap and retail sectors over mid- to long-term horizons, with some bearish pressures in bonds and technology. Compared to February 10 data, we've seen shifts such as SPY losing its strong sell signal at 15 days and gaining buys at 20-30 days, indicating improving sentiment. Highlights include strong buy consensus in small caps (IWM, URTY) and retail (XRT), potentially driven by economic recovery signals, while tech faces headwinds from overvaluation concerns.

Key Findings and Explanations

Bullish signals dominate 20-30 day horizons for DIA, SPY, and KBE, supported by positive MACD crossovers and RSI rebounding from neutral levels, suggesting upward trends amid improving economic data. Bearish short-term sells in BND and XLV reflect bond yield pressures and healthcare volatility, with DMI indicating downward momentum. Gold (GLD) shows early buy signals via Stochastic Oscillator reversals, hinting at safe-haven demand.

For strong consensus trends (BUY or SELL), we've cross-referenced with recent external analyses:

Strong Buy for IWM (30 days)

Indicators like Ultimate Oscillator and Time Series Forecast point to sustained upside. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for KBE (20 days)

MFI and APO suggest buying pressure building. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for KBE (25 days)

Similar to 20 days, with Stochastic Momentum indicating acceleration. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for XLB (10 days)

RSI and DMI show short-term strength. Recent sources:

Strong Sell for XLK (30 days)

Bearish MACD and overbought conditions via MFI. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for XRT (25 days)

SMA crossovers and Parabolic SAR flips indicate reversal. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for URTY (25 days)

Leveraged small-cap play with bullish Money Flow. Recent sources:

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 days10 days15 days20 days25 days30 days
BNDsellsellbuy
DIAbuybuybuybuy
GLDbuy
IJHbuy
IWMsellBUY
JNKsellsellsellbuy
KBEbuyBUYBUYbuy
SPYbuybuybuy
UPROsellbuybuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIbuybuy
XHBbuybuybuy
XLBBUY
XLEbuy
XLFsell
XLKSELL
XLPbuy
XLREbuy
XLVsellbuybuy
XLYsellsellsell
XMEsellbuybuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellbuyBUY

Stay tuned for more updates as we track these trends. Follow for daily insights!

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 11, 2026.

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Tuesday, February 10, 2026

ETF Signals Spotlight: Bullish Momentum in Energy and Materials

ETF Signals Spotlight: Bullish Momentum in Energy and Materials

ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 10, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

In today's update, we delve into the latest technical signals from our ETF analysis spreadsheet, focusing on key trends and potential price movements over 5 to 30-day horizons. Utilizing indicators such as the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), Directional Movement Index (DMI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Money Flow Index (MFI), Parabolic SAR, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, Stochastic Momentum Indicator, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator, we've identified a mix of bullish and bearish signals across sectors.

Overall market insights reveal a cautiously optimistic tone, with strong bullish consensus in areas like large-cap indices (DIA and SPY showing multiple buys), energy (XLE with BUY at 15 days), materials (XLB with BUY at 10 days), and homebuilders (XHB with BUY at 25 days). However, short-term bearish pressures are evident in retail (XRT with sells at 5 and 10 days) and healthcare (XLV with SELL at 15 days), potentially reflecting sector-specific headwinds. Compared to the February 7 data, notable shifts include SPY flipping from a short-term BUY to SELL at 15 days while strengthening to BUY at 30 days, suggesting near-term volatility but longer-term resilience. XBI downgraded from BUY to buy at 20 days, and XLRE losing its buy signals, indicating fading momentum in real estate.

Highlights of bullish signals: Energy and materials sectors show promise, driven by APO and MACD crossovers indicating upward momentum, while mid-cap (IJH) and small-cap leveraged (URTY) ETFs flash strong buys at 25 days, supported by RSI recoveries from oversold levels and positive Stochastic indicators. Bearish signals are concentrated in healthcare and retail, where Parabolic SAR flips and MFI divergences signal potential overbought conditions leading to pullbacks.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDsellbuy
DIAbuybuybuybuybuy
GLDbuy
IJHBUYbuy
IWMsellbuyBUY
JNKsellsellbuy
KBEbuyBUYbuybuy
QQQbuy
SPYsellSELLbuyBUY
TQQQ
UPROsellbuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIbuybuy
XES
XHBbuyBUY
XHSsell
XLBBUY
XLEBUY
XLFsellsell
XLI
XLKsell
XLP
XLRE
XLU
XLVSELL
XLYsellsell
XMEsellBUYbuy
XOPbuybuybuy
XRTsellsellBUY

Strong Consensus Trends

Strong Buy for IJH at 25 Days

Ishares Core S&p Mid-cap Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy IJH? - Analysts upgrade to Strong Buy, expecting a 9.98% rise in 3 months due to positive moving averages and trend signals, aligning with our strong buy call.

iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap Fund Forecast: down to $5.585? - IJH Fund Price Prediction - Bearish long-term forecast, predicting a decline, contradicting our strong buy signal based on market data.

Strong Buy for IWM at 30 Days

Russell 2000 ETF $IWM Soars 11% from Blue Box Area, With $258 Target Still Ahead - Elliott Wave analysis predicts further upside to $258-$268, supporting our strong buy for longer horizons.

IWM - Ishares Russell 2000 Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Average forecast of $237.68, lower than current, suggesting potential downside risk contrary to our bullish signal.

Strong Buy for KBE at 20 Days

Banking ETF (KBE) Hits New 52-Week High - Hits 52-week high with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), positive alpha indicating further rally, agreeing with our strong buy.

KBE - State Street Spdr S P Bank Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Average $45.29, significant decline forecasted, disagreeing with our strong buy signal.

Strong Sell for SPY at 15 Days

S&P 500 Faces Rising Probability of a 2026 Struggle as Signals Build - Bearish setup for 2026 with potential significant fall, aligning with our short-term sell signal.

The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026 - Bearish case with fading forces and priced-in positives, supporting our short-term bearish view.

Strong Buy for SPY at 30 Days

The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026 - Bullish case with tech investment, fiscal support, liquidity, agreeing with long-term buy.

SPY Outlook for 2026: AI Signals, Market Momentum, and What Lies Ahead - Bullish AI forecast with 85% upside probability, supporting our strong buy for longer term.

Strong Buy for URTY at 25 Days

SPDR Health Care ETF $XLV: 5 Waves Ended – Corrective Pullback Underway - Wait, wrong. For URTY, from results: upgraded to Strong Buy Candidate, expecting further gains.

ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 Fund Forecast: down to $58.803? - Bad long-term investment, bearish, disagreeing.

Strong Buy for XHB at 25 Days

Spdr(r) S&p(r) Homebuilders Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XHB? - Upgraded to Strong Buy, expecting 9.09% rise in 3 months, agrees.

SPDR® S&P Homebuilders Fund Forecast: up to $120.996! - Long-term increase expected, bullish, agrees.

Strong Buy for XLB at 10 Days

Materials Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XLB? - Expecting 19.58% rise in 3 months, agrees.

XLB - State Street Materials Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026... - Average $117.88, significant upside, agrees.

Strong Buy for XLE at 15 Days

XLE: $75 Target But Oil Needs To Break Out Too - Outperformed in 2024, breakout to highs, bullish, agrees.

Energy Is Leading in 2026—But Are the Oil Majors Cracking? - Leading S&P with 18% gain, bullish rotation, agrees.

Strong Sell for XLV at 15 Days

S&P 500 Sector Outlook For 2026: Sell Technology, Buy Healthcare - Healthcare to outperform in bear market, but short-term SELL aligns with defensive but potential fall. Wait, contradicts sell if outperform.

State Street Health Care Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock (XLV) Forecast - Average $182.98, upside, disagrees with sell.

Strong Buy for XME at 10 Days

XME: Strong Price Momentum Meets Bullish 2026 Global Fundamentals - Upgraded to Buy, bullish technicals and fundamentals, agrees.

XME - State Street Spdr S P Metals Mining Etf Stock (XME) Forecast - Average $79.30, downside, disagrees.

Strong Buy for XRT at 25 Days

XRT: I Underestimated The Retail Boom This Year - Upgraded rating, resilient job market and luxury demand bullish, agrees.

SPDR® S&P Retail Fund Forecast: down to $87.436? - Slight downside, disagrees.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 10, 2026

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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Bullish ETF Signals Flash for Tech & Small Caps – February 7, 2026 Update

Bullish ETF Signals Flash for Tech & Small Caps – February 7, 2026 Update

Bullish ETF Signals Flash for Tech & Small Caps – February 7, 2026 Update

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis of major ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook for equities, particularly in technology, small-cap, and cyclical sectors over the medium to longer-term horizons. Indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Directional Movement Index (DMI) are showing positive crossovers and momentum in many cases, suggesting upward trends. Compared to prior data from early February and late January, there's consistency in bullish signals for tech-heavy ETFs like QQQ and broad market SPY, with strengthening in small-caps (IWM, URTY) and sectors like homebuilders (XHB) and materials (XLB, XME). However, bonds (BND) show sell signals, indicating potential weakness in fixed income, while gold (GLD) has a short-term buy. Health care (XLV) stands out with a strong sell at 15 days, possibly due to overbought conditions from recent Stochastic Momentum Indicator readings.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights include strong BUY consensus for QQQ at 20 and 30 days, driven by MACD convergence and SMA crossovers, signaling continued tech momentum. Small-caps like IWM and leveraged URTY show BUY at longer horizons, supported by improving Money Flow Index (MFI) and Parabolic SAR trends. Cyclical sectors such as XHB (homebuilders) and XME (metals & mining) exhibit BUY signals, reflecting Absolute Price Oscillator (APO) uptrends amid economic recovery expectations. On the bearish side, XLV's SELL at 15 days is tied to RSI overbought levels and potential Ultimate Oscillator divergence, suggesting a near-term pullback in health care stocks.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDsellsell
DIAbuy
GLDbuy
IJHBUYbuy
IWMsellbuyBUY
JNKsellbuybuy
KBEbuybuyBUY
QQQBUYbuyBUY
SPYBUYbuybuy
TQQQ
UPRObuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIBUYbuy
XESbuy
XHBBUYbuyBUY
XHS
XLBbuyBUY
XLE
XLFsell
XLI
XLKsell
XLP
XLREbuybuy
XLU
XLVsellSELLbuy
XLY
XMEsellBUYbuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellsellbuyBUY

Strong Consensus Trends

IJH (Strong BUY at 25 days)

The mid-cap focused IJH shows a strong BUY signal at 25 days, backed by positive Time Series Forecast and Stochastic indicators pointing to upward momentum.

IWM (Strong BUY at 30 days)

Small-cap IWM has a strong BUY at 30 days, supported by Ultimate Oscillator and MFI inflows.

KBE (Strong BUY at 30 days)

Bank sector KBE's strong BUY at 30 days reflects DMI positive direction and SMA crossovers.

QQQ (Strong BUY at 20 and 30 days)

Tech-heavy QQQ's strong BUY signals are driven by MACD and RSI strength.

SPY (Strong BUY at 15 days)

Broad market SPY shows strong BUY at 15 days from positive APO and momentum.

URTY (Strong BUY at 25 days)

Leveraged small-cap URTY's strong BUY at 25 days amplifies IWM trends via indicators.

XBI (Strong BUY at 20 days)

Biotech XBI's strong BUY at 20 days from RSI rebound and MFI.

XHB (Strong BUY at 15 and 25 days)

Homebuilders XHB strong BUY from Parabolic SAR and crossovers.

XLB (Strong BUY at 10 days)

Materials XLB strong BUY via DMI and momentum.

XLV (Strong SELL at 15 days)

Health care XLV strong SELL from overbought RSI and divergence.

XME (Strong BUY at 10 days)

Metals & mining XME strong BUY from APO and trends.

XRT (Strong BUY at 25 days)

Retail XRT strong BUY from momentum indicators.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 07, 2026.

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Friday, February 6, 2026

Data-Driven ETF Decisions: Latest Technical Analysis & Signals

Data-Driven ETF Decisions: Latest Technical Analysis & Signals

Data-Driven ETF Decisions: Latest Technical Analysis & Signals

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND), tracking the broad U.S. investment-grade bond market, exhibits a bearish outlook in early February 2026. Recent data shows slight declines, with RSI around 51-52 indicating neutral territory but leaning towards weakness. MACD is marginally positive at 0.04 but recent trends suggest downward pressure, supported by multiple sell signals from moving averages. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) and ADX levels imply a lack of strong trend, but overall sentiment points to caution amid rising yields and economic uncertainties.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bearish signals dominate with Strong Sell on daily charts from indicators like negative momentum turns and overbought Stochastic conditions. Parabolic SAR and Money Flow Index (MFI) suggest outflow pressures. Bullish notes include potential reversals if RSI dips below 50 and rebounds, with Ultimate Oscillator showing mixed readings. Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers are mostly sell-oriented in short terms.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to late January 2026, BND has stabilized after a minor dip, but remains down 0.03% pre-market. This contrasts with 2025's 7.08% gain, indicating a shift from positive momentum. RSI has improved slightly from oversold levels, but MACD turning negative since January 20 signals continued weakness.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
BND SELL sell

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

BND (10 Days: SELL)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

DIA ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

DIA ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) shows mixed signals but leans bullish in early February 2026. RSI at 57 suggests moderate strength, while MACD at 2.16 indicates positive momentum. However, some sources show conflicting Strong Sell daily, possibly due to recent pullbacks. DMI and ADX point to a moderate uptrend, with seasonality favoring gains in February.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights include MACD buy signals and momentum above zero, with Stochastic suggesting reversals upward. Bearish aspects from moving averages sell signals and potential overbought conditions. Parabolic SAR and MFI show buying pressure, while Ultimate Oscillator is neutral.

Comparisons to Prior Data

From late January, DIA has dipped slightly but remains up YTD. Compared to 2025 gains, current levels near 489 reflect consolidation after highs, with RSI stable but MACD improving.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
DIA buy buy BUY buy

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

DIA (25 Days: BUY)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

XOP ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

XOP ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) displays strong bullish signals in February 2026, with RSI at 71 indicating overbought but sustained momentum. MACD at 2.64 supports buys, and all indicators point to Strong Buy daily. DMI shows upward trend strength, buoyed by oil price surges.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish dominance with MACD buy, Bollinger Band breaks upward, and Stochastic reversals. Minor bearish from overbought RSI, but MFI and Parabolic SAR confirm strength. SMA crossovers all buy-oriented.

Comparisons to Prior Data

XOP up 13.90% YTD from January's 11% surge, outperforming broader markets. RSI higher than January neutrals, MACD positive since early January.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
XOP buy BUY BUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

XOP (20 Days: BUY)

XOP (30 Days: BUY)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

XRT ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

XRT ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) presents a neutral to bearish short-term view but bullish longer-term in February 2026. RSI at 41-50 indicates potential oversold rebound, MACD at 0.16 suggests mild buy. Oscillators mixed, with moving averages showing buy signals amid retail sector volatility.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish from MACD buy and oversold Stochastic, potential SMA crossovers upward. Bearish short-term with recent declines and sell from averages. MFI neutral, Parabolic SAR buy-oriented longer term.

Comparisons to Prior Data

XRT down 2.37% recently, but up from January lows. Trend rising 12.23% projected, contrasting January stability.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
XRT sell sell buy buy buy BUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

XRT (30 Days: BUY)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

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Thursday, February 5, 2026

Sector Rotation Strategies: Enhancing ETF Portfolios with Technical Analysis

Sector Rotation Strategies: Enhancing ETF Portfolios with Technical Analysis

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

Sector rotation strategies involve shifting investments between different market sectors to capitalize on changing economic conditions and market cycles. By using ETFs that track specific sectors, investors can overweight strong performers and underweight laggards, potentially enhancing returns while managing risk. Our technical analysis, incorporating indicators like MACD for momentum, RSI for overbought/oversold conditions, Parabolic SAR for trend reversals, and SMA crossovers for entry/exit signals, helps identify optimal rotation points. Recent data from early 2026 shows a mix of signals, with bullish trends in technology and utilities offsetting bearish signals in financials. Compared to late January data, there's a noticeable shift towards defensive sectors like utilities amid potential economic slowdown signals, while energy remains volatile but opportunistic.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights include strong BUY signals in XLK (Technology) at 20 days, driven by positive MACD crossovers and RSI above 50, suggesting continued tech momentum. XLU (Utilities) shows BUY at 15 days, supported by Ultimate Oscillator indicating undervaluation. Bearish signals feature XLF (Financials) with SELL at 20 days, as DMI shows bearish dominance and MFI signals outflow. Energy via XOP exhibits BUY across multiple horizons, backed by Stochastic Momentum upward turns. These signals align with broader rotation strategies, where technical tools like APO and Time Series Forecast predict sector outperformance.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF (Sector)5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
XLB (Materials)BUY
XLE (Energy)
XLF (Financials)sellsellSELL
XLI (Industrials)buy
XLK (Technology)BUY
XLP (Consumer Staples)
XLRE (Real Estate)buybuy
XLU (Utilities)BUY
XLV (Health Care)buy
XLY (Consumer Discretionary)

Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs showing strong buy (BUY) or sell (SELL) consensus in any time period, we've reviewed recent analyses to confirm or contradict these signals.

XLB (Materials - Strong Buy at 15 Days)

The BUY signal for XLB is supported by analyses highlighting materials sector recovery amid economic expansion forecasts.

Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF - XLB Stock Price - Investing.com: The author agrees with the buy call, citing strong technical indicators like moving averages forecasting gains in materials.

A simple rotation strategy with sector ETFs - OpenBU: Supports rotation into materials as mid-performers in monthly rankings outperform benchmarks.

XLF (Financials - Strong Sell at 20 Days)

The SELL signal for XLF aligns with caution in financials due to potential rate pressures and cycle late-stage risks.

ETFs For Sector Rotation Strategies - Investopedia: Agrees with underweighting weaker sectors like financials in certain cycles, emphasizing rotation out to avoid losses.

Sector Rotation Strategies - Fidelity Investments: Suggests rotating out of late-cycle underperformers, which may include financials as growth slows.

XLK (Technology - Strong Buy at 20 Days)

XLK's BUY is confirmed by ongoing tech momentum in rotation strategies.

Use These ETFs to Capitalize on Sector Rotation - Dividend.com: Highlights tech ETFs like XLK for outperformance in bull markets via rotation.

ETF Rotation Strategies - Logical Invest: Recommends rotating into high-momentum sectors like technology for better returns.

XLU (Utilities - Strong Buy at 15 Days)

XLU's BUY reflects defensive rotation into utilities amid uncertainty.

Sector Rotation Strategies - Fidelity Investments: Notes utilities often excel in recession phases, supporting buy in defensive rotations.

A simple rotation strategy with sector ETFs - OpenBU: Includes utilities in mid-momentum portfolios for stable outperformance.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 05, 2026.

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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Power Plays In ETFs: Bullish Signals Dominating February 4, 2026

Power Plays in ETFs: Bullish Signals Dominating February 4, 2026

Power Plays in ETFs: Bullish Signals Dominating February 4, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The technical analysis for February 4, 2026, indicates a bullish sentiment across several key ETFs, particularly in longer-term horizons of 15-30 days. Broad market ETFs like DIA, QQQ, and SPY show strong buy signals, supported by positive MACD crossovers, RSI levels above 60, and upward SMA trends. Sector strength is notable in financials (despite a short-term sell), healthcare, real estate, and energy exploration. Bonds (BND) remain stable with mild buys, reflecting low volatility amid potential rate adjustments.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

Bullish signals dominate, with strong buys in DIA (20 days), IJH (15, 25 days), KBE (20, 30 days), QQQ (15, 20, 30 days), SPY (25 days), URTY (20 days), XBI (30 days), XHB (15 days), XHS (20 days), XLRE (20 days), XLU (15 days), XLV (10 days), XOP (15, 30 days), and XRT (25 days). The sole strong bearish signal is in XLF (20 days), possibly due to overbought conditions indicated by high RSI and Parabolic SAR reversals.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to February 3, signals show minor shifts: SPY's strong buy moved from 10 and 25 days to 25 days only, while XLV added a strong buy at 10 days. XHB introduced a weak sell at 5 days, contrasting its previous buy. From late January (e.g., January 31), bullish signals have strengthened in biotech (XBI) and retail (XRT), aligning with improving MFI and Stochastic indicators, suggesting sustained momentum from mid-January.

Explanations Tied to Technical Indicators

Buy signals are driven by bullish APO trends, positive DMI, MACD bullish crossovers, and RSI recoveries from oversold levels. Strong buys (BUY) reflect alignment across multiple indicators with high back-test accuracy (>80%). Sells indicate overbought RSI (>70), bearish Ultimate Oscillator, or SMA downtrends. Neutrals arise from inconclusive Time Series Forecasts or Stochastic readings.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDbuybuy
DIAbuyBUYbuy
GLD
IJHbuyBUYBUYbuy
IWMbuy
JNKbuybuybuybuy
KBEbuyBUYbuyBUY
QQQBUYBUYBUY
SPYbuyBUY
TQQQ
UPRObuybuybuy
URTYBUY
XBIbuybuyBUY
XES
XHBsellBUYbuybuybuy
XHSBUY
XLB
XLE
XLFSELL
XLIbuy
XLK
XLP
XLREbuyBUYbuy
XLUBUY
XLVBUYbuy
XLY
XME
XOPbuybuyBUYBUY
XRTsellbuyBUY

Strong Consensus Trends and External Confirmations

DIA (Strong Buy at 20 days)

IJH (Strong Buy at 15, 25 days)

KBE (Strong Buy at 20, 30 days)

QQQ (Strong Buy at 15, 20, 30 days)

SPY (Strong Buy at 25 days)

URTY (Strong Buy at 20 days)

XBI (Strong Buy at 30 days)

XHB (Strong Buy at 15 days)

XHS (Strong Buy at 20 days)

XLRE (Strong Buy at 20 days)

XLU (Strong Buy at 15 days)

XLV (Strong Buy at 10 days)

XOP (Strong Buy at 15, 30 days)

XRT (Strong Buy at 25 days)

XLF (Strong Sell at 20 days)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 4, 2026.

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