Still More Bearish Than Bullish

During the past 2 weeks a serious bug was discovered in the first model's algorithm.  The clue there was a bug was that the model was always 100% bullish and for every symbol...we all know what's been happening since then so the search was on for the programming error.   And, of course, what happens on the day the bug is fixed --- %5 market pop. BTW the second model has been consistently bearish since the beginning of December.


I am in the camp that says yesterday's move is more about window dressing buy the big funds then the end of the bear market.  We'll see...

OEF	to cash	to stocks	iShares SP100 Index	OEF	to cash	to stocks	iShares SP100 Index
was cash	19.18%	47.70%		was cash	6.67%	0.00%
was stocks	33.12%	0.00%		was stocks	40.00%	53.33%
	52.30%	47.70%	bearish		46.67%	53.33%	bullish
QQQ	to cash	to stocks	Invesco QQQ Trust	QQQ	to cash	to stocks	Invesco QQQ Trust
was cash	23.44%	28.30%		was cash	0.00%	0.00%
was stocks	48.26%	0.00%		was stocks	50.00%	50.00%
	71.70%	28.30%	bearish		50.00%	50.00%	toss up
TQQQ	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro QQQ	TQQQ	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro QQQ
was cash	26.84%	35.29%		was cash	0.00%	0.00%
was stocks	37.87%	0.00%		was stocks	73.33%	26.67%
	64.71%	35.29%	bearish		73.33%	26.67%	bearish
SQQQ	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ	SQQQ	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
was cash	40.41%	43.03%		was cash	50.00%	46.67%
was stocks	16.56%	0.00%		was stocks	3.33%	0.00%
	56.97%	43.03%	bullish		53.33%	46.67%	bullish
QLD	to cash	to stocks	ProShares Ultra QQQ	QLD	to cash	to stocks	ProShares Ultra QQQ
was cash	25.22%	41.21%		was cash	3.33%	3.33%
was stocks	33.57%	0.00%		was stocks	56.67%	36.67%
	58.80%	41.21%	bearish		60.00%	40.00%	bearish
QID	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraShort QQQ	QID	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraShort QQQ
was cash	39.09%	31.95%		was cash	46.67%	50.00%
was stocks	28.96%	0.00%		was stocks	0.00%	3.33%
	68.05%	31.95%	bullish		46.67%	53.33%	bearish
SPY	to cash	to stocks	SPDR SP500	SPY	to cash	to stocks	SPDR SP500
was cash	20.35%	24.03%		was cash	3.33%	6.67%
was stocks	55.61%	0.00%		was stocks	40.00%	50.00%
	75.97%	24.03%	bearish		43.33%	56.67%	bullish
SPXL	to cash	to stocks	Direxion Daily SP500 Bull 3X Shares	SPXL	to cash	to stocks	Direxion Daily SP500 Bull 3X Shares
was cash	21.12%	31.41%		was cash	10.00%	3.33%
was stocks	47.47%	0.00%		was stocks	46.67%	40.00%
	68.59%	31.41%	bearish		56.67%	43.33%	bearish
SPXS	to cash	to stocks	Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares	SPXS	to cash	to stocks	Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares
was cash	32.87%	28.90%		was cash	46.67%	46.67%
was stocks	38.24%	0.00%		was stocks	3.33%	3.33%
	71.10%	28.90%	bullish		50.00%	50.00%	toss up
UPRO	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro SP500	UPRO	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro SP500
was cash	25.38%	30.17%		was cash	6.67%	6.67%
was stocks	44.45%	0.00%		was stocks	43.33%	43.33%
	69.83%	30.17%	bearish		50.00%	50.00%	toss up
SPXU	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro Short SP500	SPXU	to cash	to stocks	ProShares UltraPro Short SP500
was cash	21.27%	34.25%		was cash	46.67%	46.67%
was stocks	44.48%	0.00%		was stocks	0.00%	6.67%
	65.75%	34.25%	bullish		46.67%	53.33%	bearish