ETF Technical Analysis Update: February 10, 2026
Disclaimer: The analyses provided in this blog are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
In today's update, we delve into the latest technical signals from our ETF analysis spreadsheet, focusing on key trends and potential price movements over 5 to 30-day horizons. Utilizing indicators such as the Absolute Price Oscillator (APO), Directional Movement Index (DMI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Money Flow Index (MFI), Parabolic SAR, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, Stochastic Momentum Indicator, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator, we've identified a mix of bullish and bearish signals across sectors.
Overall market insights reveal a cautiously optimistic tone, with strong bullish consensus in areas like large-cap indices (DIA and SPY showing multiple buys), energy (XLE with BUY at 15 days), materials (XLB with BUY at 10 days), and homebuilders (XHB with BUY at 25 days). However, short-term bearish pressures are evident in retail (XRT with sells at 5 and 10 days) and healthcare (XLV with SELL at 15 days), potentially reflecting sector-specific headwinds. Compared to the February 7 data, notable shifts include SPY flipping from a short-term BUY to SELL at 15 days while strengthening to BUY at 30 days, suggesting near-term volatility but longer-term resilience. XBI downgraded from BUY to buy at 20 days, and XLRE losing its buy signals, indicating fading momentum in real estate.
Highlights of bullish signals: Energy and materials sectors show promise, driven by APO and MACD crossovers indicating upward momentum, while mid-cap (IJH) and small-cap leveraged (URTY) ETFs flash strong buys at 25 days, supported by RSI recoveries from oversold levels and positive Stochastic indicators. Bearish signals are concentrated in healthcare and retail, where Parabolic SAR flips and MFI divergences signal potential overbought conditions leading to pullbacks.
Consensus Signal Table
| ETF | 5 Days | 10 Days | 15 Days | 20 Days | 25 Days | 30 Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND | sell | buy | ||||
| DIA | buy | buy | buy | buy | buy | |
| GLD | buy | |||||
| IJH | BUY | buy | ||||
| IWM | sell | buy | BUY | |||
| JNK | sell | sell | buy | |||
| KBE | buy | BUY | buy | buy | ||
| QQQ | buy | |||||
| SPY | sell | SELL | buy | BUY | ||
| TQQQ | ||||||
| UPRO | sell | buy | ||||
| URTY | sell | buy | BUY | |||
| XBI | buy | buy | ||||
| XES | ||||||
| XHB | buy | BUY | ||||
| XHS | sell | |||||
| XLB | BUY | |||||
| XLE | BUY | |||||
| XLF | sell | sell | ||||
| XLI | ||||||
| XLK | sell | |||||
| XLP | ||||||
| XLRE | ||||||
| XLU | ||||||
| XLV | SELL | |||||
| XLY | sell | sell | ||||
| XME | sell | BUY | buy | |||
| XOP | buy | buy | buy | |||
| XRT | sell | sell | BUY |
Strong Consensus Trends
Strong Buy for IJH at 25 Days
Ishares Core S&p Mid-cap Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy IJH? - Analysts upgrade to Strong Buy, expecting a 9.98% rise in 3 months due to positive moving averages and trend signals, aligning with our strong buy call.
iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap Fund Forecast: down to $5.585? - IJH Fund Price Prediction - Bearish long-term forecast, predicting a decline, contradicting our strong buy signal based on market data.
Strong Buy for IWM at 30 Days
Russell 2000 ETF $IWM Soars 11% from Blue Box Area, With $258 Target Still Ahead - Elliott Wave analysis predicts further upside to $258-$268, supporting our strong buy for longer horizons.
IWM - Ishares Russell 2000 Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Average forecast of $237.68, lower than current, suggesting potential downside risk contrary to our bullish signal.
Strong Buy for KBE at 20 Days
Banking ETF (KBE) Hits New 52-Week High - Hits 52-week high with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), positive alpha indicating further rally, agreeing with our strong buy.
KBE - State Street Spdr S P Bank Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026, 2027, 2030 to 2050 - Average $45.29, significant decline forecasted, disagreeing with our strong buy signal.
Strong Sell for SPY at 15 Days
S&P 500 Faces Rising Probability of a 2026 Struggle as Signals Build - Bearish setup for 2026 with potential significant fall, aligning with our short-term sell signal.
The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026 - Bearish case with fading forces and priced-in positives, supporting our short-term bearish view.
Strong Buy for SPY at 30 Days
The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026 - Bullish case with tech investment, fiscal support, liquidity, agreeing with long-term buy.
SPY Outlook for 2026: AI Signals, Market Momentum, and What Lies Ahead - Bullish AI forecast with 85% upside probability, supporting our strong buy for longer term.
Strong Buy for URTY at 25 Days
SPDR Health Care ETF $XLV: 5 Waves Ended – Corrective Pullback Underway - Wait, wrong. For URTY, from results: upgraded to Strong Buy Candidate, expecting further gains.
ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 Fund Forecast: down to $58.803? - Bad long-term investment, bearish, disagreeing.
Strong Buy for XHB at 25 Days
Spdr(r) S&p(r) Homebuilders Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XHB? - Upgraded to Strong Buy, expecting 9.09% rise in 3 months, agrees.
SPDR® S&P Homebuilders Fund Forecast: up to $120.996! - Long-term increase expected, bullish, agrees.
Strong Buy for XLB at 10 Days
Materials Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy XLB? - Expecting 19.58% rise in 3 months, agrees.
XLB - State Street Materials Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock Price Forecast 2026... - Average $117.88, significant upside, agrees.
Strong Buy for XLE at 15 Days
XLE: $75 Target But Oil Needs To Break Out Too - Outperformed in 2024, breakout to highs, bullish, agrees.
Energy Is Leading in 2026—But Are the Oil Majors Cracking? - Leading S&P with 18% gain, bullish rotation, agrees.
Strong Sell for XLV at 15 Days
S&P 500 Sector Outlook For 2026: Sell Technology, Buy Healthcare - Healthcare to outperform in bear market, but short-term SELL aligns with defensive but potential fall. Wait, contradicts sell if outperform.
State Street Health Care Select Sector Spdr Etf Stock (XLV) Forecast - Average $182.98, upside, disagrees with sell.
Strong Buy for XME at 10 Days
XME: Strong Price Momentum Meets Bullish 2026 Global Fundamentals - Upgraded to Buy, bullish technicals and fundamentals, agrees.
XME - State Street Spdr S P Metals Mining Etf Stock (XME) Forecast - Average $79.30, downside, disagrees.
Strong Buy for XRT at 25 Days
XRT: I Underestimated The Retail Boom This Year - Upgraded rating, resilient job market and luxury demand bullish, agrees.
SPDR® S&P Retail Fund Forecast: down to $87.436? - Slight downside, disagrees.
Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on February 10, 2026
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