Data-Driven ETF Decisions: Latest Technical Analysis & Signals

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND), tracking the broad U.S. investment-grade bond market, exhibits a bearish outlook in early February 2026. Recent data shows slight declines, with RSI around 51-52 indicating neutral territory but leaning towards weakness. MACD is marginally positive at 0.04 but recent trends suggest downward pressure, supported by multiple sell signals from moving averages. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) and ADX levels imply a lack of strong trend, but overall sentiment points to caution amid rising yields and economic uncertainties.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bearish signals dominate with Strong Sell on daily charts from indicators like negative momentum turns and overbought Stochastic conditions. Parabolic SAR and Money Flow Index (MFI) suggest outflow pressures. Bullish notes include potential reversals if RSI dips below 50 and rebounds, with Ultimate Oscillator showing mixed readings. Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers are mostly sell-oriented in short terms.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to late January 2026, BND has stabilized after a minor dip, but remains down 0.03% pre-market. This contrasts with 2025's 7.08% gain, indicating a shift from positive momentum. RSI has improved slightly from oversold levels, but MACD turning negative since January 20 signals continued weakness.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND		SELL		sell

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

BND (10 Days: SELL)

• Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF Technical Analysis: Strong Sell with 8 sell signals from indicators, aligning with bearish momentum.
• BND stock forecast, quote, news & analysis: Bearish trend with MACD turning negative, supporting the SELL signal.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

DIA ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) shows mixed signals but leans bullish in early February 2026. RSI at 57 suggests moderate strength, while MACD at 2.16 indicates positive momentum. However, some sources show conflicting Strong Sell daily, possibly due to recent pullbacks. DMI and ADX point to a moderate uptrend, with seasonality favoring gains in February.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights include MACD buy signals and momentum above zero, with Stochastic suggesting reversals upward. Bearish aspects from moving averages sell signals and potential overbought conditions. Parabolic SAR and MFI show buying pressure, while Ultimate Oscillator is neutral.

Comparisons to Prior Data

From late January, DIA has dipped slightly but remains up YTD. Compared to 2025 gains, current levels near 489 reflect consolidation after highs, with RSI stable but MACD improving.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
DIA	buy		buy		BUY	buy

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

DIA (25 Days: BUY)

• SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) Stock Technical Analysis: Strong Buy with bullish MACD and moving averages.
• SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF Tr (DIA) Stocks News Today: Bullish pattern detected, supporting BUY.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

XOP ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) displays strong bullish signals in February 2026, with RSI at 71 indicating overbought but sustained momentum. MACD at 2.64 supports buys, and all indicators point to Strong Buy daily. DMI shows upward trend strength, buoyed by oil price surges.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish dominance with MACD buy, Bollinger Band breaks upward, and Stochastic reversals. Minor bearish from overbought RSI, but MFI and Parabolic SAR confirm strength. SMA crossovers all buy-oriented.

Comparisons to Prior Data

XOP up 13.90% YTD from January's 11% surge, outperforming broader markets. RSI higher than January neutrals, MACD positive since early January.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
XOP		buy		BUY		BUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

XOP (20 Days: BUY)

• SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) Stock Technical Analysis: Strong Buy with bullish indicators.
• SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF Technical Analysis: Strong Buy across metrics.

XOP (30 Days: BUY)

• ETF Monthly: January 2026 - Bullish February for S&P 500, Oil, Singapore Equities and Hang Seng Index Share Target Price: Bullish for oil ETFs like XOP in February.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

XRT ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) presents a neutral to bearish short-term view but bullish longer-term in February 2026. RSI at 41-50 indicates potential oversold rebound, MACD at 0.16 suggests mild buy. Oscillators mixed, with moving averages showing buy signals amid retail sector volatility.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish from MACD buy and oversold Stochastic, potential SMA crossovers upward. Bearish short-term with recent declines and sell from averages. MFI neutral, Parabolic SAR buy-oriented longer term.

Comparisons to Prior Data

XRT down 2.37% recently, but up from January lows. Trend rising 12.23% projected, contrasting January stability.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
XRT	sell	sell	buy	buy	buy	BUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

XRT (30 Days: BUY)

• SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) Stock Technical Analysis: Buy summary with bullish oscillators.
• State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF Overview - XRT: Positive performance metrics supporting longer-term buy.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

Sector Rotation Strategies: Enhancing ETF Portfolios with Technical Analysis

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

Sector rotation strategies involve shifting investments between different market sectors to capitalize on changing economic conditions and market cycles. By using ETFs that track specific sectors, investors can overweight strong performers and underweight laggards, potentially enhancing returns while managing risk. Our technical analysis, incorporating indicators like MACD for momentum, RSI for overbought/oversold conditions, Parabolic SAR for trend reversals, and SMA crossovers for entry/exit signals, helps identify optimal rotation points. Recent data from early 2026 shows a mix of signals, with bullish trends in technology and utilities offsetting bearish signals in financials. Compared to late January data, there's a noticeable shift towards defensive sectors like utilities amid potential economic slowdown signals, while energy remains volatile but opportunistic.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights include strong BUY signals in XLK (Technology) at 20 days, driven by positive MACD crossovers and RSI above 50, suggesting continued tech momentum. XLU (Utilities) shows BUY at 15 days, supported by Ultimate Oscillator indicating undervaluation. Bearish signals feature XLF (Financials) with SELL at 20 days, as DMI shows bearish dominance and MFI signals outflow. Energy via XOP exhibits BUY across multiple horizons, backed by Stochastic Momentum upward turns. These signals align with broader rotation strategies, where technical tools like APO and Time Series Forecast predict sector outperformance.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF (Sector)	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
XLB (Materials)			BUY
XLE (Energy)
XLF (Financials)	sell	sell		SELL
XLI (Industrials)	buy
XLK (Technology)				BUY
XLP (Consumer Staples)
XLRE (Real Estate)				buy		buy
XLU (Utilities)			BUY
XLV (Health Care)				buy
XLY (Consumer Discretionary)

Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs showing strong buy (BUY) or sell (SELL) consensus in any time period, we've reviewed recent analyses to confirm or contradict these signals.

XLB (Materials - Strong Buy at 15 Days)

The BUY signal for XLB is supported by analyses highlighting materials sector recovery amid economic expansion forecasts.

Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF - XLB Stock Price - Investing.com: The author agrees with the buy call, citing strong technical indicators like moving averages forecasting gains in materials.

A simple rotation strategy with sector ETFs - OpenBU: Supports rotation into materials as mid-performers in monthly rankings outperform benchmarks.

XLF (Financials - Strong Sell at 20 Days)

The SELL signal for XLF aligns with caution in financials due to potential rate pressures and cycle late-stage risks.

ETFs For Sector Rotation Strategies - Investopedia: Agrees with underweighting weaker sectors like financials in certain cycles, emphasizing rotation out to avoid losses.

Sector Rotation Strategies - Fidelity Investments: Suggests rotating out of late-cycle underperformers, which may include financials as growth slows.

XLK (Technology - Strong Buy at 20 Days)

XLK's BUY is confirmed by ongoing tech momentum in rotation strategies.

Use These ETFs to Capitalize on Sector Rotation - Dividend.com: Highlights tech ETFs like XLK for outperformance in bull markets via rotation.

ETF Rotation Strategies - Logical Invest: Recommends rotating into high-momentum sectors like technology for better returns.

XLU (Utilities - Strong Buy at 15 Days)

XLU's BUY reflects defensive rotation into utilities amid uncertainty.

Sector Rotation Strategies - Fidelity Investments: Notes utilities often excel in recession phases, supporting buy in defensive rotations.

A simple rotation strategy with sector ETFs - OpenBU: Includes utilities in mid-momentum portfolios for stable outperformance.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 05, 2026.

Power Plays in ETFs: Bullish Signals Dominating February 4, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The technical analysis for February 4, 2026, indicates a bullish sentiment across several key ETFs, particularly in longer-term horizons of 15-30 days. Broad market ETFs like DIA, QQQ, and SPY show strong buy signals, supported by positive MACD crossovers, RSI levels above 60, and upward SMA trends. Sector strength is notable in financials (despite a short-term sell), healthcare, real estate, and energy exploration. Bonds (BND) remain stable with mild buys, reflecting low volatility amid potential rate adjustments.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

Bullish signals dominate, with strong buys in DIA (20 days), IJH (15, 25 days), KBE (20, 30 days), QQQ (15, 20, 30 days), SPY (25 days), URTY (20 days), XBI (30 days), XHB (15 days), XHS (20 days), XLRE (20 days), XLU (15 days), XLV (10 days), XOP (15, 30 days), and XRT (25 days). The sole strong bearish signal is in XLF (20 days), possibly due to overbought conditions indicated by high RSI and Parabolic SAR reversals.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to February 3, signals show minor shifts: SPY's strong buy moved from 10 and 25 days to 25 days only, while XLV added a strong buy at 10 days. XHB introduced a weak sell at 5 days, contrasting its previous buy. From late January (e.g., January 31), bullish signals have strengthened in biotech (XBI) and retail (XRT), aligning with improving MFI and Stochastic indicators, suggesting sustained momentum from mid-January.

Explanations Tied to Technical Indicators

Buy signals are driven by bullish APO trends, positive DMI, MACD bullish crossovers, and RSI recoveries from oversold levels. Strong buys (BUY) reflect alignment across multiple indicators with high back-test accuracy (>80%). Sells indicate overbought RSI (>70), bearish Ultimate Oscillator, or SMA downtrends. Neutrals arise from inconclusive Time Series Forecasts or Stochastic readings.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND				buy	buy
DIA			buy	BUY	buy
GLD
IJH		buy	BUY		BUY	buy
IWM						buy
JNK		buy	buy		buy	buy
KBE			buy	BUY	buy	BUY
QQQ			BUY	BUY		BUY
SPY	buy				BUY
TQQQ
UPRO	buy			buy	buy
URTY				BUY
XBI				buy	buy	BUY
XES
XHB	sell		BUY	buy	buy	buy
XHS				BUY
XLB
XLE
XLF				SELL
XLI	buy
XLK
XLP
XLRE	buy			BUY		buy
XLU			BUY
XLV		BUY		buy
XLY
XME
XOP	buy	buy	BUY			BUY
XRT		sell		buy	BUY

Strong Consensus Trends and External Confirmations

DIA (Strong Buy at 20 days)

• 6 ETF Predictions for 2026 - Yahoo Finance - Agrees with bullish signal, citing optimistic S&P 500 forecasts for 2026 driven by AI and fiscal policy.
• DIA - Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - StockScan - Partially disagrees, projecting a -7.85% decline from current levels due to potential market corrections.

IJH (Strong Buy at 15, 25 days)

• IJH - Ishares Core S P Mid Cap Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Agrees, forecasting a +0.22% increase with potential highs.
• Mid-Cap ETFs in High Momentum Now: More Rally Ahead? - Yahoo Finance - Supports buy, noting mid-caps' resilience and growth potential amid declining global growth forecasts.

KBE (Strong Buy at 20, 30 days)

• KBE Is A Tiny ETF With Huge Potential For Investors in 2026 - Yahoo Finance - Strongly agrees, highlighting banking sector's decade-high profits and earnings momentum for 2026.
• Bank ETFs in Spotlight as US National Debt Crosses $38 Trillion - January 7, 2026 - Agrees with cautious optimism for banks in 2026, noting KBE's 17% gain.

QQQ (Strong Buy at 15, 20, 30 days)

• SPY & QQQ Stumble Before Key Data & 2026 Forecasts - Gotrade - Agrees, with Citi forecasting strong S&P 500 growth driven by AI and rates, benefiting QQQ.
• INVESCO QQQ STOCK PRICE PREDICTION 2026, 2027, 2028-2030 - Long Forecast - Supports buy, projecting average prices rising to highs in 2026.

SPY (Strong Buy at 25 days)

• SPY & QQQ Stumble Before Key Data & 2026 Forecasts - Gotrade - Mixed, with Bank of America cautious at 7,100 while Citi bullish at 7,700 for S&P 500 in 2026.
• SPY ETF Daily Update, 2/3/2026 - TipRanks.com - Agrees with moderate buy, implying 16.88% upside.

URTY (Strong Buy at 20 days)

• URTY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis - Tickeron - Agrees, forecasting 15-20% upside in 2026 driven by small-cap catalysts.
• ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 Fund Forecast: down to $58.803? - URTY Fund Price Prediction - Disagrees, projecting declines in 2026.

XBI (Strong Buy at 30 days)

• Biotech Could Be One of 2026's Biggest Winners, and This ETF Is Perfectly Positioned - Agrees, positioning biotech for strong 2026 with rate cuts and valuations.
• Biotech: Time For A Pause To Start 2026 | Seeking Alpha - Partially disagrees, suggesting headwinds early 2026 after surge.

XHB (Strong Buy at 15 days)

• Spdr(r) S&p(r) Homebuilders Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XHB? - Agrees, forecasting 7.73% rise in 3 months.
• Chart Of The Day: Is This A 'Sleeper Sector' For 2026? | Seeking Alpha - Supports, viewing homebuilders as 'sleeper sector' for 2026 outperformance.

XHS (Strong Buy at 20 days)

• XHS Forecast — Price Prediction for 2026. Should I Buy XHS? - Intellectia AI - Neutral, anticipating stable trading channel in 2026.

XLRE (Strong Buy at 20 days)

• 3 REIT ETFs That Could Be Red Hot in 2026 | The Motley Fool - Agrees, highlighting XLRE's exposure to growth in cloud, AI, and e-commerce.
• XLRE - State Street Real Estate Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Supports, forecasting +2.25% increase.

XLU (Strong Buy at 15 days)

• XLU stock forecast, quote, news & analysis - Tickeron - Agrees, forecasting 15-20% upside from AI power boom.
• Berkshire: One Beautiful Way To Play The Long XLI/XLU Thesis In 2026 - Supports, viewing utilities as leaders in 2026 due to AI and energy needs.

XLV (Strong Buy at 10 days)

• Betting on a Boom: 3 Healthcare ETFs for 2026 and Beyond - Yahoo Finance - Agrees, positioning healthcare for comeback in 2026 with attractive valuations.
• XLV: The Simple Case For Overweighting U.S. Health Care - Supports overweight, citing low beta and growth potential.

XOP (Strong Buy at 15, 30 days)

• XOP: My Outlook For Oil And Gas Through Year-End 2026 - Disagrees, maintaining SELL due to supply glut in 2026.
• Spdr(r) S&p(r) Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XOP? - Agrees with buy, forecasting 14.01% rise in 3 months.

XRT (Strong Buy at 25 days)

• XRT: I Underestimated The Retail Boom This Year (Rating Upgrade) - Agrees, upgrading rating due to strong retail spending momentum into 2026.
• Is State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) a Strong ETF Right Now? - Nasdaq - Supports, noting 4.42% YTD gain and positive outlook.

XLF (Strong Sell at 20 days)

• 3 Reasons Why XLF Is My Top Pick To Beat The Market In 2026 | Seeking Alpha - Disagrees with sell, viewing XLF as top pick to outperform in 2026 due to earnings and valuations.
• XLF: A Strategic Bet to Outperform the S&P 500 in 2026 - AInvest - Agrees with potential caution but sees 2026 outperformance.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 4, 2026.

ETF Technical Analysis Synopsis: February 03, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis indicates a generally bullish outlook for major stock market ETFs over medium to longer-term horizons (15-30 days), driven by indicators such as MACD, RSI, and SMA crossovers showing upward momentum in broad indices. Sectors like technology (QQQ), energy (XOP), and retail (XRT) show strong buy signals, suggesting potential growth amid economic recovery and sector-specific tailwinds. However, short-term signals are mixed, with some sells in financials (XLF) and healthcare (XLV), reflecting possible near-term volatility. The market appears resilient, but caution is advised due to potential macroeconomic shifts.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

• Bullish: Strong BUY signals dominate in QQQ across all horizons, DIA for 20-25 days, SPY for 10 and 25 days, XOP for 15 and 30 days, and XRT for 25-30 days, pointing to momentum in tech, broad market, energy, and retail sectors.
• Bearish: Strong SELL in XLF for 20 days, indicating potential weakness in financials; weak sells in XRT for 5-10 days and XLV for 5 days.

Comparisons to Prior Data (January 31)

Key changes include new BUY signals for IWM (30 days), URTY (10 and 25 days), XLE (25 days), and XLV (25 days). Downgrades from BUY to buy in DIA (15 and 30 days), UPRO (20 days), and XBI (20 days). New sells in XHS (5 days), XLK (25 days), and XLV (5 days). Overall, signals have strengthened in small-caps and energy while weakening slightly in some leveraged and health areas.

Explanations Tied to Technical Indicators

These signals are derived from a combination of technical tools including Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), Directional Movement Index (DMI), MACD, RSI, and SMA crossovers. Bullish consensus (buy/BUY) emerges when multiple indicators show positive momentum, such as upward crossovers and overbought RSI in growth sectors. Bearish signals (sell/SELL) indicate potential reversals from overextended trends or negative divergences.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND				buy		buy
DIA			buy	BUY	BUY	buy
GLD
IJH		buy	BUY		BUY	buy
IWM	buy					BUY
JNK					buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	BUY
QQQ	buy		BUY	BUY	BUY	BUY
SPY		BUY			BUY	buy
TQQQ
UPRO				buy	BUY
URTY		BUY			BUY
XBI				buy	buy	BUY
XES
XHB		buy		buy	buy	buy
XHS	sell			BUY	buy
XLB	buy
XLE					BUY
XLF		sell		SELL
XLI	buy
XLK				BUY	sell
XLP
XLRE				BUY
XLU			BUY
XLV	sell				BUY	buy
XLY
XME
XOP		buy	BUY		buy	BUY
XRT	sell	sell		buy	BUY	BUY

Handling Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs with strong BUY or SELL signals, recent sources provide mixed views:

DIA (BUY 20-25 days)

• DIA - Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Predicts average $451.68 in 2026, down from ~$489, contradicting BUY with a bearish outlook based on lower estimates.
• 6 ETF Predictions for 2026 - Yahoo Finance: Optimistic on SPY/DIA gains from AI and energy, agreeing with BUY via projections to 7,500-8,000 for S&P (implying DIA upside).
• Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast: Expects 5.7% rise in 3 months, supporting short-term BUY.

IJH (BUY 15,25 days)

• IJH - Ishares Core S P Mid Cap Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $68.82 in 2026, slightly up from ~$68.67, mildly agreeing with BUY.
• Ishares Core S&p Mid-cap Etf ETF Price Forecast: Predicts 9.68% rise in 3 months, supporting BUY.

IWM (BUY 30 days)

• iShares Russell 2000 ETF Fund Forecast, "IWM" Fund Predictons by days: 2026: Projects up to ~$268 by end-2026, up from ~$259, agreeing with BUY.
• Ishares Russell 2000 ETF Price Forecast: Expects 11.39% rise in 3 months, supporting long-term BUY.

KBE (BUY 20-30 days)

• Spdr S&p Bank Etf ETF Price Forecast: Predicts 14.01% rise in 3 months, agreeing with BUY.
• Bank ETFs in Spotlight as US National Debt Crosses $38 Trillion: Highlights potential 2026 opportunities for banks like KBE amid debt dynamics, mildly agreeing.

QQQ (BUY multiple)

• INVESCO QQQ STOCK PRICE PREDICTION 2026: Average ~$676 in 2026, up from ~$626, agreeing with BUY.
• Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026?: Bullish on tech-heavy indices, supporting QQQ BUY.

SPY (BUY 10,25 days)

• S&P 500 ETF STOCK PRICE PREDICTION 2026: Average ~$662 in 2026, down from ~$695, contradicting BUY.
• Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026?: Discusses potential 21.5% rise to $800, agreeing with BUY.

UPRO (BUY 25 days)

• UPRO - Proshares Ultrapro S P 500 Etf 3 X Shares Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $99 in 2026, down from ~$121, contradicting BUY.
• Proshares Ultrapro S&p500 Proshares Ultrapro S&p500 ETF Price Forecast: Expects 7.78% rise in 3 months, mildly agreeing.

URTY (BUY 10,25 days)

• URTY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis: AI models suggest stability/upside in leveraged small-caps, agreeing with BUY.
• URTY - Proshares Ultrapro Russell 2000 3 X Shares Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $54 in 2026, down from ~$61, contradicting.

XBI (BUY 30 days)

• XBI - State Street Spdr S P Biotech Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $146 in 2026, up from ~$125, agreeing with BUY.
• Biotech: Time For A Pause To Start 2026: Suggests headwinds early 2026, mildly contradicting long-term BUY.

XHS (BUY 20 days)

• XHS - State Street Spdr S P Health Care Services Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $89.64 in 2026, down from ~$106, contradicting BUY.
• Spdr S&p Health Care Services Etf ETF Price Forecast: Expects 6.94% rise in 3 months, agreeing.

XLE (BUY 25 days)

• Xle ETF Price Forecast: Expects 1.07% daily gain pattern, mildly agreeing.
• XLE - State Street Energy Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $75 in 2026, up from ~$51, agreeing with BUY.

XLF (SELL 20 days)

• XLF - State Street Financial Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $46.78 in 2026, down from ~$53, agreeing with SELL.
• Will 2026 be a Great Year for Banks?: Optimistic on banks, contradicting SELL with growth projections.

XLK (BUY 20 days)

• XLK - State Street Technology Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $322 in 2026, up from ~$145, agreeing with BUY.
• XLK Forecast — Price Prediction for 2026: Positive signals, supporting BUY.

XLRE (BUY 20 days)

• XLRE - State Street Real Estate Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Forecast 2026: Average $41.73 in 2026, up slightly from ~$41, mildly agreeing.
• The Real Estate Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast: Expects 4.53% rise in 3 months, supporting BUY.

XLU (BUY 15 days)

• XLU - State Street Utilities Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $74.54 in 2026, up from ~$43, agreeing with BUY.
• The Utilities Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast: Expects -4.79% fall in 3 months, contradicting BUY.

XLV (BUY 25 days)

• XLV - State Street Health Care Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Forecast 2026: Average $182.98 in 2026, up from ~$155, agreeing with BUY.
• The Health Care Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast: 0.598% gain pattern, mildly agreeing.

XOP (BUY 15,30 days)

• XOP Forecast — Price Prediction for 2026: Anticipates trading channel, neutral.
• XOP - State Street Spdr SP Oil Gas Exploration Production Etf Stock Forecast 2026: Average $102 in 2026, down from ~$136, contradicting BUY.

XRT (BUY 25,30 days)

• Spdr S&p Retail Etf ETF Price Forecast: Expects 13.47% rise in 3 months, agreeing with BUY.
• XRT - State Street Spdr S P Retail Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026: Average $107 in 2026, up from ~$86, agreeing.

What I Own

Full disclosure, as of Jan 30th, I own KBE, IJH, XLY and XOP.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 03, 2026

Decoding ETF Signals: Technical Breakdown for Key Funds

ETF Technical Analysis Update: January 31, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

As we close out January 2026, the technical analysis of various ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook for major market indices over the medium to long term. Indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showing positive crossovers, Relative Strength Index (RSI) levels above 50 indicating momentum, and Simple Moving Average (SMA) alignments suggest upward trends in broad market ETFs like DIA, SPY, and QQQ. However, sector-specific ETFs show mixed signals, with energy-related ones like XOP displaying strength in shorter horizons but neutrality longer term, potentially influenced by Parabolic SAR trends and Money Flow Index (MFI) readings.

Bullish highlights include strong buy consensus for DIA across 15-30 day periods, driven by consistent Directional Movement Index (DMI) positives and Ultimate Oscillator uptrends. Bearish signals are limited, with XRT showing a weak sell in the 5-day horizon, possibly due to Stochastic Momentum Indicator overbought conditions.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to the January 30 analysis, signals remain largely stable with minor upgrades. For instance, SPY has strengthened its 25-day signal to a strong BUY from neutral, reflecting improved Time Series Forecast projections. QQQ maintains strong buys but added a weak buy in the 5-day period. On the bearish side, XLF's 20-day sell from previous days has persisted but not intensified. Overall, the market sentiment has tilted slightly more bullish week-over-week, with fewer neutral signals in key indices compared to mid-January data.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND	buy		buy
DIA			BUY	BUY	BUY	BUY
GLD
IJH		buy	BUY		BUY	buy
IWM		buy				buy
JNK					buy	buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	BUY
QQQ	buy		BUY	BUY		BUY
SPY	buy		buy		BUY
TQQQ
UPRO				BUY	BUY	buy
URTY
XBI				BUY	buy	buy
XES
XHB	buy			buy	buy	buy
XHS				BUY
XLB
XLE
XLF				sell
XLI
XLK				BUY
XLP
XLRE				BUY
XLU			BUY
XLV				buy	buy	buy
XLY
XME
XOP	buy	buy	BUY		buy	buy
XRT	sell			buy	BUY

Strong Consensus Trends Analysis

For ETFs showing strong BUY signals, we've reviewed recent articles to validate or challenge these calls based on external forecasts.

DIA (Strong BUY in 15-30 days)

• 6 ETF Predictions for 2026 - Yahoo Finance: The article is optimistic about major indices, forecasting S&P 500 gains up to 8,000 (from ~6,929), which aligns with DIA's bullish signals due to similar market drivers like AI and economic growth. Agrees with the BUY call.
• Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy DIA? - StockInvest.us: Predicts a 5.57% rise in 3 months, supporting the positive momentum indicated by our indicators. Agrees with the BUY call.
• SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Fund Forecast, "DIA" Price Prediction Charts - Wallet Investor: Forecasts an 8% increase over the year, reinforcing the long-term upward trend. Agrees with the BUY call.

QQQ (Strong BUY in 15,20,30 days)

• Invesco Qqq Trust Series 1 Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - StockScan: Predicts an average of $676 (from $621), a +8.76% gain, driven by tech sector strength. Agrees with the BUY call.
• Quarterly Highlights for the Invesco QQQ ETF: Positive outlook on AI investments and earnings growth, supporting bullish technicals. Agrees with the BUY call.

KBE (Strong BUY in 20-30 days)

• Spdr S&p Bank Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy KBE? - StockInvest.us: Suggests a 14% rise in 3 months, citing positive moving averages. Agrees with the BUY call.
• SPDR® S&P Bank Fund Forecast: up to $66.319! - KBE Fund Price Prediction... - Wallet Investor: Minor upside predicted, aligning with banking sector recovery. Agrees with the BUY call.

XOP (Strong BUY in 15 days)

• SPDR® S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Fund Forecast: up to $135.663!...: Slight upside to $139 from $136, but overall modest. Partially agrees with the BUY call.
• XOP: My Outlook For Oil And Gas Through Year-End 2026 - Seeking Alpha: Bearish due to supply glut, predicting downward pressure. Disagrees with the BUY call.

SPY (Strong BUY in 25 days)

• Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026? - Yahoo Finance: Discusses potential 21.5% rise to $800, based on economic factors. Agrees with the BUY call.
• Spdr S&p 500 Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy SPY? - StockInvest.us: 3.22% rise in 3 months predicted. Agrees with the BUY call.

What I Own

Full disclosure, as of Jan 30th, I own KBE, IJH, XLY and XOP.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 31, 2026.

Navigating ETF Trends: Buy/Sell Signals for the Week Ahead

ETF Technical Analysis Update: January 28, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest ETF analysis shows a bullish outlook, driven by MACD, RSI, SMA crossovers, and DMI indicators. Large-caps (DIA, SPY, QQQ) and mid/small-caps (IJH, IWM) signal buys. Sectors like banking (KBE), health (XHS), materials (XLB), staples (XLP), and retail (XRT) are positive. Bonds (BND) are bearish long-term; leveraged tech (TQQQ) shows a strong sell due to MFI overbought and Parabolic SAR reversals.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish: Strong buys in DIA (25d), IJH (25d), KBE (20/25d), QQQ (15/20/30d), SPY (10d), XHS (20/30d), XLB (15d), XLP (25d), XRT (10d). Bearish: Sells in BND (25/30d), strong sell in TQQQ (25d).

Comparisons to Prior Data

Vs. January 27: Signals stable, minor XHB downgrade from strong BUY to buy at 25d, possibly APO softening. Over the week (from Jan 21): Consistent equity bullishness, fewer neutrals.

Confirming External Views on Strong Consensus Trends

DIA (Strong BUY at 25d)

• Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast: Predicts 5.45% rise in 3 months, aligns with bullish signal.
• SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Forecast: Long-term increase supports strong buy.

IJH (Strong BUY at 25d)

• IJH Stock Price Forecast 2026-2050: Avg $68.82 in 2026, upside potential confirms mid-cap buy.
• iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap Forecast: Upward short-term movement agrees.

KBE (Strong BUY at 20/25d)

• Bank ETFs in Spotlight: KBE up 17% past year; 2026 favors banks.
• KBE Tiny ETF with Huge Potential: Buy ratings support bullish call.

QQQ (Strong BUY at 15/20/30d)

• INVESCO QQQ STOCK PREDICTION 2026-2030: End Jan at $642, bullish tech momentum.
• Invesco Qqq Trust Forecast: Avg $676 in 2026 confirms long-term buy.

SPY (Strong BUY at 10d)

• S&P 500 ETF PREDICTION 2026-2030: Feb avg up, max 765 agrees with market buy.
• SPY Stock Price Forecast: Avg $662.95 in 2026 bullish.

XHS (Strong BUY at 20/30d)

• Betting on a Boom: 3 Healthcare ETFs: Healthcare rebound in 2026 agrees with buy.
• Consumer Staples Exploding Higher: Sector strength supports (adjacent).

XLB (Strong BUY at 15d)

• XLB Stock Price Forecast: Avg $117.88 in 2026, upside agrees.
• Materials Select Sector SPDR Forecast: Long-term increase confirms.

XLP (Strong BUY at 25d)

• Bullish Case for Consumer Staples: Rallies presaged for XLP.
• XLP Forecast: Avg $87.91 in 2026 upside.

XRT (Strong BUY at 10d)

• XRT Stock Price Forecast: Avg $107.43 in 2026 bullish retail.
• SPDR S&P Retail Forecast: Positive agrees with buy.

TQQQ (Strong SELL at 25d)

• PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ PREDICTION: Mixed Feb forecast, potential pullback.
• TQQQ in 2026: Inflation focus may lead to corrections in leveraged ETFs.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND			buy		sell	sell
DIA	buy	buy	buy	buy	BUY
GLD
IJH	buy				BUY
IWM	buy					buy
JNK						buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	buy
QQQ			BUY	BUY		BUY
SPY		BUY		buy
TQQQ					SELL
UPRO				buy	buy
URTY
XBI	buy			buy		buy
XES
XHB	buy			buy	buy	buy
XHS				BUY	buy	BUY
XLB			BUY		sell
XLE
XLF
XLI
XLK
XLP					BUY	buy
XLRE
XLU
XLV			buy		buy	buy
XLY
XME
XOP	buy	buy
XRT		BUY		buy		buy

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 28, 2026

Riding the Wave: Strong Buy Opportunities in Major ETFs

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis of key ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook across major indices and sectors, tempered by some cautionary signals in leveraged and bond-related funds. Using indicators such as MACD crossovers, RSI levels, and SMA trends, we observe strong momentum in large-cap and tech-heavy ETFs, suggesting potential upward price movements over the next 5 to 30 days. However, bonds (BND) show sell signals, indicating possible weakness in fixed income. Overall, the market appears resilient, with bullish trends driven by positive DMI and Ultimate Oscillator readings.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Key bullish highlights include strong BUY signals for DIA (25 days), QQQ (15, 20, 30 days), and sectors like financials (XLF 25, 30 days) and consumer staples (XLP 25 days). These suggest robust buying opportunities based on Parabolic SAR reversals and Stochastic Momentum upturns. On the bearish side, TQQQ shows a strong SELL at 25 days, potentially due to overbought RSI conditions in leveraged tech exposure.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to January 24 data, notable shifts include SPY introducing a sell signal at 5 days (previously absent), while maintaining buys in longer horizons. TQQQ's 25-day signal strengthened from sell to SELL, indicating increased bearish conviction. IJH and KBE continue their strong buy trends, showing consistency in mid-cap and banking sectors. These changes align with recent MACD divergences and MFI adjustments, reflecting evolving market dynamics.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND			buy		sell	sell
DIA	buy	buy	buy	buy	BUY
IJH	buy				BUY
IWM	buy
JNK						buy
KBE				BUY	BUY	buy
QQQ			BUY	BUY		BUY
SPY	sell	BUY	buy	buy	buy	buy
TQQQ					SELL
UPRO	sell	BUY		buy
URTY					BUY
XBI				buy	buy	buy
XHB				buy	BUY
XHS				BUY	buy	BUY
XLB			BUY
XLF					BUY	BUY
XLP					BUY	buy
XLV						buy
XLY		buy
XOP	buy	buy			sell
XRT		BUY		buy		buy

Strong Consensus Trends and External Views

For strong BUY/SELL signals, we've reviewed recent articles and discussions:

• DIA 25 days BUY:
  • Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Technical Analysis - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/diamonds-trust-technical
    Description: Agrees with BUY, citing Strong Buy based on moving averages and indicators.
  • Title: Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy DIA? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/DIA
    Description: Agrees, forecasting a 5.24% rise in 3 months.
  • Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Fund Forecast, "DIA" Price Prediction Charts - Wallet Investor
    Link: https://walletinvestor.com/fund-forecast/dia-fund-prediction
    Description: Agrees, predicting long-term increase to 533 USD in a year.
• SPY 10 days BUY:
  • Title: SPY ETF Daily Update, 1/26/2026 - TipRanks.com
    Link: https://www.tipranks.com/news/spy-etf-daily-update-1-26-2026
    Description: Agrees with upside potential of 17.63%.
  • Title: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Technical Analysis - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/spdr-s-p-500-technical
    Description: Strong Buy signal, agreeing with the forecast.
  • Title: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Technical Analysis: Charts, Trends & Key Indicators
    Link: https://financhill.com/stock-price-chart/spy-technical-analysis
    Description: Strongly bullish trend, supporting BUY.
• QQQ multiple BUY:
  • Title: Invesco QQQ Trust ETF Technical Analysis - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/powershares-qqqq-technical
    Description: Strong Buy, aligning with our signals.
  • Title: Qqq ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy QQQ? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/QQQ
    Description: Positive forecast, but notes potential double top sell signal.
  • Title: Invesco QQQ ETF Price — NASDAQ:QQQ - TradingView
    Link: https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-QQQ
    Description: Buy rating, with weekly outlooks suggesting upside.
• TQQQ 25 days SELL:
  • Title: Tqqq ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy TQQQ? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/TQQQ
    Description: Agrees with SELL, forecasting -2.97% in 3 months.
  • Title: Is TQQQ ETF still a buy after falling -6.30% on Tuesday? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/is-tqqq-etf-still-a-buy-after-falling-630-on-tuesday-2026-01-20
    Description: Supports bearish view with sell signals from moving averages.
  • Title: ProShares UltraPro QQQ Trade Ideas — BMV:TQQQ - TradingView
    Link: https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BMV-TQQQ/ideas
    Description: Mixed, with some predicting pullback, agreeing with SELL.
• XLF 25,30 BUY:
  • Title: SPDR Financial Sector $XLF Blue Box Area Offering a Buying Opportunity
    Link: https://elliottwave-forecast.com/stock-market/spdr-financial-sector-xlf-blue-box-area-offering-a-buying-opportunity
    Description: Bullish, suggesting continued upward trend.
  • Title: State Street Financial Sel Sec SPDR ETF (XLF) Stock Forecast: 1-Year Price Prediction & Outlook – Financhill
    Link: https://financhill.com/stock-forecast/XLF-stock-prediction
    Description: Average score implies lower risk, supporting buy.
  • Title: State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) - Stock Analysis
    Link: https://stockanalysis.com/etf/xlf
    Description: Upgrade to buy, primed for record highs.
• XLP 25 BUY:
  • Title: The Bullish Technical Case for Consumer Staples Stocks in 2026 - Barron's
    Link: https://www.barrons.com/articles/bullish-technicals-consumer-staples-target-coca-cola-stock-2026-d9a8da3c
    Description: Bullish engulfing pattern, history suggests upside.
  • Title: State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® ETF (XLP) - Investing.com
    Link: https://www.investing.com/etfs/spdr---consumer-staples
    Description: Strong Buy signal.
  • Title: State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock (XLP) Forecast - StockScan
    Link: https://stockscan.io/stocks/XLP/forecast
    Description: Positive forecast, average +6.20% in 2026.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 27, 2026