Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Navigating ETF Trends: Buy/Sell Signals for the Week Ahead

ETF Technical Analysis Update: January 28, 2026

ETF Technical Analysis Update: January 28, 2026

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest ETF analysis shows a bullish outlook, driven by MACD, RSI, SMA crossovers, and DMI indicators. Large-caps (DIA, SPY, QQQ) and mid/small-caps (IJH, IWM) signal buys. Sectors like banking (KBE), health (XHS), materials (XLB), staples (XLP), and retail (XRT) are positive. Bonds (BND) are bearish long-term; leveraged tech (TQQQ) shows a strong sell due to MFI overbought and Parabolic SAR reversals.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Bullish: Strong buys in DIA (25d), IJH (25d), KBE (20/25d), QQQ (15/20/30d), SPY (10d), XHS (20/30d), XLB (15d), XLP (25d), XRT (10d). Bearish: Sells in BND (25/30d), strong sell in TQQQ (25d).

Comparisons to Prior Data

Vs. January 27: Signals stable, minor XHB downgrade from strong BUY to buy at 25d, possibly APO softening. Over the week (from Jan 21): Consistent equity bullishness, fewer neutrals.

Confirming External Views on Strong Consensus Trends

DIA (Strong BUY at 25d)

IJH (Strong BUY at 25d)

KBE (Strong BUY at 20/25d)

QQQ (Strong BUY at 15/20/30d)

SPY (Strong BUY at 10d)

XHS (Strong BUY at 20/30d)

XLB (Strong BUY at 15d)

XLP (Strong BUY at 25d)

XRT (Strong BUY at 10d)

TQQQ (Strong SELL at 25d)

Consensus Signal Table

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 Days
BNDbuysellsell
DIAbuybuybuybuyBUY
GLD
IJHbuyBUY
IWMbuybuy
JNKbuy
KBEBUYBUYbuy
QQQBUYBUYBUY
SPYBUYbuy
TQQQSELL
UPRObuybuy
URTY
XBIbuybuybuy
XES
XHBbuybuybuybuy
XHSBUYbuyBUY
XLBBUYsell
XLE
XLF
XLI
XLK
XLPBUYbuy
XLRE
XLU
XLVbuybuybuy
XLY
XME
XOPbuybuy
XRTBUYbuybuy

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 28, 2026

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Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Riding the Wave: Strong Buy Opportunities in Major ETFs

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

Overall Market Insights

The latest technical analysis of key ETFs reveals a predominantly bullish outlook across major indices and sectors, tempered by some cautionary signals in leveraged and bond-related funds. Using indicators such as MACD crossovers, RSI levels, and SMA trends, we observe strong momentum in large-cap and tech-heavy ETFs, suggesting potential upward price movements over the next 5 to 30 days. However, bonds (BND) show sell signals, indicating possible weakness in fixed income. Overall, the market appears resilient, with bullish trends driven by positive DMI and Ultimate Oscillator readings.

Highlights of Bullish and Bearish Signals

Key bullish highlights include strong BUY signals for DIA (25 days), QQQ (15, 20, 30 days), and sectors like financials (XLF 25, 30 days) and consumer staples (XLP 25 days). These suggest robust buying opportunities based on Parabolic SAR reversals and Stochastic Momentum upturns. On the bearish side, TQQQ shows a strong SELL at 25 days, potentially due to overbought RSI conditions in leveraged tech exposure.

Comparisons to Prior Data

Compared to January 24 data, notable shifts include SPY introducing a sell signal at 5 days (previously absent), while maintaining buys in longer horizons. TQQQ's 25-day signal strengthened from sell to SELL, indicating increased bearish conviction. IJH and KBE continue their strong buy trends, showing consistency in mid-cap and banking sectors. These changes align with recent MACD divergences and MFI adjustments, reflecting evolving market dynamics.

Consensus Signal Table

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days
BND buy sell sell
DIA buy buy buy buy BUY
IJH buy BUY
IWM buy
JNK buy
KBE BUY BUY buy
QQQ BUY BUY BUY
SPY sell BUY buy buy buy buy
TQQQ SELL
UPRO sell BUY buy
URTY BUY
XBI buy buy buy
XHB buy BUY
XHS BUY buy BUY
XLB BUY
XLF BUY BUY
XLP BUY buy
XLV buy
XLY buy
XOP buy buy sell
XRT BUY buy buy

Strong Consensus Trends and External Views

For strong BUY/SELL signals, we've reviewed recent articles and discussions:

Posted by Joe McVerry (@usacoder) on X on January 27, 2026

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Saturday, January 24, 2026

Recreated ETF Predictions: Strong Trends in 2026 Using MACD, RSI, and More

Hey folks, I'm Joe, a former programmer with a passion for technical analysis. I use indicators like the Absolute Price Oscillator, Directional Movement Index, MACD, Money Flow Index, Parabolic SAR, Relative Strength Index, Simple Moving Average, Stochastic Momentum Indicator, Time Series Forecast, and Ultimate Oscillator to spot trends in ETFs. Today, I found a mistake in my January 24 data and recreated the CSV file. Here's the updated analysis for ETFs like BND, DIA, GLD, and others. I'll show a consensus table based on my signals—remember, "buy" means weak buy, "BUY" strong buy, "sell" weak sell, "SELL" strong sell, and blank means no clear call.

Consensus Signal Table

This table summarizes the buy/sell signals over 5 to 30 days. Consensus is based on the signals: Strong Buy if there's at least one "BUY" and net positive signals; Strong Sell if "SELL" and net negative; Weak Buy/Sell for lowercase only; Mixed if conflicting strong signals; No Call otherwise.

Symbol 5 Days 10 Days 15 Days 20 Days 25 Days 30 Days Consensus
BND buy sell sell Mixed
DIA buy buy buy BUY Strong Buy
IJH BUY BUY buy Strong Buy
IWM buy Weak Buy
JNK buy Weak Buy
KBE BUY buy Strong Buy
QQQ BUY BUY BUY Strong Buy
SPY buy buy buy buy Weak Buy
TQQQ sell sell Weak Sell
UPRO buy buy Weak Buy
URTY BUY Strong Buy
XBI buy Weak Buy
XES BUY Strong Buy
XHB buy buy Weak Buy
XHS BUY buy BUY Strong Buy
XLB buy Weak Buy
XLE buy Weak Buy
XLF BUY BUY Strong Buy
XLP BUY buy Strong Buy
XLRE sell Weak Sell
XLV buy BUY Strong Buy
XLY buy Weak Buy
XOP buy BUY SELL Mixed
XRT buy BUY Strong Buy

Deep Dive into Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs with a Strong Buy or Sell consensus, I searched online for articles and conversations to see if they confirm or contradict my calls. Here's what I found—titles, links, and why they agree or disagree.

DIA - Strong Buy

My analysis shows strong buy signals, especially over 25 days, using MACD and RSI trends.

QQQ - Strong Buy

Multiple strong buys over 15-30 days from my indicators like Parabolic SAR.

XOP - Mixed

Mixed with strong buy early but strong sell at 20 days; watch carefully.

XLV - Strong Buy

Strong buy over longer terms from my Stochastic and Ultimate Oscillator.

XLP - Strong Buy

Buy signals in later periods per my Time Series Forecast.

XLF - Strong Buy

Strong buys in 25-30 days from Money Flow Index trends.

Remember, this is my hobby analysis—do your own research! Follow me on X @joe_mcverry for more updates.

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Friday, January 23, 2026

Stock Trends Update: Strong Buys in Broad Markets and Key Sectors – Jan 23 Analysis

Hey everyone, Joe here from Raleigh, NC – it's early morning on January 23, 2026, and I'm back with my daily look at ETF trends. As a former programmer, I geek out on technical analysis tools like MACD, RSI, Stochastic, and others to spot if prices might go up or down. My spreadsheet crunches these for ETFs like SPY, QQQ, and more, over 5 to 30 days. It flags "buy" for weak upsides, "BUY" for strong ones, "sell" for weak downs, "SELL" for big drops – or nothing if it's neutral. Today's data shows bullish vibes in broad markets, but some sells in bonds and energy. Let's break it down simply.

Quick Recap of the Data

Compared to yesterday's sheet, we see more buys in mid-caps and financials. Tools like the Ultimate Oscillator and Parabolic SAR are pointing up for indexes, while Money Flow Index shows caution in gold and utilities. Backtest scores (that last column) are decent, especially longer-term, meaning these calls have worked about 70-90% historically.

Consensus Signal Table

Here's a table summing up the signals from today's CSV. I grouped by time periods, with colors for easy spotting: light green for weak buy, dark for strong; light red for weak sell, dark for strong. Consensus is my simple take on the overall trend.

ETF5 Days10 Days15 Days20 Days25 Days30 DaysConsensus Trend
BNDbuybuysellsellMixed (Short buy, long sell)
DIABUYbuyBuy (Medium-term)
GLDNeutral
IJHBUYBUYbuyStrong Buy
IWMbuybuyBuy (Short/long)
JNKBUYLong Buy
KBEBUYMedium Buy
QQQBUYBUYBUYStrong Buy
SPYBUYbuyBUYBUYBUYStrong Buy
TQQQsellsellSell
UPRONeutral (Partial data)
URTYNeutral
XBINeutral
XESNeutral
XHBNeutral
XHSNeutral
XLBNeutral
XLENeutral
XLFBUYBUYStrong Buy (Long)
XLIBUYMedium Buy
XLKsellsellSell
XLPBUYbuyBuy (Long)
XLREsellSell
XLUNeutral
XLVBUYLong Buy
XLYsellSell
XMENeutral
XOPbuyBUYSELLsellMixed (Buy short, sell medium)
XRTbuyBUYBuy

Spotlight on Strong Consensus Trends

For ETFs with a "Strong Buy" consensus (like multiple BUYs or overall bullish), I checked online for recent articles or chats. Here's what I found – titles, links, and why they agree or disagree with the call. Simple stuff: if the author sees upside, it confirms; if not, it pushes back.

  • IJH (Strong Buy): This mid-cap ETF looks strong across periods. Article "IJH Stock Forecast & Price Target 2026 | Is IJH a Good Stock to Buy?" from rockflow.ai agrees, projecting $85-$95 by end-2026 on steady growth, matching the buy signal. Another from stockinvest.us, "Ishares Core S&p Mid-cap Etf ETF Price Forecast. Should You Buy IJH?" upgrades to strong buy, expecting 7.69% rise in 3 months due to positive moving averages, confirming the trend.
  • QQQ (Strong Buy): Tech-heavy, with buys at 10,20,30 days. "INVESCO QQQ STOCK PRICE PREDICTION 2026, 2027, 2028-2030" from longforecast.com agrees partly, forecasting average $640 by June 2026 (up from ~$618), but notes some dips, overall bullish. "Hot 2026 Start for This ETF Could Signal Durable Upside" from etftrends.com talks related small-cap but implies QQQ upside from AI and rates, supporting the call.
  • SPY (Strong Buy): Broad market, strong across most periods. "Will the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Stock Hit $800 in 2026?" from Yahoo Finance agrees it could, needing 21.5% rise, but depends on policy; optimistic on GDP. "10 Predictions For 2026" from Seeking Alpha sees S&P continuing up on cooling inflation and Fed cuts, confirming strong buy.
  • XLF (Strong Buy - Long): Financials shining at 25-30 days. "3 Reasons Why XLF Is My Top Pick To Beat The Market In 2026" from Seeking Alpha strongly agrees, citing stable outlook, strong earnings, cheap valuations vs. SPY. "Should You Invest in the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)?" from Nasdaq rates strong buy on momentum and low expense, backing the long-term call.

Final Thoughts

Overall, the signals lean buy on big indexes and financials – my TA tools like RSI are above 50 for these, showing momentum. But watch sells in TQQQ and XOP, where oscillators dip. If you're trading, start small and check your risk. I will be posting tomorrow!

– Joe McVerry

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Thursday, January 22, 2026

ETF Trend Watch: Broad Market Strengthens While Some Areas Pause

ETF Technical Update - January 22, 2026: SPY Hits Strong Buy as Broad Market Strength Holds

ETF Technical Update – January 22, 2026: SPY Hits Strong Buy as Broad Market Strength Holds

Hi everyone, Joe here with the latest daily scan of my favorite ETFs using a basket of classic technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Stochastic, Money Flow, Parabolic SAR, and others). These are the same tools I’ve been tracking for years as a hobbyist – nothing fancy, just trying to spot trends early.

Today’s big headline: the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) strengthened to a STRONG BUY overall, with especially bullish readings in the longer 20-30 day windows. That’s an upgrade from yesterday. The broader market ETFs (DIA, QQQ, IJH, etc.) are still mostly positive, though a few small-cap and sector readings cooled a bit.

Bonds remain neutral, gold shows a mild positive tilt, and many individual sectors are mixed or neutral. Leveraged ETFs (TQQQ, UPRO, URTY) are mostly neutral – a reminder that leverage amplifies everything, including sideways moves.

Consensus Signal Table – January 22, 2026

Short-term = 5-15 days out
Long-term = 20-30 days out
Overall = all six time frames combined
Avg Historical Accuracy = simple average of past correct calls for that ETF across all periods.

ETF Short-Term (5-15 days) Long-Term (20-30 days) Overall Avg Back-Testig Accuracy
SPYBUYSTRONG BUYSTRONG BUY82.6%
DIABUYweak buyBUY80.1%
QQQNEUTRALBUYBUY79.8%
IJHweak buyweak buyBUY78.5%
JNKNEUTRALBUYBUY74.8%
XESweak buyweak buyBUY74.5%
XHBweak buyBUYBUY78.6%
XHSNEUTRALBUYBUY71.2%
XLPweak buyweak buyBUY77.3%
XRTweak buyBUYBUY72.9%
GLDweak buyweak buyweak buy76.4%
IWMweak buyweak buyweak buy79.8%
KBENEUTRALweak buyweak buy73.9%
UPRONEUTRALweak buyweak buy79.1%
URTYNEUTRALweak buyweak buy76.4%
XBINEUTRALweak buyweak buy76.6%
XLEweak buyNEUTRALweak buy75.6%
XLFNEUTRALweak buyweak buy75.6%
XLIweak buyNEUTRALweak buy79.1%
XLVNEUTRALweak buyweak buy80.9%
XLYweak buyNEUTRALweak buy76.0%
BNDweak buyweak sellNEUTRAL76.3%
TQQQNEUTRALNEUTRALNEUTRAL75.3%
XLBNEUTRALNEUTRALNEUTRAL79.2%
XLKNEUTRALNEUTRALNEUTRAL77.7%
XLRENEUTRALNEUTRALNEUTRAL75.5%
XLUNEUTRALNEUTRALNEUTRAL79.2%
XMENEUTRALNEUTRALNEUTRAL78.4%
XOPweak buyweak sellNEUTRAL76.0%

Key Changes from Yesterday (January 21)

  • SPY upgraded to STRONG BUY overall – very encouraging.
  • QQQ slipped from STRONG BUY to BUY (short-term cooled).
  • IWM, KBE, XBI, XLF, XLV softened slightly but still lean positive or neutral.
  • XLB and XLRE improved from weak sell to neutral.
  • XOP moved from BUY to neutral.

As always, these are just mechanical readings from my indicator suite – no guarantees. The historical accuracy numbers (70-83% range) are back-tested on past data, but markets can turn quickly. I’m not a financial advisor; this is purely for educational fun.

See you tomorrow with the next update!

– Joe

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Wednesday, January 21, 2026

January 21, 2026: Bullish Signals Still Strong – Tech, Retail, and Homebuilders Looking Good

Hey everyone, Joe here. It's Wednesday, January 21, 2026, and time for my daily look at the ETFs I track using technical indicators like MACD, RSI, moving averages, Stochastic, Parabolic SAR, and a bunch of others.

As always, quick reminder: I'm just a former programmer who loves playing with numbers – not a professional advisor. These are my personal scans, and you should always do your own homework before making any trades.

Quick Overview

The overall picture today is still mostly bullish. Out of the 6 time frames I check (5 to 30 days ahead) and three different indicator styles, the maximum "buy" votes an ETF can get is 18. Today several are hitting the high teens – very encouraging.

Compared to my last scan a few days ago (January 17), the big story is:

  • Continued strength in tech-heavy and retail ETFs
  • A nice jump in homebuilders (XHB)
  • A sharp drop in mining/metals (XME)

Top Bullish ETFs Today (most "buy" votes)

  • QQQ (Nasdaq 100) – 15/18 buy signals, several strong "BUY" marks. Still one of the clearest bullish pictures.
  • XRT (Retail) – Also 15/18, with multiple "BUY" labels. Retail continues to look solid.
  • SPY (S&P 500) – 13/18, including strong "BUY" on 25- and 30-day horizons.
  • XHB (Homebuilders) – 13/18 today (big improvement from only 4/18 last scan!). Multiple "BUY" signals here.
  • IJH (Mid-cap) and XHS (Health Services) – both 13/18 with strong consensus on several periods.
  • XLV (Healthcare) – 12/18, steady and reliable.
  • DIA (Dow Jones) – 12/18 buy signals across the board.

Historical back-test accuracy on these calls averages 75–82% for the top names – pretty decent track record so far.

Areas of Caution

  • XME (Metals & Mining) – 0/18 buy signals today. That's a big drop from 8/18 last time. Indicators are unanimously cautious here.
  • XLK (Technology sector) – Only 2/18 buys. Strange split from QQQ's strength – maybe broader tech is lagging the big Nasdaq names.
  • TQQQ (3x bullish Nasdaq) – Only 3/18 buys, some short-term "sell" flags. Leveraged ETFs are always volatile.
  • BND (Bonds) and XLRE (Real Estate) – A couple of longer-term "sell" or "SELL" marks.
  • XLB (Materials) – One clear "SELL" on the 20-day outlook.

Consensus Signals Table – January 21, 2026

Here's the simplified consensus view, grouped into Short (5-10 days), Medium (15-20 days), and Long (25-30 days). "Buy" means most of my indicator groups are flashing bullish for that bucket. "Strong Buy" means near-unanimous agreement. "Mixed" means split or weaker signals. "Sell" or "Caution" means bearish leans or clear sells showing up.

ETF Short
(5-10 days)		 Medium
(15-20 days)		 Long
(25-30 days)		 Notes (Historical Accuracy)
SPY (S&P 500) Buy Buy Strong Buy Very consistent broad-market signal, especially strong on 25-30 day horizons (85-90% historical range)
QQQ (Nasdaq 100) Buy Strong Buy Buy Cleanest overall picture again – multiple perfect 3/3 agreements (80-86% historical)
XRT (Retail) Buy Strong Buy Buy Retail keeps delivering strong consensus (75-80% historical)
IWM (Russell 2000 Small Caps) Strong Buy Mixed Buy Short-term standout, longer periods still positive (80-87% historical on good days)
IJH (Mid Caps) Buy Buy Mixed Solid short and medium strength (78-82% historical)
DIA (Dow Jones) Buy Buy Buy Reliable buys across most windows (78-84% historical)
XHB (Homebuilders) Mixed Buy Buy Big improvement this week – medium and long now clear buys (78-84% historical)
XLV (Healthcare) Buy Mixed Buy Longer horizons showing unanimous agreement (80-86% historical)
XES (Energy Services) Buy Buy Buy Consistent positive signals across all buckets
KBE (Regional Banks) Mixed Buy Buy Banks firming up nicely in medium and long
XBI (Biotech) Mixed Buy Buy Positive tilt starting at 15 days out
XLF (Financials) Mixed Buy Mixed Clear medium-term strength
GLD (Gold) Buy Mixed Mixed Short-term solid, longer periods more scattered
XLK (Tech Sector) Mixed Mixed Mixed Surprisingly weak compared to QQQ – worth watching
XME (Metals & Mining) Neutral Neutral Neutral No buy signals anywhere this scan – big change from last week
XLB (Materials) Mixed Sell Mixed Clear unanimous sell at 20 days
BND (Bonds) Mixed Mixed Sell Longer-term caution appearing
XLRE (Real Estate) Mixed Mixed Sell 30-day unanimous sell signal
Leveraged (TQQQ, UPRO, URTY) Mixed Mixed Mixed Some buy pockets but more scattered and volatile than unleveraged

Final Thoughts

Right now the scans are leaning bullish on broad market, tech (especially Nasdaq), retail, healthcare, and – new this week – homebuilders. Energy and mining are quieter or cautious.

I'll keep watching how these evolve day to day. If anything big shifts, you'll hear about it in the next update!

Thanks for reading – feel free to leave a comment if there's a particular ETF you'd like me to dig into more.

Take care and trade safe,
Joe

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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Mid-January 2026 ETF Roundup: Small Caps and Tech Leading

January 17, 2026 Weekend ETF Update: Stocks Still Bullish, Bonds Softening

January 17, 2026 Weekend ETF Update: Stocks Still Bullish, Bonds Softening

Hey everyone, Joe here with the latest technical scan results based on Friday’s close (January 16, 2026). Markets are closed Monday for the holiday, so this should carry us through the long weekend. I’ll post a fresh update Wednesday, January 21 after Tuesday’s action is in the books.

As always, this is just my personal hobby analysis using a bunch of classic indicators (MACD, RSI, Stochastic, moving averages, etc.). Not advice — just what the numbers are showing me right now.

Quick Takeaway

Equities remain broadly positive, especially over the 15- to 30-day horizons. Small caps (IWM), tech (QQQ), and the S&P 500 (SPY) continue to show the cleanest buy signals. Bonds (BND) are starting to lean sell longer-term, suggesting caution there. Gold and energy have some nice pockets of strength, while homebuilders are weak short-term.

Consensus Signals Table

ETF Short (5-10 days) Medium (15-20 days) Long (25-30 days) Notes (Historical Accuracy)
SPY (S&P 500) Buy Buy Buy Very consistent (83-87% historical)
QQQ (Nasdaq) Buy Buy Buy Clean buys across the board (80-86% historical)
IWM (Small Caps) Buy Buy Buy One of the strongest signals (84-87% historical)
DIA (Dow) Mixed Buy Mixed Clear buy in 15-20 day window
BND (Bonds) Buy (short) Mixed Sell Longer-term caution emerging
GLD (Gold) Buy Mixed Buy (25d) Mid-range strength
XBI (Biotech) Mixed Buy Buy Solid past 20 days (84-86% historical)
XES (Energy) Buy Mixed Buy Good longer-term upside
KBE (Banks) Mixed Buy Buy Banks firming up 20+ days
XHB (Homebuilders) Sell Sell (20d) Buy Short-term weak, longer flip to positive
Leveraged (TQQQ/UPRO/URTY) Mixed Mixed Mixed Some buy pockets but choppier

What I’m Keeping an Eye On

  • Bullish: IWM, QQQ, SPY, and XBI still lead with the strongest multi-week buy signals.
  • Watch list: BND longer-term sell and short-term weakness in XHB and some leveraged plays.
  • Opportunity areas: Energy (XES), banks (KBE), and gold (GLD) showing selective strength.

That’s it for this weekend. Enjoy the long weekend, and I’ll be back mid-week with fresh numbers after Tuesday’s close. Comments welcome — let me know if there’s an ETF you’d like me to add!

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m just a former programmer sharing my personal technical scans for fun. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consider your own risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

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