Friday, December 14, 2018

Signs of More Bullishness May Indicate The Christmas Rally to Appear

The model on the left is almost completely bullish.  Yesterday it had only 6 bullishness calls with the others at 50/50.

The model on the right had zero bullish signals yesterday.

BTW the bullish/bearishness indicator is for the general market.  So while an inverse type ETF may show a "go to stock" high percentage  I look at this as a sell the market call.  And vice versa if an inverse ETF has a high percentage in "go to cash"  then it indicates a general market move to the upside.


Monte Carlo QLearning
OEF to cash to stocks iShares SP100 Index OEF to cash to stocks iShares SP100 Index
was cash 14.29% 10.71%
was cash 10.00% 13.33%
was stocks 3.57% 71.43%
was stocks 63.33% 13.33%

17.86% 82.14% bullish
73.33% 26.67% bearish








QQQ to cash to stocks Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ to cash to stocks Invesco QQQ Trust
was cash 35.71% 7.14%
was cash 16.67% 23.33%
was stocks 7.14% 50.00%
was stocks 36.67% 23.33%

42.86% 57.14% bullish
53.33% 46.67% bearish








TQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro QQQ TQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro QQQ
was cash 46.43% 3.57%
was cash 13.33% 16.67%
was stocks 0.00% 50.00%
was stocks 56.67% 13.33%

46.43% 53.57% bullish
70.00% 30.00% bearish








SQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ SQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
was cash 28.57% 0.00%
was cash 20.00% 36.67%
was stocks 7.14% 64.29%
was stocks 43.33% 0.00%

35.71% 64.29% bearish
63.33% 36.67% bullish








QLD to cash to stocks ProShares Ultra QQQ QLD to cash to stocks ProShares Ultra QQQ
was cash 42.86% 0.00%
was cash 10.00% 26.67%
was stocks 3.57% 53.57%
was stocks 46.67% 16.67%

46.43% 53.57% bullish
56.67% 43.33% bearish








QID to cash to stocks ProShares UltraShort QQQ QID to cash to stocks ProShares UltraShort QQQ
was cash 25.00% 0.00%
was cash 36.67% 33.33%
was stocks 3.57% 71.43%
was stocks 26.67% 3.33%

28.57% 71.43% bearish
63.33% 36.67% bullish








SPY to cash to stocks SPDR SP500 SPY to cash to stocks SPDR SP500
was cash 10.71% 14.29%
was cash 16.67% 13.33%
was stocks 3.57% 71.43%
was stocks 66.67% 3.33%

14.29% 85.71% bullish
83.33% 16.67% bearish








SPXL to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bull 3X Shares SPXL to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bull 3X Shares
was cash 10.71% 14.29%
was cash 20.00% 10.00%
was stocks 0.00% 75.00%
was stocks 70.00% 0.00%

10.71% 89.29% bullish
90.00% 10.00% bearish








SPXS to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares SPXS to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares
was cash 50.00% 0.00%
was cash 13.33% 56.67%
was stocks 10.71% 39.29%
was stocks 10.00% 20.00%

60.71% 39.29% bullish
23.33% 76.67% bearish








UPRO to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro SP500 UPRO to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro SP500
was cash 10.71% 14.29%
was cash 16.67% 23.33%
was stocks 0.00% 75.00%
was stocks 50.00% 10.00%

10.71% 89.29% bullish
66.67% 33.33% bearish








SPXU to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short SP500 SPXU to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short SP500
was cash 50.00% 0.00%
was cash 10.00% 63.33%
was stocks 10.71% 39.29%
was stocks 6.67% 20.00%

60.71% 39.29% bullish
16.67% 83.33% bearish

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