ETF Technical Analysis Synopsis: February 03, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis indicates a generally bullish outlook for major stock market ETFs over medium to longer-term horizons (15-30 days), driven by indicators such as MACD, RSI, and SMA crossovers showing upward momentum in broad indices. Sectors like technology (QQQ), energy (XOP), and retail (XRT) show strong buy signals, suggesting potential growth amid economic recovery and sector-specific tailwinds. However, short-term signals are mixed, with some sells in financials (XLF) and healthcare (XLV), reflecting possible near-term volatility. The market appears resilient, but caution is advised due to potential macroeconomic shifts.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

• Bullish: Strong BUY signals dominate in QQQ across all horizons, DIA for 20-25 days, SPY for 10 and 25 days, XOP for 15 and 30 days, and XRT for 25-30 days, pointing to momentum in tech, broad market, energy, and retail sectors.
• Bearish: Strong SELL in XLF for 20 days, indicating potential weakness in financials; weak sells in XRT for 5-10 days and XLV for 5 days.

Comparisons to Prior Data (January 31)

Key changes include new BUY signals for IWM (30 days), URTY (10 and 25 days), XLE (25 days), and XLV (25 days). Downgrades from BUY to buy in DIA (15 and 30 days), UPRO (20 days), and XBI (20 days). New sells in XHS (5 days), XLK (25 days), and XLV (5 days). Overall, signals have strengthened in small-caps and energy while weakening slightly in some leveraged and health areas.

Explanations Tied to Technical Indicators

These signals are derived from a combination of technical tools including Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), Directional Movement Index (DMI), MACD, RSI, and SMA crossovers. Bullish consensus (buy/BUY) emerges when multiple indicators show positive momentum, such as upward crossovers and overbought RSI in growth sectors. Bearish signals (sell/SELL) indicate potential reversals from overextended trends or negative divergences.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND				buy		buy
DIA			buy	BUY	BUY	buy
GLD
IJH		buy	BUY		BUY	buy
IWM	buy					BUY
JNK					buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	BUY
QQQ	buy		BUY	BUY	BUY	BUY
SPY		BUY			BUY	buy
TQQQ
UPRO				buy	BUY
URTY		BUY			BUY
XBI				buy	buy	BUY
XES
XHB		buy		buy	buy	buy
XHS	sell			BUY	buy
XLB	buy
XLE					BUY
XLF		sell		SELL
XLI	buy
XLK				BUY	sell
XLP
XLRE				BUY
XLU			BUY
XLV	sell				BUY	buy
XLY
XME
XOP		buy	BUY		buy	BUY
XRT	sell	sell		buy	BUY	BUY

Handling Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs with strong BUY or SELL signals, recent sources provide mixed views:

DIA (BUY 20-25 days)

• DIA - Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Predicts average $451.68 in 2026, down from ~$489, contradicting BUY with a bearish outlook based on lower estimates.
• 6 ETF Predictions for 2026 - Yahoo Finance: Optimistic on SPY/DIA gains from AI and energy, agreeing with BUY via projections to 7,500-8,000 for S&P (implying DIA upside).
• Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast: Expects 5.7% rise in 3 months, supporting short-term BUY.

IJH (BUY 15,25 days)

• IJH - Ishares Core S P Mid Cap Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $68.82 in 2026, slightly up from ~$68.67, mildly agreeing with BUY.
• Ishares Core S&p Mid-cap Etf ETF Price Forecast: Predicts 9.68% rise in 3 months, supporting BUY.

IWM (BUY 30 days)

• iShares Russell 2000 ETF Fund Forecast, "IWM" Fund Predictons by days: 2026: Projects up to ~$268 by end-2026, up from ~$259, agreeing with BUY.
• Ishares Russell 2000 ETF Price Forecast: Expects 11.39% rise in 3 months, supporting long-term BUY.

KBE (BUY 20-30 days)

• Spdr S&p Bank Etf ETF Price Forecast: Predicts 14.01% rise in 3 months, agreeing with BUY.
• Bank ETFs in Spotlight as US National Debt Crosses $38 Trillion: Highlights potential 2026 opportunities for banks like KBE amid debt dynamics, mildly agreeing.

QQQ (BUY multiple)

• INVESCO QQQ STOCK PRICE PREDICTION 2026: Average ~$676 in 2026, up from ~$626, agreeing with BUY.
• Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026?: Bullish on tech-heavy indices, supporting QQQ BUY.

SPY (BUY 10,25 days)

• S&P 500 ETF STOCK PRICE PREDICTION 2026: Average ~$662 in 2026, down from ~$695, contradicting BUY.
• Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026?: Discusses potential 21.5% rise to $800, agreeing with BUY.

UPRO (BUY 25 days)

• UPRO - Proshares Ultrapro S P 500 Etf 3 X Shares Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $99 in 2026, down from ~$121, contradicting BUY.
• Proshares Ultrapro S&p500 Proshares Ultrapro S&p500 ETF Price Forecast: Expects 7.78% rise in 3 months, mildly agreeing.

URTY (BUY 10,25 days)

• URTY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis: AI models suggest stability/upside in leveraged small-caps, agreeing with BUY.
• URTY - Proshares Ultrapro Russell 2000 3 X Shares Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $54 in 2026, down from ~$61, contradicting.

XBI (BUY 30 days)

• XBI - State Street Spdr S P Biotech Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $146 in 2026, up from ~$125, agreeing with BUY.
• Biotech: Time For A Pause To Start 2026: Suggests headwinds early 2026, mildly contradicting long-term BUY.

XHS (BUY 20 days)

• XHS - State Street Spdr S P Health Care Services Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $89.64 in 2026, down from ~$106, contradicting BUY.
• Spdr S&p Health Care Services Etf ETF Price Forecast: Expects 6.94% rise in 3 months, agreeing.

XLE (BUY 25 days)

• Xle ETF Price Forecast: Expects 1.07% daily gain pattern, mildly agreeing.
• XLE - State Street Energy Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $75 in 2026, up from ~$51, agreeing with BUY.

XLF (SELL 20 days)

• XLF - State Street Financial Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $46.78 in 2026, down from ~$53, agreeing with SELL.
• Will 2026 be a Great Year for Banks?: Optimistic on banks, contradicting SELL with growth projections.

XLK (BUY 20 days)

• XLK - State Street Technology Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $322 in 2026, up from ~$145, agreeing with BUY.
• XLK Forecast — Price Prediction for 2026: Positive signals, supporting BUY.

XLRE (BUY 20 days)

• XLRE - State Street Real Estate Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Forecast 2026: Average $41.73 in 2026, up slightly from ~$41, mildly agreeing.
• The Real Estate Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast: Expects 4.53% rise in 3 months, supporting BUY.

XLU (BUY 15 days)

• XLU - State Street Utilities Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $74.54 in 2026, up from ~$43, agreeing with BUY.
• The Utilities Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast: Expects -4.79% fall in 3 months, contradicting BUY.

XLV (BUY 25 days)

• XLV - State Street Health Care Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Forecast 2026: Average $182.98 in 2026, up from ~$155, agreeing with BUY.
• The Health Care Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast: 0.598% gain pattern, mildly agreeing.

XOP (BUY 15,30 days)

• XOP Forecast — Price Prediction for 2026: Anticipates trading channel, neutral.
• XOP - State Street Spdr SP Oil Gas Exploration Production Etf Stock Forecast 2026: Average $102 in 2026, down from ~$136, contradicting BUY.

XRT (BUY 25,30 days)

• Spdr S&p Retail Etf ETF Price Forecast: Expects 13.47% rise in 3 months, agreeing with BUY.
• XRT - State Street Spdr S P Retail Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $107 in 2026, up from ~$86, agreeing.

What I Own

Full disclosure, as of Jan 30th, I own KBE, IJH, XLY and XOP.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 03, 2026

Decoding ETF Signals: Technical Breakdown for Key Funds

ETF Technical Analysis Update: January 31, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

As we close out January 2026, the technical analysis of various ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook for major market indices over the medium to long term. Indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showing positive crossovers, Relative Strength Index (RSI) levels above 50 indicating momentum, and Simple Moving Average (SMA) alignments suggest upward trends in broad market ETFs like DIA, SPY, and QQQ. However, sector-specific ETFs show mixed signals, with energy-related ones like XOP displaying strength in shorter horizons but neutrality longer term, potentially influenced by Parabolic SAR trends and Money Flow Index (MFI) readings.

Bullish highlights include strong buy consensus for DIA across 15-30 day periods, driven by consistent Directional Movement Index (DMI) positives and Ultimate Oscillator uptrends. Bearish signals are limited, with XRT showing a weak sell in the 5-day horizon, possibly due to Stochastic Momentum Indicator overbought conditions.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to the January 30 analysis, signals remain largely stable with minor upgrades. For instance, SPY has strengthened its 25-day signal to a strong BUY from neutral, reflecting improved Time Series Forecast projections. QQQ maintains strong buys but added a weak buy in the 5-day period. On the bearish side, XLF's 20-day sell from previous days has persisted but not intensified. Overall, the market sentiment has tilted slightly more bullish week-over-week, with fewer neutral signals in key indices compared to mid-January data.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND	buy		buy
DIA			BUY	BUY	BUY	BUY
GLD
IJH		buy	BUY		BUY	buy
IWM		buy				buy
JNK					buy	buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	BUY
QQQ	buy		BUY	BUY		BUY
SPY	buy		buy		BUY
TQQQ
UPRO				BUY	BUY	buy
URTY
XBI				BUY	buy	buy
XES
XHB	buy			buy	buy	buy
XHS				BUY
XLB
XLE
XLF				sell
XLI
XLK				BUY
XLP
XLRE				BUY
XLU			BUY
XLV				buy	buy	buy
XLY
XME
XOP	buy	buy	BUY		buy	buy
XRT	sell			buy	BUY

Strong Consensus Trends Analysis

For ETFs showing strong BUY signals, we've reviewed recent articles to validate or challenge these calls based on external forecasts.

DIA (Strong BUY in 15-30 days)

• 6 ETF Predictions for 2026 - Yahoo Finance: The article is optimistic about major indices, forecasting S&P 500 gains up to 8,000 (from ~6,929), which aligns with DIA's bullish signals due to similar market drivers like AI and economic growth. Agrees with the BUY call.
• Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy DIA? - StockInvest.us: Predicts a 5.57% rise in 3 months, supporting the positive momentum indicated by our indicators. Agrees with the BUY call.
• SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Fund Forecast, "DIA" Price Prediction Charts - Wallet Investor: Forecasts an 8% increase over the year, reinforcing the long-term upward trend. Agrees with the BUY call.

QQQ (Strong BUY in 15,20,30 days)

• Invesco Qqq Trust Series 1 Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - StockScan: Predicts an average of $676 (from $621), a +8.76% gain, driven by tech sector strength. Agrees with the BUY call.
• Quarterly Highlights for the Invesco QQQ ETF: Positive outlook on AI investments and earnings growth, supporting bullish technicals. Agrees with the BUY call.

KBE (Strong BUY in 20-30 days)

• Spdr S&p Bank Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy KBE? - StockInvest.us: Suggests a 14% rise in 3 months, citing positive moving averages. Agrees with the BUY call.
• SPDR® S&P Bank Fund Forecast: up to $66.319! - KBE Fund Price Prediction... - Wallet Investor: Minor upside predicted, aligning with banking sector recovery. Agrees with the BUY call.

XOP (Strong BUY in 15 days)

• SPDR® S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Fund Forecast: up to $135.663!...: Slight upside to $139 from $136, but overall modest. Partially agrees with the BUY call.
• XOP: My Outlook For Oil And Gas Through Year-End 2026 - Seeking Alpha: Bearish due to supply glut, predicting downward pressure. Disagrees with the BUY call.

SPY (Strong BUY in 25 days)

• Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026? - Yahoo Finance: Discusses potential 21.5% rise to $800, based on economic factors. Agrees with the BUY call.
• Spdr S&p 500 Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy SPY? - StockInvest.us: 3.22% rise in 3 months predicted. Agrees with the BUY call.

What I Own

Full disclosure, as of Jan 30th, I own KBE, IJH, XLY and XOP.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 31, 2026.

Navigating ETF Trends: Buy/Sell Signals for the Week Ahead

ETF Technical Analysis Update: January 28, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest ETF analysis shows a bullish outlook, driven by MACD, RSI, SMA crossovers, and DMI indicators. Large-caps (DIA, SPY, QQQ) and mid/small-caps (IJH, IWM) signal buys. Sectors like banking (KBE), health (XHS), materials (XLB), staples (XLP), and retail (XRT) are positive. Bonds (BND) are bearish long-term; leveraged tech (TQQQ) shows a strong sell due to MFI overbought and Parabolic SAR reversals.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish: Strong buys in DIA (25d), IJH (25d), KBE (20/25d), QQQ (15/20/30d), SPY (10d), XHS (20/30d), XLB (15d), XLP (25d), XRT (10d). Bearish: Sells in BND (25/30d), strong sell in TQQQ (25d).

Comparisons to Prior Data

Vs. January 27: Signals stable, minor XHB downgrade from strong BUY to buy at 25d, possibly APO softening. Over the week (from Jan 21): Consistent equity bullishness, fewer neutrals.

Confirming External Views on Strong Consensus Trends

DIA (Strong BUY at 25d)

• Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast: Predicts 5.45% rise in 3 months, aligns with bullish signal.
• SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Forecast: Long-term increase supports strong buy.

IJH (Strong BUY at 25d)

• IJH Stock Price Forecast 2026-2050: Avg $68.82 in 2026, upside potential confirms mid-cap buy.
• iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap Forecast: Upward short-term movement agrees.

KBE (Strong BUY at 20/25d)

• Bank ETFs in Spotlight: KBE up 17% past year; 2026 favors banks.
• KBE Tiny ETF with Huge Potential: Buy ratings support bullish call.

QQQ (Strong BUY at 15/20/30d)

• INVESCO QQQ STOCK PREDICTION 2026-2030: End Jan at $642, bullish tech momentum.
• Invesco Qqq Trust Forecast: Avg $676 in 2026 confirms long-term buy.

SPY (Strong BUY at 10d)

• S&P 500 ETF PREDICTION 2026-2030: Feb avg up, max 765 agrees with market buy.
• SPY Stock Price Forecast: Avg $662.95 in 2026 bullish.

XHS (Strong BUY at 20/30d)

• Betting on a Boom: 3 Healthcare ETFs: Healthcare rebound in 2026 agrees with buy.
• Consumer Staples Exploding Higher: Sector strength supports (adjacent).

XLB (Strong BUY at 15d)

• XLB Stock Price Forecast: Avg $117.88 in 2026, upside agrees.
• Materials Select Sector SPDR Forecast: Long-term increase confirms.

XLP (Strong BUY at 25d)

• Bullish Case for Consumer Staples: Rallies presaged for XLP.
• XLP Forecast: Avg $87.91 in 2026 upside.

XRT (Strong BUY at 10d)

• XRT Stock Price Forecast: Avg $107.43 in 2026 bullish retail.
• SPDR S&P Retail Forecast: Positive agrees with buy.

TQQQ (Strong SELL at 25d)

• PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ PREDICTION: Mixed Feb forecast, potential pullback.
• TQQQ in 2026: Inflation focus may lead to corrections in leveraged ETFs.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND			buy		sell	sell
DIA	buy	buy	buy	buy	BUY
GLD
IJH	buy				BUY
IWM	buy					buy
JNK						buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	buy
QQQ			BUY	BUY		BUY
SPY		BUY		buy
TQQQ					SELL
UPRO				buy	buy
URTY
XBI	buy			buy		buy
XES
XHB	buy			buy	buy	buy
XHS				BUY	buy	BUY
XLB			BUY		sell
XLE
XLF
XLI
XLK
XLP					BUY	buy
XLRE
XLU
XLV			buy		buy	buy
XLY
XME
XOP	buy	buy
XRT		BUY		buy		buy

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 28, 2026

Riding the Wave: Strong Buy Opportunities in Major ETFs

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis of key ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook across major indices and sectors, tempered by some cautionary signals in leveraged and bond-related funds. Using indicators such as MACD crossovers, RSI levels, and SMA trends, we observe strong momentum in large-cap and tech-heavy ETFs, suggesting potential upward price movements over the next 5 to 30 days. However, bonds (BND) show sell signals, indicating possible weakness in fixed income. Overall, the market appears resilient, with bullish trends driven by positive DMI and Ultimate Oscillator readings.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Key bullish highlights include strong BUY signals for DIA (25 days), QQQ (15, 20, 30 days), and sectors like financials (XLF 25, 30 days) and consumer staples (XLP 25 days). These suggest robust buying opportunities based on Parabolic SAR reversals and Stochastic Momentum upturns. On the bearish side, TQQQ shows a strong SELL at 25 days, potentially due to overbought RSI conditions in leveraged tech exposure.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to January 24 data, notable shifts include SPY introducing a sell signal at 5 days (previously absent), while maintaining buys in longer horizons. TQQQ's 25-day signal strengthened from sell to SELL, indicating increased bearish conviction. IJH and KBE continue their strong buy trends, showing consistency in mid-cap and banking sectors. These changes align with recent MACD divergences and MFI adjustments, reflecting evolving market dynamics.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND			buy		sell	sell
DIA	buy	buy	buy	buy	BUY
IJH	buy				BUY
IWM	buy
JNK						buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	buy
QQQ			BUY	BUY		BUY
SPY	sell	BUY	buy	buy	buy	buy
TQQQ					SELL
UPRO	sell	BUY		buy
URTY					BUY
XBI				buy	buy	buy
XHB				buy	BUY
XHS				BUY	buy	BUY
XLB			BUY
XLF					BUY	BUY
XLP					BUY	buy
XLV						buy
XLY		buy
XOP	buy	buy			sell
XRT		BUY		buy		buy

Strong Consensus Trends and External Views

For strong BUY/SELL signals, we've reviewed recent articles and discussions:

• DIA 25 days BUY:
  • Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Technical Analysis - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/diamonds-trust-technical
    Description: Agrees with BUY, citing Strong Buy based on moving averages and indicators.
  • Title: Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy DIA? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/DIA
    Description: Agrees, forecasting a 5.24% rise in 3 months.
  • Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Fund Forecast, "DIA" Price Prediction Charts - Wallet Investor
    Link: https://walletinvestor.com/fund-forecast/dia-fund-prediction
    Description: Agrees, predicting long-term increase to 533 USD in a year.
• SPY 10 days BUY:
  • Title: SPY ETF Daily Update, 1/26/2026 - TipRanks.com
    Link: https://www.tipranks.com/news/spy-etf-daily-update-1-26-2026
    Description: Agrees with upside potential of 17.63%.
  • Title: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Technical Analysis - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/spdr-s-p-500-technical
    Description: Strong Buy signal, agreeing with the forecast.
  • Title: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Technical Analysis: Charts, Trends & Key Indicators
    Link: https://financhill.com/stock-price-chart/spy-technical-analysis
    Description: Strongly bullish trend, supporting BUY.
• QQQ multiple BUY:
  • Title: Invesco QQQ Trust ETF Technical Analysis - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/powershares-qqqq-technical
    Description: Strong Buy, aligning with our signals.
  • Title: Qqq ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy QQQ? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/QQQ
    Description: Positive forecast, but notes potential double top sell signal.
  • Title: Invesco QQQ ETF Price — NASDAQ:QQQ - TradingView
    Link: https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-QQQ
    Description: Buy rating, with weekly outlooks suggesting upside.
• TQQQ 25 days SELL:
  • Title: Tqqq ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy TQQQ? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/TQQQ
    Description: Agrees with SELL, forecasting -2.97% in 3 months.
  • Title: Is TQQQ ETF still a buy after falling -6.30% on Tuesday? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/is-tqqq-etf-still-a-buy-after-falling-630-on-tuesday-2026-01-20
    Description: Supports bearish view with sell signals from moving averages.
  • Title: ProShares UltraPro QQQ Trade Ideas — BMV:TQQQ - TradingView
    Link: https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BMV-TQQQ/ideas
    Description: Mixed, with some predicting pullback, agreeing with SELL.
• XLF 25,30 BUY:
  • Title: SPDR Financial Sector $XLF Blue Box Area Offering a Buying Opportunity
    Link: https://elliottwave-forecast.com/stock-market/spdr-financial-sector-xlf-blue-box-area-offering-a-buying-opportunity
    Description: Bullish, suggesting continued upward trend.
  • Title: State Street Financial Sel Sec SPDR ETF (XLF) Stock Forecast: 1-Year Price Prediction & Outlook – Financhill
    Link: https://financhill.com/stock-forecast/XLF-stock-prediction
    Description: Average score implies lower risk, supporting buy.
  • Title: State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) - Stock Analysis
    Link: https://stockanalysis.com/etf/xlf
    Description: Upgrade to buy, primed for record highs.
• XLP 25 BUY:
  • Title: The Bullish Technical Case for Consumer Staples Stocks in 2026 - Barron's
    Link: https://www.barrons.com/articles/bullish-technicals-consumer-staples-target-coca-cola-stock-2026-d9a8da3c
    Description: Bullish engulfing pattern, history suggests upside.
  • Title: State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® ETF (XLP) - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/spdr---consumer-staples
    Description: Strong Buy signal.
  • Title: State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock (XLP) Forecast - StockScan
    Link: https://stockscan.io/stocks/XLP/forecast
    Description: Positive forecast, average +6.20% in 2026.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 27, 2026

Recreated ETF Predictions: Strong Trends in 2026 Using MACD, RSI, and More

Hey folks, I'm Joe, a former programmer with a passion for technical analysis. I use indicators like the Absolute Price Oscillator, Directional Movement Index, MACD, Money Flow Index, Parabolic SAR, Relative Strength Index, Simple Moving Average, Stochastic Momentum Indicator, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator to spot trends in ETFs. Today, I found a mistake in my January 24 data and recreated the CSV file. Here's the updated analysis for ETFs like BND, DIA, GLD, and others. I'll show a consensus table based on my signals—remember, "buy" means weak buy, "BUY" strong buy, "sell" weak sell, "SELL" strong sell, and blank means no clear call.

Consensus Signal Table

This table summarizes the buy/sell signals over 5 to 30 days. Consensus is based on the signals: Strong Buy if there's at least one "BUY" and net positive signals; Strong Sell if "SELL" and net negative; Weak Buy/Sell for lowercase only; Mixed if conflicting strong signals; No Call otherwise.

Symbol	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days	Consensus
BND			buy		sell	sell	Mixed
DIA	buy		buy	buy	BUY		Strong Buy
IJH			BUY		BUY	buy	Strong Buy
IWM	buy						Weak Buy
JNK						buy	Weak Buy
KBE				BUY		buy	Strong Buy
QQQ			BUY	BUY		BUY	Strong Buy
SPY			buy	buy	buy	buy	Weak Buy
TQQQ	sell				sell		Weak Sell
UPRO				buy		buy	Weak Buy
URTY					BUY		Strong Buy
XBI						buy	Weak Buy
XES					BUY		Strong Buy
XHB					buy	buy	Weak Buy
XHS				BUY	buy	BUY	Strong Buy
XLB				buy			Weak Buy
XLE	buy						Weak Buy
XLF					BUY	BUY	Strong Buy
XLP					BUY	buy	Strong Buy
XLRE					sell		Weak Sell
XLV				buy		BUY	Strong Buy
XLY		buy					Weak Buy
XOP	buy	BUY		SELL			Mixed
XRT				buy	BUY		Strong Buy

Deep Dive into Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs with a Strong Buy or Sell consensus, I searched online for articles and conversations to see if they confirm or contradict my calls. Here's what I found—titles, links, and why they agree or disagree.

DIA - Strong Buy

My analysis shows strong buy signals, especially over 25 days, using MACD and RSI trends.

• Title: DIA vs. VUG: Is Dow Stability or Big Tech Growth the Better Choice for Investors? Link: https://www.fool.com/coverage/etfs/2026/01/17/dia-vs-vug-is-dow-stability-or-big-tech-growth-the-better-choice-for-investors Description: The author leans toward DIA for stability, agreeing with my buy call as it highlights positive options like long calls.
• Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Technical Analysis Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/diamonds-trust-technical Description: RSI suggests buy, aligning with my consensus for upward trend.
• Title: $DIA — Weekly (1W) 📊 Link: https://x.com/TamirTiko2110/status/2012906969607373056 Description: Author notes bullish trend but cautions at resistance, partially agreeing but suggests watch for pullback, contradicting full strong buy.
• Title: 2026- First 3-4 Month Sell On Rise... Link: https://x.com/RealMarketMonk/status/2008429155185279286 Description: Predicts sell in early 2026, contradicting my buy call based on astrology view.

QQQ - Strong Buy

Multiple strong buys over 15-30 days from my indicators like Parabolic SAR.

• Title: 1 Reason Why Now Is a Great Time to Buy the Invesco QQQ Trust Link: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/01/19/1-reason-why-now-great-time-buy-invesco-qqq-trust Description: Highlights strong past returns, agreeing with buy for growth.
• Title: Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) Daily Update, 1/23/2026 Link: https://www.tipranks.com/news/invesco-qqq-trust-etf-qqq-daily-update-1-23-2026 Description: Rated moderate buy with upside potential, confirming my strong buy.
• Title: $QQQ — ROADMAP + TRADE PLAN Link: https://x.com/corymagana1/status/2013592517724557503 Description: Suggests bullish above key levels, agreeing with buy but notes resistance.
• Title: 02 Jan 2026: Happy New Year! 🎆 Link: https://x.com/Clement_Ang17/status/2006627666674463033 Description: Expresses concern over technical picture, contradicting with potential sell-off.

XOP - Mixed

Mixed with strong buy early but strong sell at 20 days; watch carefully.

• Title: Should You Invest in the State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)? Link: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/should-you-invest-state-street-spdr-sp-oil-gas-exploration-production-etf-xop-0 Description: Notes year-to-date gains but recent losses, neutral but leans hold over buy/sell.
• Title: XOP Forecast — Price Prediction for 2026. Should I Buy XOP? Link: https://intellectia.ai/stock/XOP/forecast Description: Positive January seasonality, agreeing with early buy signals.
• Title: 912 Playbook: Mid-January Edition: Trader Trend: $XOP Stopped Link: https://x.com/912_Fin_Grp/status/2013705084392165815 Description: Suspended bullish outlook, contradicting buy but aligning with sell signals.
• Title: 2026- First 3-4 Month Sell On Rise... Link: https://x.com/RealMarketMonk/status/2008429155185279286 Description: Suggests sell early 2026, agreeing with my sell at 20 days.

XLV - Strong Buy

Strong buy over longer terms from my Stochastic and Ultimate Oscillator.

• Title: Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF Technical Analysis Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/spdr---health-care-technical Description: Suggests sell, contradicting my strong buy call.
• Title: The Health Care Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XLV? Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/XLV Description: Indicates further fall, disagreeing with buy.
• Title: YTD Performance 🟢 XLB 10.19%... Link: https://x.com/Rzn_van/status/2014815861769400620 Description: Shows positive YTD, agreeing with buy trend.
• Title: 🚨Sector ETFs Golden Cross Bullish... Link: https://x.com/Pynvestment/status/2013718241105915907 Description: Lists XLV as bullish with gains, confirming buy.

XLP - Strong Buy

Buy signals in later periods per my Time Series Forecast.

• Title: Should You Invest in the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP)? Link: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/should-you-invest-state-street-consumer-staples-select-sector-spdr-etf-xlp Description: Notes positive gains, agreeing with buy.
• Title: XLP Stock Forecast & Price Target 2026 | Is XLP a Good Stock to Buy? Link: https://rockflow.ai/stocks/xlp Description: Suggests modest gains, supporting weak to strong buy.
• Title: 2026- First 3-4 Month Sell On Rise... Link: https://x.com/RealMarketMonk/status/2008429155185279286 Description: Predicts sell early, contradicting buy.
• Title: YTD Performance 🟢 XLB 10.19%... Link: https://x.com/Rzn_van/status/2014815861769400620 Description: Positive YTD for XLP, agreeing with buy.

XLF - Strong Buy

Strong buys in 25-30 days from Money Flow Index trends.

• Title: Should You Invest in the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)? Link: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/should-you-invest-state-street-financial-select-sector-spdr-etf-xlf Description: Notes losses YTD but positive over year, neutral to hold.
• Title: 3 Reasons Why XLF Is My Top Pick To Beat The Market In 2026 Link: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4854520-3-reasons-why-xlf-is-my-top-pick-to-beat-the-market-in-2026 Description: Rates strong buy, fully agreeing with my consensus.
• Title: 🚨Sector ETFs Golden Cross Bullish... Link: https://x.com/Pynvestment/status/2013718241105915907 Description: Lists XLF as bullish with high gains, confirming strong buy.
• Title: YTD Performance 🟢 XLB 10.19%... Link: https://x.com/Rzn_van/status/2014815861769400620 Description: Shows negative YTD, contradicting buy call.

Remember, this is my hobby analysis—do your own research! Follow me on X @joe_mcverry for more updates.

Stock Trends Update: Strong Buys in Broad Markets and Key Sectors – Jan 23 Analysis

Hey everyone, Joe here from Raleigh, NC – it's early morning on January 23, 2026, and I'm back with my daily look at ETF trends. As a former programmer, I geek out on technical analysis tools like MACD, RSI, Stochastic, and others to spot if prices might go up or down. My spreadsheet crunches these for ETFs like SPY, QQQ, and more, over 5 to 30 days. It flags "buy" for weak upsides, "BUY" for strong ones, "sell" for weak downs, "SELL" for big drops – or nothing if it's neutral. Today's data shows bullish vibes in broad markets, but some sells in bonds and energy. Let's break it down simply.

Quick Recap of the Data

Compared to yesterday's sheet, we see more buys in mid-caps and financials. Tools like the Ultimate Oscillator and Parabolic SAR are pointing up for indexes, while Money Flow Index shows caution in gold and utilities. Backtest scores (that last column) are decent, especially longer-term, meaning these calls have worked about 70-90% historically.

Consensus Signal Table

Here's a table summing up the signals from today's CSV. I grouped by time periods, with colors for easy spotting: light green for weak buy, dark for strong; light red for weak sell, dark for strong. Consensus is my simple take on the overall trend.

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days	Consensus Trend
BND	buy		buy		sell	sell	Mixed (Short buy, long sell)
DIA				BUY	buy		Buy (Medium-term)
GLD							Neutral
IJH			BUY		BUY	buy	Strong Buy
IWM	buy					buy	Buy (Short/long)
JNK						BUY	Long Buy
KBE				BUY			Medium Buy
QQQ		BUY		BUY		BUY	Strong Buy
SPY		BUY	buy	BUY	BUY	BUY	Strong Buy
TQQQ	sell				sell		Sell
UPRO							Neutral (Partial data)
URTY							Neutral
XBI							Neutral
XES							Neutral
XHB							Neutral
XHS							Neutral
XLB							Neutral
XLE							Neutral
XLF					BUY	BUY	Strong Buy (Long)
XLI			BUY				Medium Buy
XLK				sell	sell		Sell
XLP					BUY	buy	Buy (Long)
XLRE					sell		Sell
XLU							Neutral
XLV						BUY	Long Buy
XLY			sell				Sell
XME							Neutral
XOP	buy	BUY		SELL	sell		Mixed (Buy short, sell medium)
XRT				buy	BUY		Buy

Spotlight on Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs with a "Strong Buy" consensus (like multiple BUYs or overall bullish), I checked online for recent articles or chats. Here's what I found – titles, links, and why they agree or disagree with the call. Simple stuff: if the author sees upside, it confirms; if not, it pushes back.

• IJH (Strong Buy): This mid-cap ETF looks strong across periods. Article "IJH Stock Forecast & Price Target 2026 | Is IJH a Good Stock to Buy?" from rockflow.ai agrees, projecting $85-$95 by end-2026 on steady growth, matching the buy signal. Another from stockinvest.us, "Ishares Core S&p Mid-cap Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy IJH?" upgrades to strong buy, expecting 7.69% rise in 3 months due to positive moving averages, confirming the trend.
• QQQ (Strong Buy): Tech-heavy, with buys at 10,20,30 days. "INVESCO QQQ STOCK PRICE PREDICTION 2026, 2027, 2028-2030" from longforecast.com agrees partly, forecasting average $640 by June 2026 (up from ~$618), but notes some dips, overall bullish. "Hot 2026 Start for This ETF Could Signal Durable Upside" from etftrends.com talks related small-cap but implies QQQ upside from AI and rates, supporting the call.
• SPY (Strong Buy): Broad market, strong across most periods. "Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026?" from Yahoo Finance agrees it could, needing 21.5% rise, but depends on policy; optimistic on GDP. "10 Predictions For 2026" from Seeking Alpha sees S&P continuing up on cooling inflation and Fed cuts, confirming strong buy.
• XLF (Strong Buy - Long): Financials shining at 25-30 days. "3 Reasons Why XLF Is My Top Pick To Beat The Market In 2026" from Seeking Alpha strongly agrees, citing stable outlook, strong earnings, cheap valuations vs. SPY. "Should You Invest in the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)?" from Nasdaq rates strong buy on momentum and low expense, backing the long-term call.

Final Thoughts

Overall, the signals lean buy on big indexes and financials – my TA tools like RSI are above 50 for these, showing momentum. But watch sells in TQQQ and XOP, where oscillators dip. If you're trading, start small and check your risk. I will be posting tomorrow!

– Joe McVerry

ETF Trend Watch: Broad Market Strengthens While Some Areas Pause

ETF Technical Update – January 22, 2026: SPY Hits Strong Buy as Broad Market Strength Holds

Hi everyone, Joe here with the latest daily scan of my favorite ETFs using a basket of classic technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Stochastic, Money Flow, Parabolic SAR, and others). These are the same tools I’ve been tracking for years as a hobbyist – nothing fancy, just trying to spot trends early.

Today’s big headline: the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) strengthened to a STRONG BUY overall, with especially bullish readings in the longer 20-30 day windows. That’s an upgrade from yesterday. The broader market ETFs (DIA, QQQ, IJH, etc.) are still mostly positive, though a few small-cap and sector readings cooled a bit.

Bonds remain neutral, gold shows a mild positive tilt, and many individual sectors are mixed or neutral. Leveraged ETFs (TQQQ, UPRO, URTY) are mostly neutral – a reminder that leverage amplifies everything, including sideways moves.

Consensus Signal Table – January 22, 2026

Short-term = 5-15 days out
Long-term = 20-30 days out
Overall = all six time frames combined
Avg Historical Accuracy = simple average of past correct calls for that ETF across all periods.

ETF	Short-Term (5-15 days)	Long-Term (20-30 days)	Overall	Avg Back-Testig Accuracy
SPY	BUY	STRONG BUY	STRONG BUY	82.6%
DIA	BUY	weak buy	BUY	80.1%
QQQ	NEUTRAL	BUY	BUY	79.8%
IJH	weak buy	weak buy	BUY	78.5%
JNK	NEUTRAL	BUY	BUY	74.8%
XES	weak buy	weak buy	BUY	74.5%
XHB	weak buy	BUY	BUY	78.6%
XHS	NEUTRAL	BUY	BUY	71.2%
XLP	weak buy	weak buy	BUY	77.3%
XRT	weak buy	BUY	BUY	72.9%
GLD	weak buy	weak buy	weak buy	76.4%
IWM	weak buy	weak buy	weak buy	79.8%
KBE	NEUTRAL	weak buy	weak buy	73.9%
UPRO	NEUTRAL	weak buy	weak buy	79.1%
URTY	NEUTRAL	weak buy	weak buy	76.4%
XBI	NEUTRAL	weak buy	weak buy	76.6%
XLE	weak buy	NEUTRAL	weak buy	75.6%
XLF	NEUTRAL	weak buy	weak buy	75.6%
XLI	weak buy	NEUTRAL	weak buy	79.1%
XLV	NEUTRAL	weak buy	weak buy	80.9%
XLY	weak buy	NEUTRAL	weak buy	76.0%
BND	weak buy	weak sell	NEUTRAL	76.3%
TQQQ	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	75.3%
XLB	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	79.2%
XLK	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	77.7%
XLRE	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	75.5%
XLU	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	79.2%
XME	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	78.4%
XOP	weak buy	weak sell	NEUTRAL	76.0%

Key Changes from Yesterday (January 21)

• SPY upgraded to STRONG BUY overall – very encouraging.
• QQQ slipped from STRONG BUY to BUY (short-term cooled).
• IWM, KBE, XBI, XLF, XLV softened slightly but still lean positive or neutral.
• XLB and XLRE improved from weak sell to neutral.
• XOP moved from BUY to neutral.

As always, these are just mechanical readings from my indicator suite – no guarantees. The historical accuracy numbers (70-83% range) are back-tested on past data, but markets can turn quickly. I’m not a financial advisor; this is purely for educational fun.

See you tomorrow with the next update!

– Joe