Friday, January 9, 2026

ETF Signals Snapshot – More Green Arrows Than Red

Hey everyone, welcome back.

I'm just a guy who used to write code and crunch numbers for a living. These days I run my own little system that looks at technical indicators (MACD, RSI, moving averages, etc.) to guess whether different ETFs might go up or down over the next 5 to 30 trading days.

I run the model every day and it spits out whether each ETF looks like a buy or sell for different time windows, plus some confidence numbers and price range estimates.

Remember — this is NOT professional advice. It's just one person's experiment with patterns in the data. Always do your own homework!

Quick Market Context (early 2026 vibe)

The overall market feels pretty bullish right now. The S&P 500 and other major indexes have been hitting new highs, with a nice rotation into non-tech sectors like materials, industrials, and financials. That broadening out is healthy after all the AI/tech focus lately.

What the numbers are saying today (Jan 10 data run)

Broad Market & Large-Cap ETFs
  • SPY (S&P 500): Mostly buy signals — especially strong at 10, 15, 20, and 25 days. The 30-day is kind of neutral, but still leaning positive. Very consistent over the last few days.
  • DIA (Dow Jones): Solid buy almost everywhere (5–30 days). Getting stronger in the mid-to-longer windows. Fits with the rotation into more industrial/old-economy names.
  • QQQ (Nasdaq/tech-heavy): Mixed. Short-term (5 & 15 days) still showing sell, but 20–30 days are buy and holding. Tech might be catching its breath short-term but still okay longer out.
Leveraged & Small-Cap Plays
  • TQQQ (3x QQQ): Mostly sell right now, especially 15–30 days. Those wide min/max ranges remind us how wild leveraged stuff can get!
  • UPRO (3x SPY): Strong buy across 10–30 days. Nice and consistent.
  • IWM (Russell 2000/small-caps): Mostly buy in the 10–20 day windows. Small caps seem to be catching a bid.
Sector Highlights – Strongest Right Now
  • XLF (Financials) — almost all time periods are buy, and the signals are actually getting stronger day-over-day. Banks love this environment.
  • XLI (Industrials) — consistent buy across most windows.
  • XLV (Healthcare) — very clean buy signals at all time horizons. One of the strongest setups in the whole list.
  • JNK (High-yield bonds) — mostly flipped to buy after some short-term chop.
More Cautious / Sell-leaning Areas
  • BND (Total Bond) — mostly sell across the board. Bonds still not exciting.
  • XLP (Consumer Staples) — mixed, some short-term sells.
  • XLRE (Real Estate) — mostly sell or neutral.
  • Energy names like XOP and XES still have some sell signals in shorter windows.

Quick Takeaway

Lots more green (buy) arrows than red today — especially in broad indexes, financials, industrials, healthcare, and a bit of small-cap exposure. The rotation away from pure tech toward other sectors is showing up in the signals.

Leveraged ETFs like TQQQ are flashing more caution (lots of red), which makes sense given how choppy they can be.

As always — these are just probabilities based on historical patterns. Markets can surprise us any day. I’ll keep running the numbers and share what changes.

What do you think? Seeing the same things in your own charts? Drop a comment!

Until next time,
Joe
@usacoder

#ETFs #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #Trading #NotFinancialAdvice #DailySignals #MACD #RSI

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