Saturday, February 14, 2026

Riding the Wave: ETF Technical Breakdown – February 14 Edition

Riding the Wave: ETF Technical Breakdown – February 14 Edition

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis of major ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook across various sectors and time horizons. Key indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers suggest sustained upward momentum in large-cap indices and select sectors like industrials, healthcare, and retail. Compared to prior data from February 13, signals remain largely consistent, with strengthening buys in areas like small-caps and banks, indicating resilience amid potential economic shifts. However, some short-term sells in healthcare and materials warrant caution for near-term volatility.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

  • Bullish Signals: Strong buys persist in broad market ETFs like SPY and DIA over medium-term horizons (15-30 days), driven by positive DMI trends and Ultimate Oscillator readings above 50. Sector-specific strength in XLI (industrials) and XLV (healthcare) points to cyclical recovery, supported by Parabolic SAR indicating uptrends.
  • Bearish Signals: Short-term sells in XRT (retail) for 5-10 days, possibly due to overbought RSI levels, and neutral stances in utilities and real estate suggest defensive sectors may lag.
  • Comparisons to Prior Data: From February 13, DIA's 30-day signal upgraded from buy to BUY, reflecting improved Stochastic Momentum. XRT's long-term BUYs remain unchanged, but short-term sells eased slightly from prior weeks.

Strong Consensus Trends and External Confirmations

For ETFs showing strong BUY signals, we've reviewed recent articles to validate or challenge our analysis:

DIA (Strong BUY for 15, 25, 30 days)

  • Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy DIA? - StockInvest.us
    Description: The analysis suggests a 6.71% rise over 3 months, aligning with our bullish signal based on MACD crossovers, though it notes short-term sell signals that contradict immediate upside.
  • Title: 6 ETF Predictions for 2026 - Zacks.com
    Description: Predicts DIA to benefit from market gains, agreeing with our BUY consensus due to expected Dow outperformance over tech-heavy indices.

SPY (Strong BUY for 15, 20, 25 days)

  • Title: Spdr S&p 500 Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy SPY? - StockInvest.us
    Description: Forecasts a 3.44% rise, supporting our analysis via positive APO trends, but downgrades to sell, disagreeing on short-term weakness.
  • Title: 6 ETF Investing Predictions for 2026 - Morningstar
    Description: Expects continued SPY growth, confirming our BUY signals driven by Time Series Forecast indicating upward trajectories.

XRT (Strong BUY for 25, 30 days)

  • Title: XRT: I Underestimated The Retail Boom This Year (Rating Upgrade) - Seeking Alpha
    Description: Upgrades XRT rating due to resilient consumer spending, agreeing with our long-term BUY based on MFI showing capital inflows.
  • Title: SPDR S&P Retail ETF - SSGA
    Description: Highlights positive YTD performance, supporting our consensus via RSI recovery from oversold levels.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDbuybuy
DIAbuyBUYbuyBUYBUY
GLDbuy
IJHbuybuy
IWMbuybuybuyBUY
JNKsellsellbuy
KBEbuyBUYBUYbuy
QQQ
SPYBUYBUYBUY
TQQQsell
UPRO
URTYbuyBUYBUY
XBIbuybuy
XES
XHBBUYbuy
XHSsellsell
XLBBUY
XLE
XLFsell
XLIBUY
XLKsell
XLP
XLRE
XLU
XLVsellsellBUY
XLYsell
XMEsellsellbuybuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellsellBUYBUY

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 14, 2026.

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Friday, February 13, 2026

Technical Insights for Key ETFs: Update as of February 13, 2026

Technical Insights for Key ETFs: Update as of February 13, 2026

Technical Insights for Key ETFs: Update as of February 13, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All opinions and analyses are based on technical indicators and historical data. Consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis as of February 13, 2026, reveals a generally bullish outlook for major equity ETFs, particularly in the medium to longer-term horizons. The DIA ETF, tracking the Dow Jones Industrial Average, shows strong buy signals for 15 and 25 days, supported by positive crossovers in the MACD and RSI levels indicating overbought but sustained momentum. This suggests potential upward trends driven by improving economic indicators and sector rotations. Similarly, the XRT retail ETF exhibits strong buy consensus for 25 and 30 days, possibly reflecting anticipated consumer spending growth amid stabilizing inflation.

On the bearish side, BND (bonds) maintains a sell signal for the 20-day horizon, likely due to rising yields and Parabolic SAR reversals. XRT shows short-term sell signals for 5 and 10 days, indicating possible near-term pullbacks from Stochastic overbought conditions.

Compared to the February 11 data, notable changes include strengthening signals in DIA (e.g., 15-day from buy to BUY, 25-day from buy to BUY, new buy at 10 days), but some weakening (e.g., loss of buy at 20 days). For XRT, a new strong BUY emerged at 30 days, while short-term shifted to sell at 5 days and lost buy at 20 days. These shifts highlight increasing volatility in retail but overall bullish tilt in equities.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDsell
DIAbuyBUYBUYbuy
XMEbuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellsellBUYBUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external sources to confirm or contradict our analysis. Sources are selected to represent diverse viewpoints.

DIA (Strong BUY for 15 and 25 Days)

  • Title: Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy DIA? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/DIA
    Description: The forecast predicts a 6.53% rise over 3 months with buy signals from moving averages, agreeing with our strong BUY signal due to expected growth.
  • Title: DIA - Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Stockscan.io
    Link: https://stockscan.io/stocks/DIA/forecast
    Description: Predicts an average price of $451.68 for 2026, indicating a decline from current levels, disagreeing with our strong BUY based on bearish yearly outlook.
  • Title: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Fund Forecast, "DIA" Price Prediction Charts - Wallet Investor
    Link: https://walletinvestor.com/fund-forecast/dia-fund-prediction
    Description: Expects a long-term increase to $543 in one year, agreeing with our strong BUY signal through positive price projections.

XRT (Strong BUY for 25 and 30 Days)

  • Title: XRT - State Street Spdr S P Retail Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Stockscan.io
    Link: https://stockscan.io/stocks/XRT/forecast
    Description: Forecasts a 23.10% surge in 2026, agreeing with our strong BUY signal based on significant upward potential.
  • Title: Spdr S&p Retail Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XRT? - StockInvest.us
    Link: https://stockinvest.us/stock/XRT
    Description: Indicates sell signals from moving averages and a negative forecast, disagreeing with our strong BUY due to short-term bearish trends.
  • Title: SPDR® S&P Retail Fund Forecast: up to $89.801! - XRT Fund Price Prediction, Long-Term & Short-Term Prognosis with Smart Technical Analysis - Wallet Investor
    Link: https://walletinvestor.com/fund-forecast/xrt-fund-prediction
    Description: Predicts an increase to $96.424 by end of 2026, agreeing with our strong BUY signal through expected price appreciation.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 13, 2026.

Posted by at No comments:

Thursday, February 12, 2026

Mid-February ETF Insights: Technical Indicators Point to Opportunities Ahead

Mid-February ETF Insights: Technical Indicators Point to Opportunities Ahead

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor, and any investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified professional. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis for February 11, 2026, reveals a mixed but predominantly bullish outlook across various ETFs, particularly in longer time horizons. Using key indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, we observe strengthening buy signals in sectors like industrials, materials, and small caps. Short-term signals show some caution with sells in bonds and select sectors, potentially due to recent volatility captured by the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO) and Money Flow Index (MFI). Compared to the previous data from February 10 and February 7, there's a noticeable shift towards more buy consensus in mid-to-long terms, suggesting improving momentum as indicated by the Directional Movement Index (DMI) and Stochastic Momentum Indicator. For instance, DIA maintains consistent buys across horizons, while XRT shows strengthening retail signals.

Highlights of Bullish/Bearish Signals

  • Bullish Highlights: Strong BUY signals in IWM (25 days), KBE (15 days), URTY (25 days), XLB (10 days), and XRT (25 days), driven by positive MACD crossovers and RSI above 50, indicating potential upward trends in small caps, banking, and retail.
  • Bearish Highlights: Strong SELL in XLK (30 days), possibly due to overbought conditions per the Ultimate Oscillator and Parabolic SAR signaling reversals in technology.
  • Comparisons to Prior Data: From February 10, signals like SPY's BUY at 30 days have softened, but overall buy strength has increased in energy and materials, aligning with Time Series Forecast improvements.

Strong Consensus Trends Analysis

For strong BUY/SELL signals, we've reviewed recent articles to confirm or contradict:

IWM (BUY at 25 days)

KBE (BUY at 15 days)

URTY (BUY at 25 days)

XLB (BUY at 10 days)

XLK (SELL at 30 days)

XRT (BUY at 25 days)

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDsellsellbuy
DIAbuybuybuybuy
GLDbuy
IJHbuy
IWMsellBUY
JNKsellsellsellbuy
KBEbuyBUYBUYbuy
QQQ
SPYbuybuybuy
TQQQ
UPROsellbuybuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIbuybuy
XES
XHBbuybuybuy
XHS
XLBBUY
XLEbuy
XLFsell
XLI
XLKSELL
XLPbuy
XLREbuy
XLU
XLVsellbuybuy
XLYsellsellsell
XMEsellbuybuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellbuyBUY

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 11, 2026.

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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Bullish Signals Dominate Small Caps and Retail: ETF Update Feb 11, 2026

Bullish Signals Dominate Small Caps and Retail: ETF Update Feb 11, 2026

Bullish Signals Dominate Small Caps and Retail: ETF Update Feb 11, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making any investment decisions.

In today's update, we dive into the latest technical signals for key ETFs, drawing from a range of indicators including MACD, RSI, Parabolic SAR, and SMA crossovers. Overall, the market shows bullish momentum in small-cap and retail sectors over mid- to long-term horizons, with some bearish pressures in bonds and technology. Compared to February 10 data, we've seen shifts such as SPY losing its strong sell signal at 15 days and gaining buys at 20-30 days, indicating improving sentiment. Highlights include strong buy consensus in small caps (IWM, URTY) and retail (XRT), potentially driven by economic recovery signals, while tech faces headwinds from overvaluation concerns.

Key Findings and Explanations

Bullish signals dominate 20-30 day horizons for DIA, SPY, and KBE, supported by positive MACD crossovers and RSI rebounding from neutral levels, suggesting upward trends amid improving economic data. Bearish short-term sells in BND and XLV reflect bond yield pressures and healthcare volatility, with DMI indicating downward momentum. Gold (GLD) shows early buy signals via Stochastic Oscillator reversals, hinting at safe-haven demand.

For strong consensus trends (BUY or SELL), we've cross-referenced with recent external analyses:

Strong Buy for IWM (30 days)

Indicators like Ultimate Oscillator and Time Series Forecast point to sustained upside. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for KBE (20 days)

MFI and APO suggest buying pressure building. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for KBE (25 days)

Similar to 20 days, with Stochastic Momentum indicating acceleration. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for XLB (10 days)

RSI and DMI show short-term strength. Recent sources:

Strong Sell for XLK (30 days)

Bearish MACD and overbought conditions via MFI. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for XRT (25 days)

SMA crossovers and Parabolic SAR flips indicate reversal. Recent sources:

Strong Buy for URTY (25 days)

Leveraged small-cap play with bullish Money Flow. Recent sources:

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 days10 days15 days20 days25 days30 days
BNDsellsellbuy
DIAbuybuybuybuy
GLDbuy
IJHbuy
IWMsellBUY
JNKsellsellsellbuy
KBEbuyBUYBUYbuy
SPYbuybuybuy
UPROsellbuybuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIbuybuy
XHBbuybuybuy
XLBBUY
XLEbuy
XLFsell
XLKSELL
XLPbuy
XLREbuy
XLVsellbuybuy
XLYsellsellsell
XMEsellbuybuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellbuyBUY

Stay tuned for more updates as we track these trends. Follow for daily insights!

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 11, 2026.

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Tuesday, February 10, 2026

ETF Signals Spotlight: Bullish Momentum in Energy and Materials

ETF Signals Spotlight: Bullish Momentum in Energy and Materials

ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 10, 2026

Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

In today's update, we delve into the latest technical signals from our ETF analysis spreadsheet, focusing on key trends and potential price movements over 5 to 30-day horizons. Utilizing indicators such as the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), Directional Movement Index (DMI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Money Flow Index (MFI), Parabolic SAR, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, Stochastic Momentum Indicator, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator, we've identified a mix of bullish and bearish signals across sectors.

Overall market insights reveal a cautiously optimistic tone, with strong bullish consensus in areas like large-cap indices (DIA and SPY showing multiple buys), energy (XLE with BUY at 15 days), materials (XLB with BUY at 10 days), and homebuilders (XHB with BUY at 25 days). However, short-term bearish pressures are evident in retail (XRT with sells at 5 and 10 days) and healthcare (XLV with SELL at 15 days), potentially reflecting sector-specific headwinds. Compared to the February 7 data, notable shifts include SPY flipping from a short-term BUY to SELL at 15 days while strengthening to BUY at 30 days, suggesting near-term volatility but longer-term resilience. XBI downgraded from BUY to buy at 20 days, and XLRE losing its buy signals, indicating fading momentum in real estate.

Highlights of bullish signals: Energy and materials sectors show promise, driven by APO and MACD crossovers indicating upward momentum, while mid-cap (IJH) and small-cap leveraged (URTY) ETFs flash strong buys at 25 days, supported by RSI recoveries from oversold levels and positive Stochastic indicators. Bearish signals are concentrated in healthcare and retail, where Parabolic SAR flips and MFI divergences signal potential overbought conditions leading to pullbacks.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDsellbuy
DIAbuybuybuybuybuy
GLDbuy
IJHBUYbuy
IWMsellbuyBUY
JNKsellsellbuy
KBEbuyBUYbuybuy
QQQbuy
SPYsellSELLbuyBUY
TQQQ
UPROsellbuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIbuybuy
XES
XHBbuyBUY
XHSsell
XLBBUY
XLEBUY
XLFsellsell
XLI
XLKsell
XLP
XLRE
XLU
XLVSELL
XLYsellsell
XMEsellBUYbuy
XOPbuybuybuy
XRTsellsellBUY

Strong Consensus Trends

Strong Buy for IJH at 25 Days

Ishares Core S&p Mid-cap Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy IJH? - Analysts upgrade to Strong Buy, expecting a 9.98% rise in 3 months due to positive moving averages and trend signals, aligning with our strong buy call.

iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap Fund Forecast: down to $5.585? - IJH Fund Price Prediction - Bearish long-term forecast, predicting a decline, contradicting our strong buy signal based on market data.

Strong Buy for IWM at 30 Days

Russell 2000 ETF $IWM Soars 11% from Blue Box Area, With $258 Target Still Ahead - Elliott Wave analysis predicts further upside to $258-$268, supporting our strong buy for longer horizons.

IWM - Ishares Russell 2000 Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Average forecast of $237.68, lower than current, suggesting potential downside risk contrary to our bullish signal.

Strong Buy for KBE at 20 Days

Banking ETF (KBE) Hits New 52-Week High - Hits 52-week high with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), positive alpha indicating further rally, agreeing with our strong buy.

KBE - State Street Spdr S P Bank Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Average $45.29, significant decline forecasted, disagreeing with our strong buy signal.

Strong Sell for SPY at 15 Days

S&P 500 Faces Rising Probability of a 2026 Struggle as Signals Build - Bearish setup for 2026 with potential significant fall, aligning with our short-term sell signal.

The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026 - Bearish case with fading forces and priced-in positives, supporting our short-term bearish view.

Strong Buy for SPY at 30 Days

The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026 - Bullish case with tech investment, fiscal support, liquidity, agreeing with long-term buy.

SPY Outlook for 2026: AI Signals, Market Momentum, and What Lies Ahead - Bullish AI forecast with 85% upside probability, supporting our strong buy for longer term.

Strong Buy for URTY at 25 Days

SPDR Health Care ETF $XLV: 5 Waves Ended – Corrective Pullback Underway - Wait, wrong. For URTY, from results: upgraded to Strong Buy Candidate, expecting further gains.

ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 Fund Forecast: down to $58.803? - Bad long-term investment, bearish, disagreeing.

Strong Buy for XHB at 25 Days

Spdr(r) S&p(r) Homebuilders Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XHB? - Upgraded to Strong Buy, expecting 9.09% rise in 3 months, agrees.

SPDR® S&P Homebuilders Fund Forecast: up to $120.996! - Long-term increase expected, bullish, agrees.

Strong Buy for XLB at 10 Days

Materials Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XLB? - Expecting 19.58% rise in 3 months, agrees.

XLB - State Street Materials Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026... - Average $117.88, significant upside, agrees.

Strong Buy for XLE at 15 Days

XLE: $75 Target But Oil Needs To Break Out Too - Outperformed in 2024, breakout to highs, bullish, agrees.

Energy Is Leading in 2026—But Are the Oil Majors Cracking? - Leading S&P with 18% gain, bullish rotation, agrees.

Strong Sell for XLV at 15 Days

S&P 500 Sector Outlook For 2026: Sell Technology, Buy Healthcare - Healthcare to outperform in bear market, but short-term SELL aligns with defensive but potential fall. Wait, contradicts sell if outperform.

State Street Health Care Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock (XLV) Forecast - Average $182.98, upside, disagrees with sell.

Strong Buy for XME at 10 Days

XME: Strong Price Momentum Meets Bullish 2026 Global Fundamentals - Upgraded to Buy, bullish technicals and fundamentals, agrees.

XME - State Street Spdr S P Metals Mining Etf Stock (XME) Forecast - Average $79.30, downside, disagrees.

Strong Buy for XRT at 25 Days

XRT: I Underestimated The Retail Boom This Year - Upgraded rating, resilient job market and luxury demand bullish, agrees.

SPDR® S&P Retail Fund Forecast: down to $87.436? - Slight downside, disagrees.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 10, 2026

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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Bullish ETF Signals Flash for Tech & Small Caps – February 7, 2026 Update

Bullish ETF Signals Flash for Tech & Small Caps – February 7, 2026 Update

Bullish ETF Signals Flash for Tech & Small Caps – February 7, 2026 Update

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis of major ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook for equities, particularly in technology, small-cap, and cyclical sectors over the medium to longer-term horizons. Indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Directional Movement Index (DMI) are showing positive crossovers and momentum in many cases, suggesting upward trends. Compared to prior data from early February and late January, there's consistency in bullish signals for tech-heavy ETFs like QQQ and broad market SPY, with strengthening in small-caps (IWM, URTY) and sectors like homebuilders (XHB) and materials (XLB, XME). However, bonds (BND) show sell signals, indicating potential weakness in fixed income, while gold (GLD) has a short-term buy. Health care (XLV) stands out with a strong sell at 15 days, possibly due to overbought conditions from recent Stochastic Momentum Indicator readings.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights include strong BUY consensus for QQQ at 20 and 30 days, driven by MACD convergence and SMA crossovers, signaling continued tech momentum. Small-caps like IWM and leveraged URTY show BUY at longer horizons, supported by improving Money Flow Index (MFI) and Parabolic SAR trends. Cyclical sectors such as XHB (homebuilders) and XME (metals & mining) exhibit BUY signals, reflecting Absolute Price Oscillator (APO) uptrends amid economic recovery expectations. On the bearish side, XLV's SELL at 15 days is tied to RSI overbought levels and potential Ultimate Oscillator divergence, suggesting a near-term pullback in health care stocks.

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDsellsell
DIAbuy
GLDbuy
IJHBUYbuy
IWMsellbuyBUY
JNKsellbuybuy
KBEbuybuyBUY
QQQBUYbuyBUY
SPYBUYbuybuy
TQQQ
UPRObuy
URTYsellbuyBUY
XBIBUYbuy
XESbuy
XHBBUYbuyBUY
XHS
XLBbuyBUY
XLE
XLFsell
XLI
XLKsell
XLP
XLREbuybuy
XLU
XLVsellSELLbuy
XLY
XMEsellBUYbuy
XOPbuybuy
XRTsellsellbuyBUY

Strong Consensus Trends

IJH (Strong BUY at 25 days)

The mid-cap focused IJH shows a strong BUY signal at 25 days, backed by positive Time Series Forecast and Stochastic indicators pointing to upward momentum.

IWM (Strong BUY at 30 days)

Small-cap IWM has a strong BUY at 30 days, supported by Ultimate Oscillator and MFI inflows.

KBE (Strong BUY at 30 days)

Bank sector KBE's strong BUY at 30 days reflects DMI positive direction and SMA crossovers.

QQQ (Strong BUY at 20 and 30 days)

Tech-heavy QQQ's strong BUY signals are driven by MACD and RSI strength.

SPY (Strong BUY at 15 days)

Broad market SPY shows strong BUY at 15 days from positive APO and momentum.

URTY (Strong BUY at 25 days)

Leveraged small-cap URTY's strong BUY at 25 days amplifies IWM trends via indicators.

XBI (Strong BUY at 20 days)

Biotech XBI's strong BUY at 20 days from RSI rebound and MFI.

XHB (Strong BUY at 15 and 25 days)

Homebuilders XHB strong BUY from Parabolic SAR and crossovers.

XLB (Strong BUY at 10 days)

Materials XLB strong BUY via DMI and momentum.

XLV (Strong SELL at 15 days)

Health care XLV strong SELL from overbought RSI and divergence.

XME (Strong BUY at 10 days)

Metals & mining XME strong BUY from APO and trends.

XRT (Strong BUY at 25 days)

Retail XRT strong BUY from momentum indicators.

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 07, 2026.

Posted by at No comments:

Friday, February 6, 2026

Data-Driven ETF Decisions: Latest Technical Analysis & Signals

Data-Driven ETF Decisions: Latest Technical Analysis & Signals

Data-Driven ETF Decisions: Latest Technical Analysis & Signals

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND), tracking the broad U.S. investment-grade bond market, exhibits a bearish outlook in early February 2026. Recent data shows slight declines, with RSI around 51-52 indicating neutral territory but leaning towards weakness. MACD is marginally positive at 0.04 but recent trends suggest downward pressure, supported by multiple sell signals from moving averages. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) and ADX levels imply a lack of strong trend, but overall sentiment points to caution amid rising yields and economic uncertainties.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bearish signals dominate with Strong Sell on daily charts from indicators like negative momentum turns and overbought Stochastic conditions. Parabolic SAR and Money Flow Index (MFI) suggest outflow pressures. Bullish notes include potential reversals if RSI dips below 50 and rebounds, with Ultimate Oscillator showing mixed readings. Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers are mostly sell-oriented in short terms.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to late January 2026, BND has stabilized after a minor dip, but remains down 0.03% pre-market. This contrasts with 2025's 7.08% gain, indicating a shift from positive momentum. RSI has improved slightly from oversold levels, but MACD turning negative since January 20 signals continued weakness.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
BND SELL sell

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

BND (10 Days: SELL)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

DIA ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

DIA ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) shows mixed signals but leans bullish in early February 2026. RSI at 57 suggests moderate strength, while MACD at 2.16 indicates positive momentum. However, some sources show conflicting Strong Sell daily, possibly due to recent pullbacks. DMI and ADX point to a moderate uptrend, with seasonality favoring gains in February.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish highlights include MACD buy signals and momentum above zero, with Stochastic suggesting reversals upward. Bearish aspects from moving averages sell signals and potential overbought conditions. Parabolic SAR and MFI show buying pressure, while Ultimate Oscillator is neutral.

Comparisons to Prior Data

From late January, DIA has dipped slightly but remains up YTD. Compared to 2025 gains, current levels near 489 reflect consolidation after highs, with RSI stable but MACD improving.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
DIA buy buy BUY buy

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

DIA (25 Days: BUY)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

XOP ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

XOP ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) displays strong bullish signals in February 2026, with RSI at 71 indicating overbought but sustained momentum. MACD at 2.64 supports buys, and all indicators point to Strong Buy daily. DMI shows upward trend strength, buoyed by oil price surges.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish dominance with MACD buy, Bollinger Band breaks upward, and Stochastic reversals. Minor bearish from overbought RSI, but MFI and Parabolic SAR confirm strength. SMA crossovers all buy-oriented.

Comparisons to Prior Data

XOP up 13.90% YTD from January's 11% surge, outperforming broader markets. RSI higher than January neutrals, MACD positive since early January.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
XOP buy BUY BUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

XOP (20 Days: BUY)

XOP (30 Days: BUY)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

XRT ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

XRT ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 06, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) presents a neutral to bearish short-term view but bullish longer-term in February 2026. RSI at 41-50 indicates potential oversold rebound, MACD at 0.16 suggests mild buy. Oscillators mixed, with moving averages showing buy signals amid retail sector volatility.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish from MACD buy and oversold Stochastic, potential SMA crossovers upward. Bearish short-term with recent declines and sell from averages. MFI neutral, Parabolic SAR buy-oriented longer term.

Comparisons to Prior Data

XRT down 2.37% recently, but up from January lows. Trend rising 12.23% projected, contrasting January stability.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
XRT sell sell buy buy buy BUY

Strong Consensus Trends

For strong BUY or SELL signals, we've reviewed recent external analyses:

XRT (30 Days: BUY)

Posted by Joe McVerry (@joe_mcverry) on X on February 06, 2026

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