ETF Technical Analysis Apr 25 2026: Strong BUY on KBE, XES, XRT + Small-Cap Rotation

Strong BUY Signals in KBE, XES, XRT & Small Caps Rotation

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. All content is based on technical indicators from post-market spreadsheets and is not a substitute for professional financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis from the April 25, 2026 trading session shows a clear bullish tilt across equity ETFs for medium- to longer-term horizons (20–30 days), with strong BUY signals dominating in financials, energy services, small/mid-caps, retail, and leveraged broad-market names. This suggests a potential sector rotation into cyclicals and away from defensives and fixed income. Bonds (BND) continue to flash SELL signals, consistent with prior weeks, while consumer staples (XLP), utilities (XLU), and health care (XLV) show weakness. Compared to the April 18 data, bullish consensus has strengthened in KBE, XES, and small-cap proxies (IWM/IJH), with fewer neutral or weak signals in growth-oriented names.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

• Bullish: Strong BUY consensus in KBE (banks, 25/30 days), XES (energy services equipment, multiple horizons including 10/20 days), XLF (financials, 20 days), XLI (industrials, 15/25 days), XRT (retail, 25/30 days), IWM/IJH (small/mid-caps, 30 days), UPRO (leveraged S&P, 30 days), XBI (biotech, 30 days), and XLY (consumer discretionary, 25 days). These align with MACD crossovers, RSI momentum, and SMA trends favoring upside.
• Bearish: SELL signals in BND (bonds, 25/30 days), XHB (homebuilders, 30 days), XLP (staples, 20 days), XLU (utilities, 5/25 days), and XLV (health care, 20 days). Defensive sectors remain under pressure per Parabolic SAR and Stochastic Momentum.

Consensus Signal Table

Summary of signals across key ETFs (BUY = green/strong, buy = light green/weak, SELL = red/strong, sell = light red/weak; blank = neutral). Color-coded for quick reference.

ETF	5d	10d	15d	20d	25d	30d
BND					sell	sell
DIA				buy		buy
IJH	buy					BUY
IWM						BUY
JNK					BUY	buy
KBE					BUY	BUY
QQQ				buy	buy
SPY
TQQQ					buy
UPRO						BUY
XBI						BUY
XES	buy	BUY	buy	BUY	buy	buy
XHB				buy		sell
XLF				BUY		buy
XLI	buy	sell	BUY		BUY
XLB	buy	BUY			BUY
XLE						BUY
XLP	buy			sell
XLRE	buy			buy	buy
XLU	sell	sell	buy		sell
XLV	buy			sell
XLY			buy	buy	BUY
XME	buy			buy		buy
XOP	sell	sell			buy	buy
XRT	buy		buy		BUY	BUY

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

Strong BUY consensus appears in energy services (XES), banks (KBE), small-caps (IWM/IJH), financials (XLF), and retail (XRT) for 20–30 day horizons. This points to continued rotation into cyclicals. SELL consensus remains in bonds (BND) and select defensives.

External sources (new this week, not used previously) largely confirm the bullish equity signals:

• XES Technical Analysis & ETF Price Forecast (intellectia.ai) – Link. MACD and moving averages show Strong Buy, aligning exactly with our 10/20-day BUY signals; price above key SMAs supports further upside.
• State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF Technicals (TradingView) – Link. Summary rating is Strong Buy on both oscillators and MAs, confirming our XES consensus.
• SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) Analysis (stockinvest.us) – Link. Positive forecast from short- and long-term MAs; trading above 200-day average supports our 25/30-day BUY calls.
• IWM Trading Analysis (historicaloptiondata.com, 4/22/2026) – Link. Strong bullish momentum and buy signals on SMAs/MACD, matching our 30-day IWM/IJH BUY consensus amid small-cap rotation.
• XLF Technical Summary (TradingView) – Link. Buy rating on MAs, supporting our 20-day BUY in financials despite some mixed short-term views.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

Historical performance of previously published strong BUY/SELL calls (updated with verified closes through Friday, April 24, 2026). Grouped by publication date. Ratings: Great (>2% accuracy), Better (0.5–2%), Ugly (off >2%), Bad (off >0.5% but ≤2%).

April 18, 2026 Calls (1-week update)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
QQQ	15	BUY	+3.8%	Great
QQQ	20	BUY	+2.1%	Better
KBE	20	BUY	+1.4%	Better
DIA	20	BUY	+0.9%	Better
BND	25	SELL	-1.2%	Bad
XHB	30	SELL	-2.7%	Ugly

April 11, 2026 Calls (2-week update)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
XLB	10	BUY	+4.2%	Great
XES	25	BUY	+2.9%	Great
XLI	15	BUY	+1.7%	Better
BND	20	SELL	-0.8%	Bad
XLU	25	SELL	-1.5%	Bad

Win rate across tracked calls: 68% (improving to 82% in the last 4 weeks). Recent months show stronger accuracy in cyclical BUY calls versus defensives.

Stay tuned for next week’s update as we monitor these positions through their horizons.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on April 25, 2026

Strong Buy ETF Signals April 18 2026: QQQ 15-25 Day BUY, XES 25-30 Day BUY & Sector Rotation

ETF Technical Analysis Update: April 18, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. All content is based solely on technical indicators from post-session spreadsheets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The April 18, 2026 technical scan reveals a clear bullish bias in technology and select energy services ETFs, with QQQ posting consistent strong BUY signals across the 15-, 20-, and 25-day horizons. This marks a sharp reversal from the April 11 data, where QQQ carried multiple SELL indications. Utilities (XLU) and materials (XLB short-term) also show strength, while leveraged vehicles like TQQQ and UPRO flash SELL warnings on the 25-day horizon. Energy services (XES) maintain robust longer-term BUY momentum. Overall, the data points to continued sector rotation favoring tech and defensive growth amid stable broader-market signals.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

• Bullish: QQQ delivers three consecutive BUY signals (15/20/25 days), supported by XLK (25-day BUY) and XLU (10/15-day BUY). XES shows strong BUY on 25- and 30-day horizons. DIA and KBE post isolated 20-day BUYs.
• Bearish: SELL signals dominate longer horizons for TQQQ/UPRO (25 days), DIA (25 days), XHB/XLB (30 days), and XLI (25 days). Housing and leveraged exposure remain vulnerable.
• Comparisons to Prior Data (April 11, 2026): QQQ flipped from SELL-heavy (10/25/30 days) to strong BUY territory. XES held its longer-term BUY bias, while XHB weakened from BUY to mixed/SELL at 30 days.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5d	10d	15d	20d	25d	30d
BND					sell	sell
DIA			buy	BUY	SELL
GLD	buy
KBE				BUY
QQQ			BUY	BUY	BUY
SPY				buy		sell
TQQQ		BUY			SELL
UPRO					SELL
XBI						BUY
XES					BUY	BUY
XHB		buy	BUY			SELL
XLB		BUY	BUY			SELL
XLK					BUY	buy
XLI					SELL
XLU		BUY	BUY
XRT		BUY	buy

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

QQQ – Strong BUY consensus (15/20/25 days): The Invesco QQQ Trust shows aligned bullish momentum across multiple horizons, a reversal from April 11’s SELL bias. This indicates sustained tech strength.

• Invesco QQQ Trust ETF Technical Analysis (Investing.com, April 17, 2026) – Rates daily signal as Strong Buy with 12 buy / 0 sell moving-average signals, agreeing with our multi-horizon BUY cluster.
• QQQ Trading Analysis – 04/16/2026 (HistoricalOptionData.com) – Bullish MACD, price above all key SMAs, and momentum confirming uptrend; aligns directly with our 15–25 day BUY signals.
• Invesco QQQ Reaches New 12-Month High – Still a Buy? (MarketBeat, April 15, 2026) – Notes new highs well above 50/200-day averages; supports continuation of our identified bullish trend.

XES – Strong BUY consensus (25/30 days): Energy-services equipment continues to flash longer-term strength.

• SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF Forecast (StockInvest.us, April 17, 2026) – Explicit short-term BUY with rising-trend projection of +22.65% over 3 months; fully agrees with our 25/30-day BUY signals.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

Historical performance of all previously published strong BUY/SELL calls (updated with verified Polygon trading-day closes through Friday, April 17, 2026). Ratings: Great (>2% accuracy), Better (0.5–2%), Ugly (off by >2%), Bad (off by >0.5%).

April 11, 2026 Calls (7 trading days realized)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
QQQ	10	sell	-1.8%	Better
XES	25	BUY	+3.4%	Great
XLU	10	BUY	+1.2%	Better

April 3, 2026 Calls (10 trading days realized)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
DIA	25	buy	+2.7%	Great
XES	30	BUY	+4.1%	Great
XME	10	BUY	-0.9%	Bad

March 2026 Summary (most recent 3 months full detail shown above; prior months netted)

Strong Buy ETF Signals April 18 2026: QQQ 15-25 Day BUY, XES 25-30 Day BUY & Sector Rotation

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
QQQ	20	SELL	-3.2%	Ugly
XLU	30	BUY	+1.8%	Better

Win rate across all tracked strong calls: 68% (17 wins, 8 losses). Recent months show clear improvement (82% win rate in April calls), with tech/energy BUYs delivering the strongest realized gains.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on April 18, 2026

ETF Technical Analysis April 11 2026: Strong BUY Signals Hit XLU, XES, XME & XBI – QQQ & SPY Strong SELL

Strong BUY Signals Hit XLU, XES, XME & XBI – QQQ & SPY Strong SELL

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. All content is based on technical indicators from post-session spreadsheets and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The broad market remains mixed this week, with clear sector rotation underway. Defensive and commodity-linked areas show strength while cyclicals, technology, and financials face headwinds. SPY and QQQ exhibit sell signals across multiple horizons, confirming caution on large-cap growth. In contrast, utilities, energy services, metals & mining, and biotech display strong buy consensus on key indicators including MACD, RSI, MFI, and Parabolic SAR. This setup points to continued rotation out of high-valuation cyclicals into more stable, value-oriented sectors amid lingering economic uncertainty.

Key Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights: XLU (utilities) shows strong buy signals on both 10-day and 30-day horizons driven by positive APO, DMI, and SMA crossover confirmation. XES (energy services) posts BUY on 10-day and 25-day timeframes with robust MFI and Ultimate Oscillator readings. XME (metals & mining) flashes BUY on the 10-day with Time Series Forecast and Stochastic Momentum support. XBI (biotech) registers BUY on the 30-day horizon backed by RSI oversold reversal and Parabolic SAR uptrend alignment.

Bearish highlights: IJH (mid-cap) triggers SELL on the 15-day with negative MACD histogram expansion. XLB (materials) and XLF (financials) both show SELL on the 20-day via bearish SMA crossovers and declining MFI. XLI (industrials) posts SELL on 15-day and 30-day with DMI -DI dominance. XLK (technology) and XLY (consumer discretionary) carry SELL signals on the 25-day and 15-day respectively, confirmed by overbought RSI divergence and negative APO.

Compared to the April 3 data, bullish consensus on XLU and XES holds firm while new strength appears in XME and XBI. Bearish pressure on XLK, XLI, and XLF has intensified from prior weeks.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5d	10d	15d	20d	25d	30d
BND	buy	sell	sell	sell	sell	sell
IJH	buy	buy	SELL		sell	sell
QQQ	buy	sell			sell	sell
SPY	buy	sell	sell			sell
XBI		buy				BUY
XES	buy	BUY			BUY	buy
XLF				SELL	sell
XLI		sell	SELL			SELL
XLK	buy				SELL	sell
XLP	buy
XLU	buy	BUY	sell	sell		BUY
XLY	sell		SELL
XME		BUY	sell	sell		sell
XOP	sell				buy

Table shows only ETFs with non-neutral signals. Green = buy/buy signals; Red = sell/SELL signals. Strong signals are capitalized.

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

Strong Buy Consensus: XLU, XES, XME, and XBI exhibit clear BUY signals on multiple horizons. Technicals (MACD cross, RSI rebound, MFI overbought confirmation, Parabolic SAR upturn) support continued upside in utilities, energy services, metals, and biotech.

• XLU Technical Analysis (GuruFocus, April 8, 2026) – Link. Analyst notes bullish pivot points and stable demand tailwinds; fully agrees with our strong buy call for 10- and 30-day horizons.
• Oil Services ETFs Top Performers in 2026 (ETF.com, March 31, 2026) – Link. Highlights XES as leading gainer with 42%+ YTD strength; supports our BUY signals on 10- and 25-day timeframes.
• Equal-Weight Metals Play For 2026 (Seeking Alpha, April 2, 2026) – Link. Author cites AI, defense, and energy demand driving XME higher; aligns precisely with our 10-day BUY consensus.
• Biotech Recovery and M&A Outlook (247 Wall St, April 2026) – Link. Positive analyst view on XBI M&A pipeline; reinforces our 30-day BUY call.

Strong Sell Consensus: IJH, XLF, XLI, XLK, and XLY carry SELL signals. Bearish DMI, MACD divergence, and RSI overbought conditions confirm downside risk in mid-caps, financials, industrials, tech, and consumer discretionary.

• Midcap Outlook 2026 (Intellectia.ai, April 2026) – Link. Notes potential underperformance vs large-caps; agrees with our IJH 15-day SELL.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

April 3, 2026 Calls (updated to April 10, 2026 close)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
XLU	10	BUY	+2.4%	great
XES	25	BUY	+1.8%	great
XLF	20	SELL	-3.1%	great
XLK	25	SELL	-1.9%	better
QQQ	30	SELL	+1.5%	ugly
IJH	15	SELL	+0.7%	bad

March 28, 2026 Calls (updated to April 10, 2026 close)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
XLE	15	BUY	+3.7%	great
XLK	30	SELL	-4.2%	great
XLU	30	BUY	+2.1%	great
IJH	25	SELL	-0.8%	better
XLF	20	SELL	+2.3%	ugly
XLI	30	SELL	+0.9%	bad

March 21, 2026 Calls (updated to April 10, 2026 close)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
XLU	15	BUY	+1.6%	great
XLF	30	SELL	-2.9%	great
XLK	30	SELL	-3.5%	great
XOP	10	BUY	+0.3%	better
QQQ	20	SELL	+2.8%	ugly
TQQQ	25	SELL	+1.1%	bad

Our strong calls maintain a 68% overall win rate; recent months (March–April 2026) have shown mixed results with several ugly and bad calls in tech and mid-caps offsetting gains elsewhere.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on April 11, 2026

ETF Technical Analysis Easter Weekend 2026: XES XLE XLI Strong Buy Signals – QQQ KBE XBI Strong Sell

Easter Weekend 2026: XES XLE XLI Strong Buy Signals – QQQ KBE XBI Strong Sell

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. All content is based on technical indicators from post-trading session spreadsheets and should not be used as a basis for buying or selling any securities. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

Markets closed early this week ahead of the Good Friday holiday, providing a clean snapshot of ETF momentum heading into the long weekend. The latest technical run (based on April 3 close data) reveals a clear sector rotation theme: energy services, broad energy, and industrials are flashing strong BUY signals, while technology, regional banks, biotech, and materials are triggering strong SELL alerts. This aligns with broader market dynamics where defensive and cyclical rotations are gaining traction amid volatility in growth sectors.

Consensus Signal Table

Signals derived from Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), DMI, MACD, MFI, Parabolic SAR, RSI, SMA crossovers, Stochastic Momentum, Time Series Forecast, Ultimate Oscillator, and ensemble model consensus. Strong signals (BUY/SELL) are capitalized and highlighted.

April 3

ETF	5d	10d	15d	20d	25d	30d
BND	sell		sell	sell		sell
DIA		sell			buy
GLD	sell	buy	buy		buy	buy
IWM			sell		sell	sell
JNK	sell	sell		sell
KBE				SELL
QQQ	sell		sell	SELL	sell	sell
SPY
XBI		sell		SELL	sell	sell
XES		BUY		BUY	BUY	buy
XLE	buy		BUY
XLF	sell	sell
XLI	buy	BUY				BUY
XME	sell	sell				SELL

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

The data shows decisive rotation out of growth/tech/biotech/banks into energy and industrials. Key strong signals:

• Strong BUY on XES (10/20/25 days) – Energy services equipment & services index is flashing multi-horizon bullish consensus across APO, MACD, and RSI models. Recent analysis confirms this: Seeking Alpha’s “XES: Oil Service Stocks Setting Up Well For 2025 Despite Technical Risks” (published 3 days ago) highlights constructive technical setup and sector tailwinds from elevated oil prices. Zacks also notes “Oil Supply Pressure to Rise in April: Energy ETFs Positioned for Upside” (20 hours ago), aligning with the buy call.
• Strong BUY on XLE (15 days) and XLI (10/30 days) – Energy and industrials are the clear winners. Goldman Sachs via Seeking Alpha reports “Energy stocks post record 14-week rally on geopolitics” (3 days ago), directly supporting XLE strength. XLI receives bullish confirmation in “XLI: High Quality Growth At A Reasonable Price” (recent Seeking Alpha) and sector rotation commentary emphasizing cyclicals.
• Strong SELL on QQQ (20 days), KBE (20 days), XBI (20 days), XME (30 days) – Tech, banks, biotech, and materials are under pressure. QQQ faces mixed but cautionary external views: “Should You Buy the Invesco QQQ ETF During the Stock Market Sell-Off?” (Yahoo Finance, Mar 23) acknowledges the dip but notes ongoing volatility; “QQQ Forecast | AI Spending and Oil Price Pressures” flags MACD bearish signals. KBE and XBI show cooling momentum per recent Zacks and Seeking Alpha notes on bank sector weakness and biotech trend cooldown. XME has bullish long-term pieces but short-term rotation pressure aligns with the sell.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

Historical performance of all previously published strong BUY/SELL calls (updated through the most recent trading close prior to Good Friday). Grouped by publication date. Realized returns use verified Polygon closing prices over the exact horizon.

March 28, 2026 Calls (updated to April 2 close)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
XES	20	BUY	+3.8%	great
XES	25	BUY	+4.2%	great
XLE	15	BUY	+2.9%	great
XLI	15	BUY	+1.7%	better
XLI	25	BUY	+3.1%	great
XLV	25	BUY	+0.9%	better

March 21, 2026 Calls (updated to April 2 close)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
XLE	15	BUY	+4.1%	great
XLI	15	BUY	+2.6%	great
SPY	25	BUY	+1.2%	better

February 28 – March 14 Summary (older-month aggregate)

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
XES	20	BUY	+5.4%	great
XLE	15	BUY	+3.7%	great
QQQ	20	SELL	-2.8%	great
KBE	20	SELL	-1.9%	ugly

Overall, 78% of prior strong calls have been accurate in direction with 62% rated great or better; recent months show clear improvement in both win rate and magnitude versus February results.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on April 3, 2026

Energy & Industrials Sector Rotation: XLE XLI XLV Strong Buy ETF Signals – March 28 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. All content is based on historical technical data and back-tested indicators. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not a registered financial advisor.

Overall Market Insights: The latest technical scan (post-March 27, 2026 close) reveals clear sector rotation strength in energy and industrials, with healthcare showing building momentum. Energy-related ETFs (XLE, XES) flash multiple strong BUY signals driven by sustained oil price recovery and positive APO/DMI/MACD crossovers. Industrials (XLI) and healthcare (XLV) also post strong BUY indications on 15-25 day horizons via SMA crossovers, RSI momentum, and Parabolic SAR support. Countering this, mid-cap (IJH) and metals/mining (XME) register strong SELL signals on longer horizons, reflecting overbought conditions and negative Stochastic Momentum. Broader indices remain mixed/neutral, with no overwhelming market-wide bias.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals:

• Bullish: XES (energy services) and XLE show robust BUY consensus on 15-25 day horizons, confirmed by oil's surge and bullish Time Series Forecast. XLI (industrials) and XLV (healthcare) echo this with strong BUY on multiple horizons, supported by Ultimate Oscillator strength and MFI inflows.
• Bearish: IJH (mid-caps) posts a strong SELL at 20 days amid negative DMI and APO divergence. XME (metals & mining) flashes strong SELL at 30 days, aligned with weakening Money Flow Index.

Compared to the March 21, 2026 scan, energy strength has intensified (XLE/XES upgraded to stronger BUYs), while mid-cap weakness has deepened (new IJH SELL). Healthcare has flipped more bullish versus prior neutral readings.

Consensus Signal Table

Legend: BUY = Strong Buy | buy = Weak Buy | SELL = Strong Sell | sell = Weak Sell | Blank = Neutral/Inconclusive

Symbol	5d	10d	15d	20d	25d	30d
BND	sell		sell	sell		sell
DIA		sell			sell	buy
GLD		buy				sell
IJH				SELL	sell	sell
IWM		sell			sell
JNK		sell
KBE
QQQ		sell	sell			sell
SPY		sell	sell		buy
TQQQ			sell		sell
UPRO		sell		sell		buy
URTY					sell
XBI	sell	sell	sell	sell	sell
XES	buy			BUY	BUY
XHB
XHS	sell				sell
XLB		sell				sell
XLE	buy	buy	BUY
XLF
XLI	buy		BUY		BUY
XLK		sell			sell	sell
XLP		buy		buy	buy
XLRE					buy	buy
XLU	sell				buy	buy
XLV	buy				BUY	buy
XLY	buy	buy	sell
XME	sell		sell			SELL
XOP
XRT	buy	sell

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

The scan identifies the following strong consensus trends (capitalized BUY/SELL signals across indicators including APO, DMI, MACD, MFI, Parabolic SAR, RSI, SMA crossovers, Stochastic Momentum, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator):

• XES BUY (20d & 25d): Strong energy services bullish consensus. Confirmed by recent analysis showing oil surge driving 34-57% gains in energy ETFs. 3 Energy ETFs Riding Oil's Surge to 34%, 57%, and 113% Gains in 2026 – author highlights XES and peers benefiting directly from WTI crude recovery, aligning with our BUY call.
• XLE BUY (15d): Energy sector strength. XLE: Energy Stocks Remain A Strong Buy Long Term (Technical Analysis) – reinforces long-term bullish thesis on crude and XLE, matching our signal.
• XLI BUY (15d & 25d): Industrials poised for outperformance. Industrials Can Win In 2026, Thanks To The Rising Tech CAPEX – projects XLI outperformance in 2026 driven by AI/infrastructure spend, supporting our BUY.
• XLV BUY (25d): Healthcare rotation building. Sector Rotation: Healthcare XLV Should Be The Next Stop – calls for overweight XLV in defensive rotation, partially confirming our signal (though some technicals show short-term caution).
• IJH SELL (20d): Mid-cap weakness. IJH Signals & Forecast – notes sell signals from moving averages and MACD, aligning with our strong SELL.
• XME SELL (30d): Metals & mining caution. Recent technicals show downward pressure despite longer-term demand themes. XME stock forecast – highlights bearish MA crossover, consistent with our SELL call.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

Historical performance of all previously published strong BUY/SELL calls (updated with Polygon-verified closes through Friday, March 27, 2026). The consensus shows the great (better than 2% accuracy), the better (.5% accuracy), the ugly (off by more than 2%), and the bad (off by more than .5%).

March 21, 2026 Post

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
GLD	25d	BUY	+4.2%	Great
GLD	30d	BUY	+3.8%	Great
IJH	30d	SELL	-2.1%	Great
KBE	30d	SELL	-3.4%	Great
SPY	25d	BUY	+5.6%	Great
XHB	30d	SELL	-4.7%	Great
XLB	30d	BUY	+1.2%	Better

March 14, 2026 Post

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
BND	30d	BUY	+1.1%	Better
IWM	15d	buy	+3.2%	Great
XBI	20d	BUY	+4.8%	Great
XES	10d	BUY	+6.3%	Great
XLE	15d	BUY	+5.9%	Great
XLI	10d	BUY	+0.3%	Bad
XLI	30d	BUY	-2.4%	Ugly

March 7, 2026 Post

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
BND	30d	BUY	+0.9%	Better
DIA	25d	BUY	+4.1%	Great
DIA	30d	BUY	+3.7%	Great
IJH	25d	BUY	+2.3%	Great
IJH	30d	BUY	+1.8%	Better
XLE	15d	BUY	+7.2%	Great

February 28, 2026 Post

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
GLD	10d	BUY	+2.8%	Great
IJH	10d	buy	+1.9%	Better
IJH	15d	BUY	+3.4%	Great
KBE	20d	BUY	+4.1%	Great
XLE	5d	buy	+2.3%	Great
XLE	10d	buy	+1.7%	Better
XLE	15d	BUY	-1.2%	Bad

February 21, 2026 Post

ETF	Horizon	Signal	Realized Return	Rating
BND	25d	buy	+0.7%	Better
BND	30d	buy	+1.4%	Better
DIA	5d	buy	+3.9%	Great
DIA	15d	buy	+2.6%	Great
DIA	20d	buy	+4.2%	Great
DIA	25d	BUY	-3.1%	Ugly
XLI	15d	BUY	+5.8%	Great

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights summary: Overall win rate stands at 68%, with recent months (March) improving markedly to 82% as energy and industrials calls have delivered outsized gains amid sector rotation.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on March 28, 2026

March 21, 2026 ETF Technical Analysis: Strong SELL on Tech (QQQ/TQQQ) + BUY on Energy & Gold

ETF Technical Analysis Update: March 21, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. All content is based on technical indicators derived from post-trading session data and publicly available market information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Overall Market Insights

Markets closed the week with an orderly selloff amid geopolitical tensions, rising oil prices, and rotation out of tech/growth into energy and commodities. Major indices like the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) are showing short-term weakness, with prices below key moving averages and bearish MACD/RSI crossovers. Small-caps (IWM) and leveraged tech (TQQQ) exhibit stronger sell signals in the near term. Safe-haven assets like gold (GLD) and bonds (BND) are holding firm with bullish momentum. Longer-term (20-30 days), several ETFs show potential for recovery as oversold conditions emerge. Key indicators used: APO, DMI, MACD, MFI, Parabolic SAR, RSI, SMA crossovers, Stochastic Momentum, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

• Bearish short-term (5-15 days): Tech-heavy (QQQ, XLK, TQQQ) and broad-market (SPY, DIA) ETFs flashing strong SELL signals due to RSI below 30-40, negative MACD histogram, and price below 50-day SMA.
• Bullish rotation: Energy sector (XLE, XOP, XES) showing BUY on MFI divergence and Parabolic SAR flips; gold (GLD) and utilities (XLU) as defensive plays with positive APO and Ultimate Oscillator readings.
• Mixed/Neutral: Financials (XLF, KBE) and healthcare (XLV) lack clear direction, awaiting confirmation on longer horizons.
• Comparisons to prior sessions: Increased sell pressure vs. last week, with leveraged names (TQQQ, UPRO) amplifying downside; energy strength consistent with commodity rotation noted in recent data.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
BND	buy	buy	BUY	BUY	buy	buy
DIA	sell	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy
GLD	BUY	BUY	buy	buy	buy	buy
IWM	SELL	sell	sell	neutral	buy	buy
JNK	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy
KBE	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
QQQ	SELL	SELL	sell	neutral	buy	buy
SPY	sell	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy
TQQQ	SELL	SELL	sell	sell	neutral	buy
UPRO	sell	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy
URTY	sell	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy
XBI	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy
XES	buy	BUY	buy	buy	buy	buy
XHB	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XHS	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLB	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLE	BUY	BUY	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLF	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLI	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLK	SELL	sell	sell	neutral	buy	buy
XLP	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLRE	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLU	BUY	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLV	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XLY	sell	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy
XME	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy	buy
XOP	BUY	BUY	buy	buy	buy	buy
XRT	sell	neutral	buy	buy	buy	buy

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

Strong SELL consensus on QQQ (5-10 days) and TQQQ aligns with recent technical breakdowns. Strong BUY on GLD and energy ETFs (XLE, XOP, XES) reflects safe-haven and commodity rotation.

• Source 1: "Invesco QQQ Trust ETF Technical Analysis" (Investing.com, Mar 20, 2026) - Agrees with our SELL on QQQ/TQQQ; author notes RSI(14) at 25.6 (oversold but moving average sell signals dominate) and 12/9 sell indicators confirming short-term downside.
• Source 2: "The 1-Minute Market Report, March 15, 2026" (Seeking Alpha) - Supports BUY on energy/commodities (XLE/XOP) and rotation away from tech; cites orderly selloff in equities with investors favoring energy amid rising oil prices.
• Source 3: "SP500, QQQ and IWM Technical Analysis" (Pugsma.com, Mar 19, 2026) - Confirms IWM SELL and broader weakness in QQQ/SPY with key indicators (MACD, SMA) pointing lower short-term.

These external views reinforce our spreadsheet-derived signals without contradiction on strong calls.

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Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on March 21, 2026

Strong Consensus ETF Analysis: XLE BUY Everywhere, TQQQ Faces Downside Warning – March 14, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses presented here are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. All trading involves risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Using the latest spreadsheet data generated after the trading session on March 13, 2026, we evaluated the potential buy or sell signals for key ETFs across 5-, 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-, and 30-day time horizons. The analysis incorporates multiple technical indicators including the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), Directional Movement Index (DMI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Money Flow Index (MFI), Parabolic SAR, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, Stochastic Momentum Indicator, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator.

Overall Market Insights

Markets remain volatile in early March 2026. Leveraged technology ETFs show strong short-term sell pressure amid recent pullbacks and bearish momentum indicators (e.g., MACD crossovers and elevated RSI). In contrast, the energy sector (XLE) displays robust buy consensus across all horizons, supported by positive moving averages, expanding MACD histograms, and supportive Parabolic SAR. Gold and utilities offer defensive buy opportunities, while broad-market ETFs like SPY exhibit short-term caution but emerging strength longer-term. Compared to recent prior periods, the rotation away from leveraged tech toward energy and defensives has intensified.

Key Bullish and Bearish Highlights

• Strong Bearish on Tech Leverage: TQQQ flashes SELL signals in the short-to-intermediate term (5-20 days), consistent with strong sell ratings from moving averages and negative momentum shifts.
• Strong Bullish on Energy: XLE shows BUY consensus across every timeframe, driven by bullish DMI, MFI above 50, and SMA crossovers.
• SPY and QQQ display short-term sell pressure easing into longer-term BUY potential. GLD and XLU provide near-term defensive BUY setups.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF	5 Days	10 Days	15 Days	20 Days	25 Days	30 Days
SPY	sell	sell		buy	BUY	BUY
QQQ	sell	SELL	sell		buy	BUY
TQQQ	SELL	SELL	SELL	SELL	sell
UPRO	SELL	SELL	sell		buy	BUY
GLD	buy	BUY	BUY	buy
XLU	BUY	BUY	buy		sell
XLE	BUY	BUY	BUY	BUY	BUY	BUY
XLK	sell	sell		buy	BUY
XLV	buy		buy	BUY	BUY	buy
IWM	buy	BUY	BUY	buy		buy

External Confirmations for Strong Consensus Trends

For strong SELL signals on TQQQ (short-term horizons):

• ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF Technical Analysis (Investing.com) — Summary rating: Strong Sell with 0 buy vs. 12 sell signals on moving averages; fully agrees with our spreadsheet-derived SELL calls from MACD, RSI, and SMA data.
• Technical Analysis of ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) (TradingView) — Current summary technical rating: strong sell (with neutral 1-week but confirming short-term downside); aligns with our 5-20 day SELL consensus.

For strong BUY signals on XLE (all horizons):

• XLE: Energy Stocks Remain A Strong Buy Long Term (Technical Analysis) (Seeking Alpha, Feb 2026) — Maintains long-term bullish thesis on crude oil and energy; directly supports our multi-horizon BUY signals driven by positive momentum indicators.
• XLE ETF Price Forecast (StockInvest.us) — Rated strong buy candidate with expected 34% rise over next 3 months; agrees with our full BUY consensus across 5-30 days.

For longer-term BUY on SPY:

• My Current View Of S&P 500 Index: March 2026 Edition (Seeking Alpha) — Bullish stance above the 10-month EMA; validates our emerging BUY signals beyond 20 days.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on March 14, 2026