ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 21, 2026
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor.
In today's update, we observe a mixed market landscape with notable bullish momentum in broad market ETFs like DIA and IWM over longer horizons, driven by positive crossovers in SMAs and upward trends in MACD and RSI indicators. Conversely, short-term weakness persists in consumer discretionary (XRT) and select healthcare (XLV) sectors, where MFI and Stochastic indicators signal overbought conditions leading to sell signals. Compared to February 20 data, we've seen upgrades in strong buy signals for DIA and IWM at 30 days, but downgrades in SPY's long-term buy and new sells in UPRO and XHS. Overall, the market reflects cautious optimism, with energy and materials showing resilience via Parabolic SAR reversals, while tech faces headwinds from DMI negative crossovers.
Key bullish highlights include strong BUY signals in DIA, IJH, IWM, KBE, XHB, XLI, XME, and XLV (long-term), suggesting potential upward trends supported by Ultimate Oscillator recoveries and Time Series Forecasts indicating growth. Bearish signals are evident in QQQ, XLV (short-term), and XLY, where APO and Directional Movement point to downward pressure.
Consensus Signal Table
| ETF | 5 Days | 10 Days | 15 Days | 20 Days | 25 Days | 30 Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND | buy | buy | ||||
| DIA | buy | buy | buy | BUY | BUY | |
| GLD | buy | |||||
| IJH | BUY | |||||
| IWM | sell | buy | BUY | BUY | ||
| JNK | sell | |||||
| KBE | buy | BUY | buy | |||
| QQQ | SELL | |||||
| SPY | sell | buy | ||||
| TQQQ | ||||||
| UPRO | sell | |||||
| URTY | sell | |||||
| XBI | buy | buy | buy | |||
| XES | ||||||
| XHB | BUY | |||||
| XHS | sell | |||||
| XLB | ||||||
| XLE | ||||||
| XLF | sell | sell | ||||
| XLI | BUY | |||||
| XLK | sell | |||||
| XLP | buy | |||||
| XLRE | buy | |||||
| XLU | buy | |||||
| XLV | buy | SELL | sell | BUY | ||
| XLY | SELL | sell | ||||
| XME | sell | sell | sell | BUY | buy | |
| XOP | buy | buy | ||||
| XRT | sell | sell |
Strong Consensus Trends
For ETFs showing strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses to confirm or contradict our technical calls based on indicators like MACD crossovers and RSI trends.
DIA (BUY at 25 and 30 days)
- Dow Jones DIA Stock Price, Chart, Market Cap & AI Forecast: Agrees with BUY, citing poised for growth in 2026 with 15% potential upside amid technical strengths.
- Dow Jones And U.S. Index Outlook - The Costs Of Hesitation: Disagrees, noting indexes remain at highs with hesitation, suggesting neutral consolidation.
IJH (BUY at 25 days)
- IJH: Why I've Turned Bullish On This $112 Billion S&P MidCap 400 ETF: Agrees with BUY, highlighting solid factor mix and leapfrogging S&P 500 in rankings for short-term opportunity.
IWM (BUY at 25 and 30 days)
- The Great Rotation Of 2026: Buying Small-Caps On Dips Could Be The Best Strategy: Agrees with BUY, noting IWM leading 2026 with 8% gain and recommending buy-the-dip approach.
- IWM Trading Analysis - 02/17/2026 10:09 AM: Neutral, projecting consolidation with mild upside potential.
KBE (BUY at 20 days)
- Banking ETF (KBE) Hits New 52-Week High: Agrees with BUY, citing rally on rate-cut hopes and positive weighted alpha for further gains.
- KBE: Best-In-Class Structure, But Cyclical Risk Comes With The Territory: Disagrees, emphasizing cyclical risks and volatility despite competitive valuations.
QQQ (SELL at 15 days)
- QQQ Trading Analysis - 02/17/2026 03:08 PM: Agrees with SELL, projecting downtrend with bearish MACD and oversold RSI.
- Stronger technical forecast for QQQ ETF price after Thursday trading: Disagrees, upgrading to hold with positive forecast despite recent fall.
XHB (BUY at 15 days)
- 3 Names to Watch as Homebuilders Near Breakout: Agrees with BUY, noting consolidation with potential bullish breakout above resistance.
- Chart Of The Day: Is This A 'Sleeper Sector' For 2026?: Neutral, lagging broader market but potential sleeper.
XLI (BUY at 15 days)
- Should You Invest in the State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)?: Agrees with BUY, highlighting strong Zacks ETF Rank and excellent option for industrials exposure.
- EXI: Industrials Dashboard For February: Neutral, sector overvalued but global ETF offers better fundamentals.
XLV (SELL at 15 days, BUY at 30 days)
- XLV: Key Pivot Points Indicate Potential Bullish or Bearish Trends: Mixed, near pivots suggesting potential shifts; agrees with short-term SELL if below low, long-term BUY if above high.
- Earnings Scorecard: Healthcare sector shows strong top-line pulse: Agrees with long-term BUY, strong earnings despite marginal ETF decline.
XLY (SELL at 15 days)
- XLY Warns Of Broader Market Distribution: Agrees with SELL, signaling defensiveness and potential underperformance.
- Should You Invest in the State Street Consumer Discretionary 10 Bullish ETF Signals You Can't Ignore in February 2026Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY)?: Disagrees, noting medium risk but diversifies well; potential gains ahead.
XME (BUY at 25 days)
- XME: Strong Price Momentum Meets Bullish 2026 Global Fundamentals (Rating Upgrade): Agrees with BUY, upgrading due to attractive PEG and bullish technicals.
- XME Rode Gold to a Near Double, Now Freeport's Q2 Restart Will Test the Rally: Neutral, rally tested by production and prices; hinges on catalysts.
Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 21, 2026
