Saturday, August 1, 2020

Models Remain Generally Bullish for SP100 and 500 ETFs

Monte CarloQlearning
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
was cash:0%0%
was cash:12.4%13.7%
was stocks:0%100%
was stocks:0%73.8%

0%100%bullish
12.4%87.6%bullish
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:49.2%35%
was cash:0%33.4%
was stocks:0%15.8%
was stocks:14%52.6%

49.2%50.8%bullish
14%86%bullish
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:18.8%0%
was cash:0%66.8%
was stocks:13.2%68%
was stocks:0%33.2%

32%68%bullish
0%100%bullish
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:31%16.1%
was cash:30.4%0%
was stocks:0%52.9%
was stocks:41%28.6%

31%69%bearish
71.4%28.6%bullish
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:34.9%16.6%
was cash:0%53.6%
was stocks:0%48.5%
was stocks:12.1%34.2%

34.9%65.1%bullish
12.1%87.9%bullish
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:17.9%0%
was cash:17.7%0%
was stocks:14.8%67.3%
was stocks:82.3%0%

32.7%67.3%bearish
100%0%bullish
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:17.2%16.2%
was cash:0%27%
was stocks:0%66.7%
was stocks:12.6%60.4%

17.2%82.8%bullish
12.6%87.4%bullish
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:0%46.6%
was cash:15.9%13.4%
was stocks:0%53.4%
was stocks:13.7%57%

0%100%bullish
29.6%70.4%bullish
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:79.9%0%
was cash:76.4%0%
was stocks:0%20.1%
was stocks:0%23.6%

79.9%20.1%bullish
76.4%23.6%bullish
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:0%50.1%
was cash:0%20.9%
was stocks:0%49.9%
was stocks:13.5%65.7%

0%100%bullish
13.5%86.5%bullish


$OEF 30 Day Outlook

Sunday, July 19, 2020

Looking Very Green for the S&P's

Monte CarloQlearning
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
was cash:15%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:15.2%69.8%
was stocks:14.2%85.8%
30.2%69.8%bullish 14.2%85.8%bullish
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:30.8%17.7%
was cash:31.1%16.6%
was stocks:0%51.5%
was stocks:27.1%25.2%
30.8%69.2%bullish 58.2%41.8%bearish
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:26.7%17.5%
was cash:36.5%27.5%
was stocks:0%55.8%
was stocks:6.5%29.5%
26.7%73.3%bullish 43%57%bullish
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:27.9%10.4%
was cash:39.4%7.6%
was stocks:42.7%19%
was stocks:0%52.9%
70.7%29.3%bullish 39.4%60.6%bearish
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:11.9%0%
was cash:30.7%11.9%
was stocks:0%88.1%
was stocks:32.7%24.8%
11.9%88.1%bullish 63.4%36.6%bearish
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:13.3%20%
was cash:45.7%13.2%
was stocks:40.2%26.5%
was stocks:0%41.1%
53.5%46.5%bullish 45.7%54.3%bearish
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:31.5%0%
was cash:14%38.2%
was stocks:0%68.5%
was stocks:0%47.7%
31.5%68.5%bullish 14%86%bullish
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:8.7%35.7%
was cash:8.8%28.5%
was stocks:0%55.6%
was stocks:19.4%43.4%
8.7%91.3%bullish 28.2%71.8%bullish
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:14.4%0%
was cash:45.2%0%
was stocks:18.8%66.8%
was stocks:35.4%19.4%
33.2%66.8%bearish 80.6%19.4%bullish
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:22.2%52.2%
was cash:10.4%34.7%
was stocks:0%25.7%
was stocks:0%54.9%
22.2%77.8%bullish 10.4%89.6%bullish

Wednesday, June 24, 2020

Most Models Are Bullish Except A Few of the SP500 Related ETFs.

 

Monte CarloQlearning
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
was cash:35.1%0%
was cash:27.1%42.8%
was stocks:0%64.9%
was stocks:0%30.2%
35.1%64.9%bullish27.1%72.9%bullish
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:14.1%0%
was cash:0%16.1%
was stocks:0%85.9%
was stocks:13.2%70.7%
14.1%85.9%bullish13.2%86.8%bullish
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:15.2%0%
was cash:0%16.3%
was stocks:20.7%64%
was stocks:0%83.7%
36%64%bullish0%100%bullish
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:62.4%27.7%
was cash:63.6%36.4%
was stocks:0%9.8%
was stocks:0%0%
62.4%37.6%bullish63.6%36.4%bullish
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:16%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:18.3%65.7%
was stocks:30%70%
34.3%65.7%bullish30%70%bullish
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:75.9%0%
was cash:67.2%16.9%
was stocks:0%24.1%
was stocks:15.9%0%
75.9%24.1%bullish83.1%16.9%bullish
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:15.9%16.4%
was cash:13.6%41.1%
was stocks:0%67.7%
was stocks:30.6%14.7%
15.9%84.1%bullish44.2%55.8%bullish
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:11.5%12.6%
was cash:9.2%29.5%
was stocks:56.1%19.8%
was stocks:27.8%33.5%
67.6%32.4%bearish37%63%bullish
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:21%0%
was cash:9.1%14.4%
was stocks:14.2%64.8%
was stocks:58.9%17.7%
35.2%64.8%bearish67.9%32.1%bullish
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:12.2%24.8%
was cash:17.7%27.5%
was stocks:42.2%20.8%
was stocks:32%22.7%
54.4%45.6%bearish49.7%50.3%bullish

Friday, June 5, 2020

The Buy Calls Out-number the Sell Calls



$OEF - 30 Day Outlook
$OEF 30 Day Outlook



Monte CarloQlearning
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
was cash:16.3%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:18.7%65%
was stocks:0%100%

35%65%bullish
0%100%bullish
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:15.1%16.1%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:35.2%33.6%
was stocks:12.8%87.2%

50.3%49.7%bearish
12.8%87.2%bullish
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:13.5%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:31.6%55%
was stocks:0%100%

45%55%bullish
0%100%bullish
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:60.9%27.3%
was cash:74.6%25.4%
was stocks:11.9%0%
was stocks:0%0%

72.7%27.3%bullish
74.6%25.4%bullish
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:13.6%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:35.4%51%
was stocks:25.9%74.1%

49%51%bullish
25.9%74.1%bullish
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:35.9%37.6%
was cash:46.4%53.6%
was stocks:0%26.5%
was stocks:0%0%

35.9%64.1%bearish
46.4%53.6%bearish
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:47.4%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:18.6%34%
was stocks:0%100%

66%34%bearish
0%100%bullish
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:25.3%13.6%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:11.8%49.2%
was stocks:0%100%

37.2%62.8%bullish
0%100%bullish
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:34.6%14.7%
was cash:85.5%14.5%
was stocks:0%50.7%
was stocks:0%0%

34.6%65.4%bearish
85.5%14.5%bullish
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:21.9%14.2%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:11.9%52%
was stocks:0%100%

33.8%66.2%bullish
0%100%bullish

Tuesday, May 26, 2020

75% Of The Models are Bullish - More Importantly The Individual Differentials Are Narrower so...


$OEF 30 Day Outlook

$SPY 30 Day Outlook

The models below are for a short-term outlook (3 - 7 days).

Monte CarloQlearning
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
was cash:52.5%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:15.2%32.3%
was stocks:14%86%
67.7%32.3%bearish14%86%bullish
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:47.1%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:0%52.9%
was stocks:25.9%74.1%
47.1%52.9%bullish25.9%74.1%bullish
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:12.7%0%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:31.9%55.4%
was stocks:66.1%33.9%
44.6%55.4%bullish66.1%33.9%bearish
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:88%0%
was cash:53%47%
was stocks:0%12%
was stocks:0%0%
88%12%bullish53%47%bullish
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:13.4%0%
was cash:13.1%0%
was stocks:15.6%71.1%
was stocks:49.3%37.6%
28.9%71.1%bullish62.4%37.6%bearish
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:73.8%0%
was cash:71%29%
was stocks:0%26.2%
was stocks:0%0%
73.8%26.2%bullish71%29%bullish
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:32.7%16.5%
was cash:0%0%
was stocks:0%50.8%
was stocks:26.6%73.4%
32.7%67.3%bullish26.6%73.4%bullish
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:12.8%0%
was cash:8.7%0%
was stocks:0%87.2%
was stocks:37.2%54.1%
12.8%87.2%bullish45.9%54.1%bullish
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:21%15.1%
was cash:100%0%
was stocks:10.8%53.1%
was stocks:0%0%
31.8%68.2%bearish100%0%bullish
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:13.3%0%
was cash:9.5%0%
was stocks:11%75.8%
was stocks:42.9%47.6%
24.2%75.8%bullish52.4%47.6%bearish

Monday, May 18, 2020

Models In Agreement 85% - Bull Time



Monte CarloQlearning
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
OEF
iShares SP100
to cashto stocks
was cash:0%0%
was cash:12.5%55.9%
was stocks:0%100%
was stocks:16.3%15.4%
0%100%bullish 28.7%71.3%bullish
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:15.2%0%
was cash:31%27%
was stocks:0%84.8%
was stocks:0%42.1%
15.2%84.8%bullish 31%69%bullish
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
TQQQ
ProShr UltraPro QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:29.4%17.9%
was cash:14.3%37.2%
was stocks:0%52.7%
was stocks:0%48.6%
29.4%70.6%bullish 14.3%85.7%bullish
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
SQQQ
ProShr UltraPro Short QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:86.9%0%
was cash:33.2%0%
was stocks:0%13.1%
was stocks:66.8%0%
86.9%13.1%bullish 100%0%bullish
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
QLD
ProShr Ultra QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:30.9%0%
was cash:27.2%28.2%
was stocks:0%69.1%
was stocks:0%44.5%
30.9%69.1%bullish 27.2%72.8%bullish
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
QID
ProShr UltraShort QQQ
to cashto stocks
was cash:73.8%13.9%
was cash:11.9%11.9%
was stocks:0%12.3%
was stocks:56%20.1%
73.8%26.2%bullish 67.9%32.1%bullish
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
SPY
SPDR SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:17.8%34.3%
was cash:13.3%40%
was stocks:0%47.8%
was stocks:18.4%28.3%
17.8%82.2%bullish 31.7%68.3%bullish
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXL
Drxn SP500 Bull 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:25.5%62%
was cash:25.1%40.8%
was stocks:0%12.5%
was stocks:34.2%0%
25.5%74.5%bullish 59.2%40.8%bearish
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
SPXS
Drxn Daily SP500 Bear 3X
to cashto stocks
was cash:19.5%0%
was cash:27.2%0%
was stocks:29.4%51.1%
was stocks:55.1%17.7%
48.9%51.1%bearish 82.3%17.7%bullish
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
UPRO
ProShr UltraPro SP500
to cashto stocks
was cash:26.3%49.4%
was cash:19.6%42%
was stocks:0%24.3%
was stocks:38.4%0%
26.3%73.7%bullish 58%42%bearish

Wednesday, May 13, 2020

Results from 28 Days of 6 Value Classification with Ensemble of Classifiers

I am presently using a new algorithm that combines output from several classifications. The system tracks over 200 symbols, mainly ETFs.

Below is a spreadsheet (click on image to enlarge) of the results over the last 28 days.  The left column is the date a prediction was made.  The remaining columns show the percentage of correct calls for either a strong buy or a strong sell (see my video about Better Classifications.) for the number of days out.

So for example on April 21st  its prediction for 14 days out (which is May 11) it was 100% correct.  And for 15 days out (May 12) it was 87% correct.  Likewise for May 11th the prediction for 1 day out (May 12) was 42% correct.

The most interesting take away is that the farther out a prediction is made the higher the correct call percentage
.

Bottom line: theses models are looking for the markets in general to continue up.

If you want to see the actual calls for each ETF day by day go to my web page. https://mcverryreport.com/cgi/aiEstimates.php


$DIA Estimates for Next 30 Trading Days.