Monday, September 17, 2018

New Machine Learning Tool - Market To Remain UP?

New models I developed over the past 2 weeks.

Combining the results from 11 different classification models for SP100 and 500 related ETFs - the results say we should expect continued "uptudiness" .Why?  inverse (bearish) ETFs are in a cash position. While most bullish related ETFs are in a stock position.


Models (Best Moving Average, Double Moving Average, Triple Moving Average, MACD, RSI, MACD & RSI,  Bollinger Bands, Derivative Oscillator, Stochastic, Double Stochastic, and Ultimate Oscillator).
Attributes are mostly based on cross-overs.
Expected results used either a 3 or 4 day look-ahead.
All intervals for the models are optimized based on the best return for the past 8 months.

Was cash/stocks were models position at previous day.

To cash/stocks models expected next day position.


OEF to cash to stocks iShares SP 100 Index
was cash 36.34% 9.13%
was stocks 17.75% 36.78%

54.09% 45.91%




QID to cash to stocks ProShares UltraShort QQQ
was cash 69.05% 0.00%
was stocks 9.50% 21.45%

78.55% 21.45%




QLD to cash to stocks ProShares Ultra QQQ
was cash 21.01% 22.38%
was stocks 0.00% 56.60%

21.01% 78.99%




QQQ to cash to stocks PowerShares Nasdaq-100 QQQ
was cash 21.91% 13.22%
was stocks 9.24% 55.64%

31.15% 68.86%




SPXL to cash to stocks Direxion Large Cap Bull 3X Shares
was cash 37.20% 4.07%
was stocks 12.29% 46.44%

49.49% 50.51%




SPXS to cash to stocks Direxion Daily SP500 Bear 3X Shares
was cash 48.01% 0.00%
was stocks 17.82% 34.17%

65.83% 34.17%




SPXU to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short SP500
was cash 49.77% 8.03%
was stocks 4.33% 37.87%

54.10% 45.90%




SPY to cash to stocks SPDR S;P 500
was cash 41.18% 4.47%
was stocks 12.84% 41.51%

54.02% 45.98%




SQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
was cash 65.78% 0.00%
was stocks 9.54% 24.68%

75.32% 24.68%




TQQQ to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro QQQ
was cash 20.22% 18.37%
was stocks 0.00% 61.41%

20.22% 79.78%




UPRO to cash to stocks ProShares UltraPro SP500
was cash 41.32% 3.97%
was stocks 12.14% 42.57%

53.46% 46.54%

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