Saturday, October 13, 2018

The Bullishness of These Models For The SP100 & 500 ETFs Is Spooky.


       The Short Term Model:

OEF to cash to stocks iShares SP100 Index
was cash 21.25% 7.11%
was stocks 14.91% 56.73%

36.16% 63.84% bullish




QQQ to cash to stocks Invesco QQQ Trust
was cash 7.82% 17.80%
was stocks 7.22% 67.17%

15.04% 84.96% bullish




TQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro QQQ
was cash 8.74% 21.82%
was stocks 7.44% 62.00%

16.18% 83.82% bullish




SQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
was cash 49.84% 18.99%
was stocks 21.68% 9.50%

71.52% 28.48% bullish




QLD to cash to stocks ProShares Ultra QQQ
was cash 8.02% 17.33%
was stocks 7.43% 67.22%

15.45% 84.55% bullish




QID to cash to stocks ProShares UltraShort QQQ
was cash 53.86% 16.47%
was stocks 21.06% 8.60%

74.92% 25.08% bullish




SPY to cash to stocks SPDR SP500
was cash 24.82% 14.47%
was stocks 15.14% 45.57%

39.96% 60.04% bullish




SPXL to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bull 3X Shares
was cash 17.18% 7.41%
was stocks 15.39% 60.02%

32.57% 67.43% bullish




SPXS to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares
was cash 56.85% 11.37%
was stocks 12.60% 19.18%

69.45% 30.55% bullish




UPRO to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro SP500
was cash 17.10% 7.86%
was stocks 14.82% 60.22%

31.92% 68.08% bullish




SPXU to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short SP500
was cash 68.52% 10.81%
was stocks 10.20% 10.47%

78.72% 21.28% bullish

3 comments:

  1. Joe, being very much a technical ('non-conventional' market data hobbyist) myself, I was very interested to read your algorithm results today (and going back a few days so far). I use a pattern type recognition system that I don't believe anyone else is using (at least I have not seen anyone publishing anything similar). The system I use indicated that this drop should not be a significant market move (other than it's apparent violence) and as such, should resolve close to where it is currently situated so I was very pleased to see your latest 'bullish' analysis. I focus on data and throw out opinion so this algo is impressing me greatly at the moment. I would be happy to share my pattern signals just for giggles when they occur as a way to demonstrate to you how the timing fits and thus compare the two sets of findings. Thanks for all your work here, Ray.

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    Replies
    1. Ray,

      Thank you for sharing your ideas and kind words.

      I am currently developing (and testing) another algorithm that looks out 30 days; it is just a bullish. The models, used above, look out less than 7 days... we'll see.

      Joe

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    2. Very much looking forward to that algorithm result. Your preliminary comment concurs with patterns we are seeing. As a matter of interest, it very much looks like and expanding-type pattern subsequent to an elevating pattern this morning. The two together often signal an imminent move up out of the short term range. As you say, we'll see..Ray

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