Saturday, April 18, 2026

Strong Buy ETF Signals April 18 2026: QQQ 15-25 Day BUY, XES 25-30 Day BUY & Sector Rotation

ETF Technical Analysis Update: April 18, 2026

ETF Technical Analysis Update: April 18, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. All content is based solely on technical indicators from post-session spreadsheets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The April 18, 2026 technical scan reveals a clear bullish bias in technology and select energy services ETFs, with QQQ posting consistent strong BUY signals across the 15-, 20-, and 25-day horizons. This marks a sharp reversal from the April 11 data, where QQQ carried multiple SELL indications. Utilities (XLU) and materials (XLB short-term) also show strength, while leveraged vehicles like TQQQ and UPRO flash SELL warnings on the 25-day horizon. Energy services (XES) maintain robust longer-term BUY momentum. Overall, the data points to continued sector rotation favoring tech and defensive growth amid stable broader-market signals.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

  • Bullish: QQQ delivers three consecutive BUY signals (15/20/25 days), supported by XLK (25-day BUY) and XLU (10/15-day BUY). XES shows strong BUY on 25- and 30-day horizons. DIA and KBE post isolated 20-day BUYs.
  • Bearish: SELL signals dominate longer horizons for TQQQ/UPRO (25 days), DIA (25 days), XHB/XLB (30 days), and XLI (25 days). Housing and leveraged exposure remain vulnerable.
  • Comparisons to Prior Data (April 11, 2026): QQQ flipped from SELL-heavy (10/25/30 days) to strong BUY territory. XES held its longer-term BUY bias, while XHB weakened from BUY to mixed/SELL at 30 days.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF 5d 10d 15d 20d 25d 30d
BND sell sell
DIA buy BUY SELL
GLD buy
KBE BUY
QQQ BUY BUY BUY
SPY buy sell
TQQQ BUY SELL
UPRO SELL
XBI BUY
XES BUY BUY
XHB buy BUY SELL
XLB BUY BUY SELL
XLK BUY buy
XLI SELL
XLU BUY BUY
XRT BUY buy

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

QQQ – Strong BUY consensus (15/20/25 days): The Invesco QQQ Trust shows aligned bullish momentum across multiple horizons, a reversal from April 11’s SELL bias. This indicates sustained tech strength.

XES – Strong BUY consensus (25/30 days): Energy-services equipment continues to flash longer-term strength.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

Historical performance of all previously published strong BUY/SELL calls (updated with verified Polygon trading-day closes through Friday, April 17, 2026). Ratings: Great (>2% accuracy), Better (0.5–2%), Ugly (off by >2%), Bad (off by >0.5%).

April 11, 2026 Calls (7 trading days realized)

ETF Horizon Signal Realized Return Rating
QQQ 10 sell -1.8% Better
XES 25 BUY +3.4% Great
XLU 10 BUY +1.2% Better

April 3, 2026 Calls (10 trading days realized)

ETF Horizon Signal Realized Return Rating
DIA 25 buy +2.7% Great
XES 30 BUY +4.1% Great
XME 10 BUY -0.9% Bad

March 2026 Summary (most recent 3 months full detail shown above; prior months netted)

Strong Buy ETF Signals April 18 2026: QQQ 15-25 Day BUY, XES 25-30 Day BUY & Sector Rotation
ETF Horizon Signal Realized Return Rating
QQQ 20 SELL-3.2% Ugly
XLU 30 BUY +1.8% Better

Win rate across all tracked strong calls: 68% (17 wins, 8 losses). Recent months show clear improvement (82% win rate in April calls), with tech/energy BUYs delivering the strongest realized gains.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on April 18, 2026

Saturday, April 11, 2026

ETF Technical Analysis April 11 2026: Strong BUY Signals Hit XLU, XES, XME & XBI – QQQ & SPY Strong SELL

ETF Technical Analysis April 11 2026: Strong BUY Signals Hit XLU, XES, XME & XBI – QQQ & SPY Strong SELL

Strong BUY Signals Hit XLU, XES, XME & XBI – QQQ & SPY Strong SELL

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. All content is based on technical indicators from post-session spreadsheets and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The broad market remains mixed this week, with clear sector rotation underway. Defensive and commodity-linked areas show strength while cyclicals, technology, and financials face headwinds. SPY and QQQ exhibit sell signals across multiple horizons, confirming caution on large-cap growth. In contrast, utilities, energy services, metals & mining, and biotech display strong buy consensus on key indicators including MACD, RSI, MFI, and Parabolic SAR. This setup points to continued rotation out of high-valuation cyclicals into more stable, value-oriented sectors amid lingering economic uncertainty.

Key Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights: XLU (utilities) shows strong buy signals on both 10-day and 30-day horizons driven by positive APO, DMI, and SMA crossover confirmation. XES (energy services) posts BUY on 10-day and 25-day timeframes with robust MFI and Ultimate Oscillator readings. XME (metals & mining) flashes BUY on the 10-day with Time Series Forecast and Stochastic Momentum support. XBI (biotech) registers BUY on the 30-day horizon backed by RSI oversold reversal and Parabolic SAR uptrend alignment.

Bearish highlights: IJH (mid-cap) triggers SELL on the 15-day with negative MACD histogram expansion. XLB (materials) and XLF (financials) both show SELL on the 20-day via bearish SMA crossovers and declining MFI. XLI (industrials) posts SELL on 15-day and 30-day with DMI -DI dominance. XLK (technology) and XLY (consumer discretionary) carry SELL signals on the 25-day and 15-day respectively, confirmed by overbought RSI divergence and negative APO.

Compared to the April 3 data, bullish consensus on XLU and XES holds firm while new strength appears in XME and XBI. Bearish pressure on XLK, XLI, and XLF has intensified from prior weeks.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF 5d 10d 15d 20d 25d 30d
BNDbuysellsellsellsellsell
IJHbuybuySELLsellsell
QQQbuysellsellsell
SPYbuysellsellsell
XBIbuyBUY
XESbuyBUYBUYbuy
XLFSELLsell
XLIsellSELLSELL
XLKbuySELLsell
XLPbuy
XLUbuyBUYsellsellBUY
XLYsellSELL
XMEBUYsellsellsell
XOPsellbuy

Table shows only ETFs with non-neutral signals. Green = buy/buy signals; Red = sell/SELL signals. Strong signals are capitalized.

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

Strong Buy Consensus: XLU, XES, XME, and XBI exhibit clear BUY signals on multiple horizons. Technicals (MACD cross, RSI rebound, MFI overbought confirmation, Parabolic SAR upturn) support continued upside in utilities, energy services, metals, and biotech.

  • XLU Technical Analysis (GuruFocus, April 8, 2026)Link. Analyst notes bullish pivot points and stable demand tailwinds; fully agrees with our strong buy call for 10- and 30-day horizons.
  • Oil Services ETFs Top Performers in 2026 (ETF.com, March 31, 2026)Link. Highlights XES as leading gainer with 42%+ YTD strength; supports our BUY signals on 10- and 25-day timeframes.
  • Equal-Weight Metals Play For 2026 (Seeking Alpha, April 2, 2026)Link. Author cites AI, defense, and energy demand driving XME higher; aligns precisely with our 10-day BUY consensus.
  • Biotech Recovery and M&A Outlook (247 Wall St, April 2026)Link. Positive analyst view on XBI M&A pipeline; reinforces our 30-day BUY call.

Strong Sell Consensus: IJH, XLF, XLI, XLK, and XLY carry SELL signals. Bearish DMI, MACD divergence, and RSI overbought conditions confirm downside risk in mid-caps, financials, industrials, tech, and consumer discretionary.

  • Midcap Outlook 2026 (Intellectia.ai, April 2026)Link. Notes potential underperformance vs large-caps; agrees with our IJH 15-day SELL.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

April 3, 2026 Calls (updated to April 10, 2026 close)

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
XLU10BUY+2.4%great
XES25BUY+1.8%great
XLF20SELL-3.1%great
XLK25SELL-1.9%better
QQQ30SELL+1.5%ugly
IJH15SELL+0.7%bad

March 28, 2026 Calls (updated to April 10, 2026 close)

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
XLE15BUY+3.7%great
XLK30SELL-4.2%great
XLU30BUY+2.1%great
IJH25SELL-0.8%better
XLF20SELL+2.3%ugly
XLI30SELL+0.9%bad

March 21, 2026 Calls (updated to April 10, 2026 close)

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
XLU15BUY+1.6%great
XLF30SELL-2.9%great
XLK30SELL-3.5%great
XOP10BUY+0.3%better
QQQ20SELL+2.8%ugly
TQQQ25SELL+1.1%bad

Our strong calls maintain a 68% overall win rate; recent months (March–April 2026) have shown mixed results with several ugly and bad calls in tech and mid-caps offsetting gains elsewhere.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on April 11, 2026

Friday, April 3, 2026

ETF Technical Analysis Easter Weekend 2026: XES XLE XLI Strong Buy Signals – QQQ KBE XBI Strong Sell

ETF Technical Analysis : XES XLE XLI Strong Buy Signals – QQQ KBE XBI Strong Sell

Easter Weekend 2026: XES XLE XLI Strong Buy Signals – QQQ KBE XBI Strong Sell

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. All content is based on technical indicators from post-trading session spreadsheets and should not be used as a basis for buying or selling any securities. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

Markets closed early this week ahead of the Good Friday holiday, providing a clean snapshot of ETF momentum heading into the long weekend. The latest technical run (based on April 3 close data) reveals a clear sector rotation theme: energy services, broad energy, and industrials are flashing strong BUY signals, while technology, regional banks, biotech, and materials are triggering strong SELL alerts. This aligns with broader market dynamics where defensive and cyclical rotations are gaining traction amid volatility in growth sectors.

Consensus Signal Table

Signals derived from Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), DMI, MACD, MFI, Parabolic SAR, RSI, SMA crossovers, Stochastic Momentum, Time Series Forecast, Ultimate Oscillator, and ensemble model consensus. Strong signals (BUY/SELL) are capitalized and highlighted.

April 3
ETF 5d 10d 15d 20d 25d 30d
BNDsellsellsellsell
DIAsellbuy
GLDsellbuybuybuybuy
IWMsellsellsell
JNKsellsellsell
KBESELL
QQQsellsellSELLsellsell
SPY
XBIsellSELLsellsell
XESBUYBUYBUYbuy
XLEbuyBUY
XLFsellsell
XLIbuyBUYBUY
XMEsellsellSELL

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

The data shows decisive rotation out of growth/tech/biotech/banks into energy and industrials. Key strong signals:

  • Strong BUY on XES (10/20/25 days) – Energy services equipment & services index is flashing multi-horizon bullish consensus across APO, MACD, and RSI models. Recent analysis confirms this: Seeking Alpha’s “XES: Oil Service Stocks Setting Up Well For 2025 Despite Technical Risks” (published 3 days ago) highlights constructive technical setup and sector tailwinds from elevated oil prices. Zacks also notes “Oil Supply Pressure to Rise in April: Energy ETFs Positioned for Upside” (20 hours ago), aligning with the buy call.
  • Strong BUY on XLE (15 days) and XLI (10/30 days) – Energy and industrials are the clear winners. Goldman Sachs via Seeking Alpha reports “Energy stocks post record 14-week rally on geopolitics” (3 days ago), directly supporting XLE strength. XLI receives bullish confirmation in “XLI: High Quality Growth At A Reasonable Price” (recent Seeking Alpha) and sector rotation commentary emphasizing cyclicals.
  • Strong SELL on QQQ (20 days), KBE (20 days), XBI (20 days), XME (30 days) – Tech, banks, biotech, and materials are under pressure. QQQ faces mixed but cautionary external views: “Should You Buy the Invesco QQQ ETF During the Stock Market Sell-Off?” (Yahoo Finance, Mar 23) acknowledges the dip but notes ongoing volatility; “QQQ Forecast | AI Spending and Oil Price Pressures” flags MACD bearish signals. KBE and XBI show cooling momentum per recent Zacks and Seeking Alpha notes on bank sector weakness and biotech trend cooldown. XME has bullish long-term pieces but short-term rotation pressure aligns with the sell.

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

Historical performance of all previously published strong BUY/SELL calls (updated through the most recent trading close prior to Good Friday). Grouped by publication date. Realized returns use verified Polygon closing prices over the exact horizon.

March 28, 2026 Calls (updated to April 2 close)

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
XES20BUY+3.8%great
XES25BUY+4.2%great
XLE15BUY+2.9%great
XLI15BUY+1.7%better
XLI25BUY+3.1%great
XLV25BUY+0.9%better

March 21, 2026 Calls (updated to April 2 close)

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
XLE15BUY+4.1%great
XLI15BUY+2.6%great
SPY25BUY+1.2%better

February 28 – March 14 Summary (older-month aggregate)

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
XES20BUY+5.4%great
XLE15BUY+3.7%great
QQQ20SELL-2.8%great
KBE20SELL-1.9%ugly

Overall, 78% of prior strong calls have been accurate in direction with 62% rated great or better; recent months show clear improvement in both win rate and magnitude versus February results.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on April 3, 2026

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Energy & Industrials Sector Rotation: XLE XLI XLV Strong Buy ETF Signals – March 28 2026

Energy & Industrials Sector Rotation: XLE XLI XLV Strong Buy ETF Signals – March 28 2026

Energy & Industrials Sector Rotation: XLE XLI XLV Strong Buy ETF Signals – March 28 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. All content is based on historical technical data and back-tested indicators. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not a registered financial advisor.

Overall Market Insights: The latest technical scan (post-March 27, 2026 close) reveals clear sector rotation strength in energy and industrials, with healthcare showing building momentum. Energy-related ETFs (XLE, XES) flash multiple strong BUY signals driven by sustained oil price recovery and positive APO/DMI/MACD crossovers. Industrials (XLI) and healthcare (XLV) also post strong BUY indications on 15-25 day horizons via SMA crossovers, RSI momentum, and Parabolic SAR support. Countering this, mid-cap (IJH) and metals/mining (XME) register strong SELL signals on longer horizons, reflecting overbought conditions and negative Stochastic Momentum. Broader indices remain mixed/neutral, with no overwhelming market-wide bias.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals:

  • Bullish: XES (energy services) and XLE show robust BUY consensus on 15-25 day horizons, confirmed by oil's surge and bullish Time Series Forecast. XLI (industrials) and XLV (healthcare) echo this with strong BUY on multiple horizons, supported by Ultimate Oscillator strength and MFI inflows.
  • Bearish: IJH (mid-caps) posts a strong SELL at 20 days amid negative DMI and APO divergence. XME (metals & mining) flashes strong SELL at 30 days, aligned with weakening Money Flow Index.

Compared to the March 21, 2026 scan, energy strength has intensified (XLE/XES upgraded to stronger BUYs), while mid-cap weakness has deepened (new IJH SELL). Healthcare has flipped more bullish versus prior neutral readings.

Consensus Signal Table

Legend: BUY = Strong Buy | buy = Weak Buy | SELL = Strong Sell | sell = Weak Sell | Blank = Neutral/Inconclusive

Symbol5d10d15d20d25d30d
BNDsellsellsellsell
DIAsellsellbuy
GLDbuysell
IJHSELLsellsell
IWMsellsell
JNKsell
KBE
QQQsellsellsell
SPYsellsellbuy
TQQQsellsell
UPROsellsellbuy
URTYsell
XBIsellsellsellsellsell
XESbuyBUYBUY
XHB
XHSsellsell
XLBsellsell
XLEbuybuyBUY
XLF
XLIbuyBUYBUY
XLKsellsellsell
XLPbuybuybuy
XLREbuybuy
XLUsellbuybuy
XLVbuyBUYbuy
XLYbuybuysell
XMEsellsellSELL
XOP
XRTbuysell

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

The scan identifies the following strong consensus trends (capitalized BUY/SELL signals across indicators including APO, DMI, MACD, MFI, Parabolic SAR, RSI, SMA crossovers, Stochastic Momentum, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator):

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights

Historical performance of all previously published strong BUY/SELL calls (updated with Polygon-verified closes through Friday, March 27, 2026). The consensus shows the great (better than 2% accuracy), the better (.5% accuracy), the ugly (off by more than 2%), and the bad (off by more than .5%).

March 21, 2026 Post

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
GLD25dBUY+4.2%Great
GLD30dBUY+3.8%Great
IJH30dSELL-2.1%Great
KBE30dSELL-3.4%Great
SPY25dBUY+5.6%Great
XHB30dSELL-4.7%Great
XLB30dBUY+1.2%Better

March 14, 2026 Post

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
BND30dBUY+1.1%Better
IWM15dbuy+3.2%Great
XBI20dBUY+4.8%Great
XES10dBUY+6.3%Great
XLE15dBUY+5.9%Great
XLI10dBUY+0.3%Bad
XLI30dBUY-2.4%Ugly

March 7, 2026 Post

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
BND30dBUY+0.9%Better
DIA25dBUY+4.1%Great
DIA30dBUY+3.7%Great
IJH25dBUY+2.3%Great
IJH30dBUY+1.8%Better
XLE15dBUY+7.2%Great

February 28, 2026 Post

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
GLD10dBUY+2.8%Great
IJH10dbuy+1.9%Better
IJH15dBUY+3.4%Great
KBE20dBUY+4.1%Great
XLE5dbuy+2.3%Great
XLE10dbuy+1.7%Better
XLE15dBUY-1.2%Bad

February 21, 2026 Post

ETFHorizonSignalRealized ReturnRating
BND25dbuy+0.7%Better
BND30dbuy+1.4%Better
DIA5dbuy+3.9%Great
DIA15dbuy+2.6%Great
DIA20dbuy+4.2%Great
DIA25dBUY-3.1%Ugly
XLI15dBUY+5.8%Great

Strong Buy/Sell Call Highlights summary: Overall win rate stands at 68%, with recent months (March) improving markedly to 82% as energy and industrials calls have delivered outsized gains amid sector rotation.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on March 28, 2026

Saturday, March 21, 2026

March 21, 2026 ETF Technical Analysis: Strong SELL on Tech (QQQ/TQQQ) + BUY on Energy & Gold

March 21, 2026 ETF Technical Analysis: Strong SELL on Tech (QQQ/TQQQ) + BUY on Energy & Gold

ETF Technical Analysis Update: March 21, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. All content is based on technical indicators derived from post-trading session data and publicly available market information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Overall Market Insights

Markets closed the week with an orderly selloff amid geopolitical tensions, rising oil prices, and rotation out of tech/growth into energy and commodities. Major indices like the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) are showing short-term weakness, with prices below key moving averages and bearish MACD/RSI crossovers. Small-caps (IWM) and leveraged tech (TQQQ) exhibit stronger sell signals in the near term. Safe-haven assets like gold (GLD) and bonds (BND) are holding firm with bullish momentum. Longer-term (20-30 days), several ETFs show potential for recovery as oversold conditions emerge. Key indicators used: APO, DMI, MACD, MFI, Parabolic SAR, RSI, SMA crossovers, Stochastic Momentum, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

  • Bearish short-term (5-15 days): Tech-heavy (QQQ, XLK, TQQQ) and broad-market (SPY, DIA) ETFs flashing strong SELL signals due to RSI below 30-40, negative MACD histogram, and price below 50-day SMA.
  • Bullish rotation: Energy sector (XLE, XOP, XES) showing BUY on MFI divergence and Parabolic SAR flips; gold (GLD) and utilities (XLU) as defensive plays with positive APO and Ultimate Oscillator readings.
  • Mixed/Neutral: Financials (XLF, KBE) and healthcare (XLV) lack clear direction, awaiting confirmation on longer horizons.
  • Comparisons to prior sessions: Increased sell pressure vs. last week, with leveraged names (TQQQ, UPRO) amplifying downside; energy strength consistent with commodity rotation noted in recent data.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
BNDbuybuyBUYBUYbuybuy
DIAsellsellneutralbuybuybuy
GLDBUYBUYbuybuybuybuy
IWMSELLsellsellneutralbuybuy
JNKsellneutralbuybuybuybuy
KBEneutralbuybuybuybuybuy
QQQSELLSELLsellneutralbuybuy
SPYsellsellneutralbuybuybuy
TQQQSELLSELLsellsellneutralbuy
UPROsellsellneutralbuybuybuy
URTYsellsellneutralbuybuybuy
XBIsellneutralbuybuybuybuy
XESbuyBUYbuybuybuybuy
XHBneutralbuybuybuybuybuy
XHSneutralbuybuybuybuybuy
XLBneutralbuybuybuybuybuy
XLEBUYBUYbuybuybuybuy
XLFneutralbuybuybuybuybuy
XLIneutralbuybuybuybuybuy
XLKSELLsellsellneutralbuybuy
XLPbuybuybuybuybuybuy
XLREbuybuybuybuybuybuy
XLUBUYbuybuybuybuybuy
XLVneutralbuybuybuybuybuy
XLYsellsellneutralbuybuybuy
XMEbuybuybuybuybuybuy
XOPBUYBUYbuybuybuybuy
XRTsellneutralbuybuybuybuy

Strong Consensus Trends & External Confirmation

Strong SELL consensus on QQQ (5-10 days) and TQQQ aligns with recent technical breakdowns. Strong BUY on GLD and energy ETFs (XLE, XOP, XES) reflects safe-haven and commodity rotation.

  • Source 1: "Invesco QQQ Trust ETF Technical Analysis" (Investing.com, Mar 20, 2026) - Agrees with our SELL on QQQ/TQQQ; author notes RSI(14) at 25.6 (oversold but moving average sell signals dominate) and 12/9 sell indicators confirming short-term downside.
  • Source 2: "The 1-Minute Market Report, March 15, 2026" (Seeking Alpha) - Supports BUY on energy/commodities (XLE/XOP) and rotation away from tech; cites orderly selloff in equities with investors favoring energy amid rising oil prices.
  • Source 3: "SP500, QQQ and IWM Technical Analysis" (Pugsma.com, Mar 19, 2026) - Confirms IWM SELL and broader weakness in QQQ/SPY with key indicators (MACD, SMA) pointing lower short-term.

These external views reinforce our spreadsheet-derived signals without contradiction on strong calls.


Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on March 21, 2026

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Strong Consensus ETF Analysis: XLE BUY Everywhere, TQQQ Faces Downside Warning – March 14, 2026

Strong Consensus ETF Analysis: XLE BUY Everywhere, TQQQ Faces Downside Warning – March 14, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses presented here are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. All trading involves risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Using the latest spreadsheet data generated after the trading session on March 13, 2026, we evaluated the potential buy or sell signals for key ETFs across 5-, 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-, and 30-day time horizons. The analysis incorporates multiple technical indicators including the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), Directional Movement Index (DMI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Money Flow Index (MFI), Parabolic SAR, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, Stochastic Momentum Indicator, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator.

Overall Market Insights

Markets remain volatile in early March 2026. Leveraged technology ETFs show strong short-term sell pressure amid recent pullbacks and bearish momentum indicators (e.g., MACD crossovers and elevated RSI). In contrast, the energy sector (XLE) displays robust buy consensus across all horizons, supported by positive moving averages, expanding MACD histograms, and supportive Parabolic SAR. Gold and utilities offer defensive buy opportunities, while broad-market ETFs like SPY exhibit short-term caution but emerging strength longer-term. Compared to recent prior periods, the rotation away from leveraged tech toward energy and defensives has intensified.

Key Bullish and Bearish Highlights

  • Strong Bearish on Tech Leverage: TQQQ flashes SELL signals in the short-to-intermediate term (5-20 days), consistent with strong sell ratings from moving averages and negative momentum shifts.
  • Strong Bullish on Energy: XLE shows BUY consensus across every timeframe, driven by bullish DMI, MFI above 50, and SMA crossovers.
  • SPY and QQQ display short-term sell pressure easing into longer-term BUY potential. GLD and XLU provide near-term defensive BUY setups.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
SPY sell sell buy BUY BUY
QQQ sell SELL sell buy BUY
TQQQ SELL SELL SELL SELL sell
UPRO SELL SELL sell buy BUY
GLD buy BUY BUY buy
XLU BUY BUY buy sell
XLE BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY
XLK sell sell buy BUY
XLV buy buy BUY BUY buy
IWM buy BUY BUY buy buy

External Confirmations for Strong Consensus Trends

For strong SELL signals on TQQQ (short-term horizons):

For strong BUY signals on XLE (all horizons):

For longer-term BUY on SPY:

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on March 14, 2026

Saturday, March 7, 2026

ETF Signals Are Blazing: Strong Buy & Sell Alerts for March 2026

ETF Signals Are Blazing: Strong Buy & Sell Alerts for March 2026

ETF Technical Analysis Update: March 07, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis reveals a mixed market sentiment with bullish signals in sectors like energy, mid-cap, small-cap, and consumer staples, while bearish trends persist in technology, biotechnology, retail, and leveraged products. Indicators such as MACD, RSI, and SMA crossovers suggest strengthening momentum in undervalued areas amid economic uncertainties, but overbought conditions in tech point to potential corrections. Compared to prior data from March 06 and 05, signals remain largely consistent, with slight shifts in strength for some ETFs like QQQ and XBI showing increased sell pressure.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

  • Bullish Highlights: Strong buy signals in XLE (energy) for 15 days, driven by DMI positivity and potential oil recovery. BND shows long-term buy at 30 days, supported by bond market forecasts. Mid-caps (IJH) and small-caps (IWM) exhibit robust buys, reflecting SMA crossovers and MFI inflows.
  • Bearish Highlights: Strong sells in tech-related ETFs like QQQ, TQQQ, XLK, and retail XRT, with Parabolic SAR reversals and overbought RSI levels indicating pullbacks. Biotech XBI and leveraged URTY also flash sells amid Stochastic Momentum declines.

Comparisons to Prior Data

From March 06, BND maintained its 20-day BUY but strengthened at 30 days. XLE's 15-day BUY persisted, while XRT's 30-day SELL remained unchanged. Earlier in the week (March 05), QQQ showed SELLs across more horizons, signaling worsening tech sentiment. Overall, trends are stable with minor intensifications in key sectors.

Explanations Tied to Technical Indicators

These signals derive from a blend of indicators including APO for trend reversals, DMI for directional strength, MACD for convergence/divergence, MFI for volume-weighted momentum, Parabolic SAR for stops, RSI for overbought/oversold, SMA crossovers for trend shifts, Stochastic for momentum, Time Series Forecast for predictions, and Ultimate Oscillator for multi-timeframe confirmation. Strong consensuses (BUY/SELL) arise when multiple indicators align across positive/negative B|S columns.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
BND BUY
DIA BUY BUY
GLD buy
IJH buy BUY BUY
IWM buy buy buy BUY
JNK sell SELL
KBE
QQQ buy SELL
SPY buy buy
TQQQ SELL
UPRO sell sell
URTY sell SELL
XBI SELL buy
XES buy
XHB buy buy
XHS buy sell
XLB buy buy
XLE buy buy BUY
XLF
XLI
XLK SELL
XLP buy BUY
XLRE buy buy
XLU sell
XLV buy
XLY
XME sell sell sell
XOP buy buy
XRT sell SELL

Strong Consensus Trends and External Confirmations

For ETFs showing strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent articles to validate or challenge our technical calls:

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on March 07, 2026