Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Slight Ambivalence With The Bears. Start of a bottom?

Both models have been 100% bearish for the past several days.   But last night the MC model wasn't quite so bullish with two 50/50 calls or small percentage differences.  Start of a bottom?

OEF to cash to stocks iShares SP100 Index OEF to cash to stocks iShares SP100 Index
was cash 53.57% 14.29%
was cash 10.71% 17.86%
was stocks 0.00% 32.14%
was stocks 57.14% 14.29%

53.57% 46.43% bearish
67.86% 32.14% bearish








QQQ to cash to stocks Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ to cash to stocks Invesco QQQ Trust
was cash 57.14% 7.14%
was cash 3.57% 35.71%
was stocks 0.00% 35.71%
was stocks 46.43% 14.29%

57.14% 42.86% bearish
50.00% 50.00% toss up








TQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro QQQ TQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro QQQ
was cash 71.43% 3.57%
was cash 14.29% 32.14%
was stocks 0.00% 25.00%
was stocks 42.86% 10.71%

71.43% 28.57% bearish
57.14% 42.86% bearish








SQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ SQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
was cash 10.71% 10.71%
was cash 14.29% 46.43%
was stocks 14.29% 64.29%
was stocks 32.14% 7.14%

25.00% 75.00% bearish
46.43% 53.57% bearish








QLD to cash to stocks ProShares Ultra QQQ QLD to cash to stocks ProShares Ultra QQQ
was cash 64.29% 10.71%
was cash 14.29% 25.00%
was stocks 0.00% 25.00%
was stocks 42.86% 17.86%

64.29% 35.71% bearish
57.14% 42.86% bearish








QID to cash to stocks ProShares UltraShort QQQ QID to cash to stocks ProShares UltraShort QQQ
was cash 14.29% 7.14%
was cash 7.14% 50.00%
was stocks 3.57% 75.00%
was stocks 39.29% 3.57%

17.86% 82.14% bearish
46.43% 53.57% bearish








SPY to cash to stocks SPDR SP500 SPY to cash to stocks SPDR SP500
was cash 46.43% 17.86%
was cash 3.57% 14.29%
was stocks 3.57% 32.14%
was stocks 75.00% 7.14%

50.00% 50.00% n/a
78.57% 21.43% bearish








SPXL to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bull 3X Shares SPXL to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bull 3X Shares
was cash 50.00% 10.71%
was cash 7.14% 7.14%
was stocks 0.00% 39.29%
was stocks 82.14% 3.57%

50.00% 50.00% n/a
89.29% 10.71% bearish








SPXS to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares SPXS to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares
was cash 28.57% 10.71%
was cash 17.86% 75.00%
was stocks 10.71% 50.00%
was stocks 7.14% 0.00%

39.29% 60.71% bearish
25.00% 75.00% bearish








UPRO to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro SP500 UPRO to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro SP500
was cash 53.57% 7.14%
was cash 3.57% 10.71%
was stocks 0.00% 39.29%
was stocks 82.14% 3.57%

53.57% 46.43% bearish
85.71% 14.29% bearish








SPXU to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short SP500 SPXU to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short SP500
was cash 21.43% 7.14%
was cash 17.86% 75.00%
was stocks 17.86% 53.57%
was stocks 7.14% 0.00%

39.29% 60.71% bearish
25.00% 75.00% bearish

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